DKos Nevada Early Voting Update, 10/28/12

[RandySF]

or these reports, I will only be tracking Clark County and Washoe County. Together, they account for just shy of 90% of all registered voters in Nevada.

First let's start with the numbers from Clark County:

Here are the cumulative early voting figures:

Dems 119,908 (49.70%)
Reps 77,209 (32.00%)
Inds 44,133 (18.29%)

TOTAL 241,250

Here are the additional early ballots cast since the last daily report:

Dems +14,422
Reps +9,655
Inds +5,829

It was a nice recovery for our side. Republicans got to within about 3,700 votes in the last daily report. Here, Democrats bested Republicans by about 4,800 votes. Our numbers went up and their numbers went down.

Now, here are the cumulative figures, including mail-in ballots:

Dems 135,721 (49.09%)
Reps 91,172 (32.98%)
Inds 49,564 (17.93%)

TOTAL 276,457

As of this report, 32.46% of the 851,803 active voters in Clark County have voted. 2012 turnout is still running about 10 points higher percentage-wise than in 2008, although our advantage is not as big as in 2008. In 2008, for the entirety of the early voting period, Democrats led about 52% to 30% over Republicans in Clark County. Still, we are in a very solid position in Nevada's most populous county.

Now, let's take a look at Washoe County.

Here are the cumulative early voting numbers:

Dems 25,433 (42.48%)
Reps 24,235 (40.48%)
Inds 10,204 (17.04%)

TOTAL 59,872

Here are the new early votes since the last report:
Dems +2,991
Reps +2,833

Democrats outstripped Republicans in early votes for the third straight day in Washoe County. In the last report, we edged the Republicans by only a handful of ballots, but in this one we bested them by about 160 ballots. This is welcome news for a county in which Republicans actually outnumber Democrats by about 1,000 active voters.

Here are the cumulative figures, including mail-in ballots:

Dems 29,507
Reps 28,488
Inds 11,859

TOTAL 69,854

As of now, this constitutes 28.93% of the 241,459 active voters in Washoe County.

Overall, the numbers are better today than they were in the last report. Statewide, taking into account all early voting and mail-in ballots, Democrats lead Republicans 45% to 37%. In reality, Democrats lead Republicans among active voters by about seven percentage points, so we are still overperforming our actual advantage slightly.


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/28/1151467/-Nevada-Early-Voting-Update-10-28-12

[LisaL]

1. Nevada is looking good.

[BumRushDaShow]

2. Thanks for posting this!

Great to hear things are going good in NV.

[rollin74]

3. Obama is very likely to win this state

as long as he at least keeps it close with independents, the early voting lead should be enough to overcome any surge by republicans as election day nears

unfortunately, Washoe county (where I live) looks like it's going back to red this year

but probably not by a big enough margin to spoil the statewide outcome

[littlemissmartypants]

4. Thank you.

[CoffeeCat]

5. Iowa has similar positive numbers

Roughly 30 percent of the Iowa electorate has participated in early voting.

Registered Democrats have cast 44 percent of the votes; Republicans have cast 30 percent. Independents are responsible for the remaining early votes.

A 14 point advantage, with an estimated 1/3 of the vote in--is good news indeed.

[Dalai_1]

6. Thank you Randy

great detailed post!