Electoral Vote today shows 3 Senate races as "barely republican" - can we help push those over?

[Beaverhausen]

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Senate/Maps/Sep22-s.html

Shelley Berkley in Nevada is one point down against Dean Heller and supposedly Rove is supporting Heller
http://www.shelleyberkley.com/

Richard Carmona is one down down in Arizona
http://www.carmonaforarizona.com/

Mark Clayton in Tennessee - don't know what the polls say

edit: Now that I read a little more about him, I don't think he's someone we should support.

Elizabeth Warren still needs our help
http://elizabethwarren.com/splash-pages/learnmoretoday?utm_expid=49474463-0&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Felizabethwarren.com%2F



I'm in safe blue area in a blue state, so I want to try to help out where I can.

Who wants to join me?

[sunflowerseed]

1. I'm in a red state but I donated to Elizabeth Warren.

[oldhippydude]

2. wish i had some money to send..

wish too we had Howard Dean's 50 state strategy this year... perhaps as the campaign progresses the POTUS and maybe President Clinton can give them some attention..

I'm in NM safely blue so i know how you feel

[IVoteDFL]

3. I wish that I could.

I've already gone over my budget for political donations. Most of it to defeating the marriage amendment in my state. I too am safe in a blue state. My senator has virtually no chance of losing. I don't even know what her opponent's name is. If it wasn't for this stupid amendment I would have more funds to send. I really wanted to give to Elizabeth Warren, but I just can't afford it now. I literally don't have even one cent in the bank right now.

[David in Canada]

4. Not Tennessee

Tennessee is only listed as barely Republican because it reflects the margin Corker won over Harold Ford, Jr. in 2006. Since there have been no polls whatsoever, that six-year old election result is the only data available. Were a poll ever to be conducted, it would likely show a huge lead for Corker and significant support for the Green Party candidate, similar to what happened in the Jim DeMint vs. Alvin Greene matchup that resulted in the Green nominee getting ~9% of the vote.

As for Arizona and Nevada, they are both doable. I think Arizona is more likely to turn blue than Nevada because there is no incumbent and Jeff Flake is, well... a flake. In Nevada, Heller has the advantage of incumbency, isn't too controversial and Berkley has some issues to deal with, bullshit but it will turn off some low information voters nevertheless.

I also think Heidi Heitkamp will defeat Rick Berg. Although North Dakota is a reliable 3 electoral votes for the GOP presidential nominee, with down ballot races, voters seem to be less partisan and more personal with their vote. Berg has rubbed many people the wrong way and Heitkamp still has goodwill from her tenure as Attorney General and her battle with breast cancer. Sure, she lost to John Hoeven for governor back in 2000, but Hoeven is probably the most popular politico in the state, former Gov. Ed Shaefer being the possible exception. Her loss was due to people liking Hoeven more rather than a dislike for her. Also, she was still undergoing treatment for breast cancer and some might have had concerns over her survivability.

Probably the most disappointing could-have-been race in Nebraska. Bob Kerrey looks good on paper. Remember, some people who will be voting in this election were infants or toddlers the last time he was on a ballot in 1994. Also, many of the New Deal Democrats that were living at that time and gave him his margin of victory are no longer with us. Had the scoundrel Bob Bruning won the primary or the bumbling nincompoop Don Stenberg, he would have a more realistic path to victory.

[Skee]

5. Ban the Blackbox

If it's electronic, it's no election.

[link:http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2004/11/1101_041101_election_voting.html|

[jsmirman]

6. Call the campaigns and see if you can make calls for them

Berkley and Warren are very important to support.

Heck, if you have the time, trying to pitch in on Carmona is definitely worth it.

This is a very worthwhile endeavor.