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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNate Silver just updated his forecast for 2nd time today - now at 73.1% chance of Obama winning
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/That's up 1.1% from his update earlier this evening.
From his Twitter account starting an hour ago:
https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight
Sorry, we missed PPP's VA poll and Rasmussen's AZ poll. Re-running tonight's numbers with those included.
Obama 73% to win w/ those polls added. Bottom line simple: Romney is trailing - slightly - in tipping point states. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com
That CO and VA are still toss-ups makes Obama's map more resilient if something goes wrong in OH. Model still bearish on him in FL, however.
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Nate Silver just updated his forecast for 2nd time today - now at 73.1% chance of Obama winning (Original Post)
highplainsdem
Oct 2012
OP
I wonder if anyone has looked at the forcast of Hurricane Sandy. And the impact it might Nov 6
democrat in dixie
Oct 2012
#9
We are just praying that it is not as bad when it his here in nyc and surrounding areas.
hrmjustin
Oct 2012
#11
sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)1. Kick!
applegrove
(118,745 posts)2. GO BAMA!
[font size=20] GO BAMA[/font]
Logical
(22,457 posts)3. Everyone should K&R this!
Astazia
(262 posts)4. WooooooHooooo *~*~ Go dems!.Looks like we'll keep the Senate also!
*~*WoooHooo WoooHooo*~*
W H
BainsBane
(53,041 posts)5. 75.6% in the now cast and currently 72% in the Nov 6 cast. n/t
flamingdem
(39,314 posts)6. It's outta control!
Nate has to stay up all night updating
mick063
(2,424 posts)7. Hay Nate
Sorry but you gonna have to run it a fourth time.
Meat Loaf just made a late night appearance.
EarthGurl2012
(80 posts)10. Best Laugh of the day, Thanks!!!
pointsoflight
(1,372 posts)8. Surprised those two additional polls moved it that much.
Have to think it's because of the PPP of VA. It shows how dramatically the picture changes if VA becomes more solidly on the blue side--gives many more paths to victory and makes a number of other states less critical.
democrat in dixie
(2 posts)9. I wonder if anyone has looked at the forcast of Hurricane Sandy. And the impact it might Nov 6
They are calling it the perfect storm, so what if that perfect storm has left the northeastern coast with no power on election day.
Has anyone thought of that? I also hear Sandy is picking up strength.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)11. We are just praying that it is not as bad when it his here in nyc and surrounding areas.
We may have big problems here.
Tribetime
(4,701 posts)12. Ohio up to 50% tipping point state VA, NEV, WI 9% EACH,IOWA7%
COLORADO 6% PA 3%