General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSo, it's a bit early but what do you think the bounce will be for Obama?
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Curtland1015
(4,404 posts)It'd be more than enough I think.
mnhtnbb
(31,395 posts)kelly1mm
(4,733 posts)mnhtnbb
(31,395 posts)I'm guessing some of that has to do with our military population.
For my money, I think you're going to see a lot of support for Obama
coming from military families.
Here's the breakdown in NC:
Voter Registration as of 09/05/2012 Democratic: 2,727,923 Republican: 1,991,399 Libertarian: 15,675 Unaffiliated: 1,619,514 Total: 6,354,511
kelly1mm
(4,733 posts)up their minds about who they are going to vote for and are thus persuadable. In most elections I hear a good portion of my students (I teach a college political science class) talk about both sides having some good points. Those are what I call persuadable. Not this year. The Obama supporters HATE Romney and don't want to hear anything about him. Romney supporters HATE Obama and don't want to hear anything about him. Class discussions can get rather heated.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Obama will maintain his strong lead in the electoral college and win handily in November.
madokie
(51,076 posts)somewhere in that range. I know he and Joe got my wife and I fired up, stepson right there with us too, fired up.
Shame it won't make any difference though as Oklahoma is not going blue anytime soon, too many ignorant people. Ignorant of the facts because they watch fair and balanced for what little 'news' they get and or rush limbaugh the pedo creepinal.
Its a shame and I'd move so far as I couldn't even find anything to read about oklahoma except its my home and there just isn't anywhere I'd like to be except where I'm at, where I've always been. I think that if I was to move I'd loose too many roots in the transplant and not be able to survive so I'm sorta stuck. You know back when I was a kid we were a solid blue state but somewhere along the lines shit started happening, like rushbo, fox noise and all the baggage they brought with them, some real tools in other words. Oh and the electronic vote counting machines came into being during this time frame also.
OmahaBlueDog
(10,000 posts)1-2% at most. Although I was pleased to see we out drew the NFL in the ratings, people have many other TV viewing choices.
HOWEVER......
I think that this was a huge wake-up call for the dems/Obama supporters who were watching. Obama supporters are much more enthusiastic than they were before the convention, and both here and on FB I see mention of people who are going to contribute money or volunteer. In short, I think we've closed the enthusiasm gap.
Now, onto the debates......
1-Old-Man
(2,667 posts)I've been watching Conventions for decades and this set of them was the most telling of the bunch. We have a stark choice before us and the Conventions drove it home. Will we be a nation who's leaders are persuaded by fact or faith? I think the conventions will have helped many make that choice and its a choice that once made is hard to come back from. So I think there will be a bounce adn that it will hold.
Proud Public Servant
(2,097 posts)Not that we didn't have a great convention; that was probably the best Dem convention of my lifetime, and certainly the best at proudly embracing what we stand for. But convention bounces come from swaying undecided voters, and this year there seem to be very few of those. So the room for a bounce is quite small.
That's not to say the convention didn't matter. I think it has done a great job of firing up the party, and that's what's going to matter. As somebody I was reading said this morning, the party enthused about voting for its own candidate always beats the party that's only voting against the opposition. In many ways, this whole election seems to be turning into 2004 in reverse.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)bad job numbers which will blunt any bounce.