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RandySF

(61,064 posts)
Mon May 13, 2024, 04:10 PM May 13

PA: GOP Registrations Continue to Rise in Commonwealth

If you are trying to read the “tea leaves” for clues to how the 2024 presidential election will turn out in the Commonwealth, you could do worse than looking at the voter registration rolls.

PoliticsPA looked at the latest voter registration data from the Department of State and based on the numbers alone, Republicans continue to cut into Democrats’ numerical lead and the inroads reinforce Pennsylvania’s new state slogan – the “Swingiest of the Swing States.”

The GOP gained an additional 10,152 new registrants since the end of March, while Democrats have shed nearly 4,600. Just over 18,000 Democrats have opted to change party affiliation from D to R, while an additional 11,000 switched away from either party.

Philadelphia has seen nearly 2,000 voters switch away from the Democratic party during the first 4 1/2 months of 2024, while the GOP has only shed 366. In Allegheny County, just over 400 made the change away from Republican, while Dems lost more than two times that number (922)




https://www.politicspa.com/gop-registrations-continue-to-rise-in-commonwealth/134953/

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Cheezoholic

(2,091 posts)
1. Not familiar with PA politics but could a good percentage of those DR switches be
Mon May 13, 2024, 04:29 PM
May 13

closed Primary D's switching to vote against Trump (or other repukes for that matter?).

lees1975

(4,019 posts)
3. As a former PA resident, I can tell you a lot of the party switching is due to primary elections.
Mon May 13, 2024, 04:46 PM
May 13

There was allegedly a big shift in party registrations prior to the 2020 election, which Biden won in the state, and another alleged switch just before the mid-term sweep by the Democrats. A lot of it has to do with local elections, where the decision is made during the primary because the other party doesn't have a candidate running in that area.

These are small fry switches, too. I think the Democratic party advantage in PA is over a million.

Cheezoholic

(2,091 posts)
10. Those numbers we're prior to the 4/30 Primaries and what would be a "closed general election"???
Tue May 14, 2024, 09:06 AM
May 14

Respectfully, I'm not an idiot.

bucolic_frolic

(43,929 posts)
5. And the Wildwood rally was really a full court press for Philly
Mon May 13, 2024, 04:53 PM
May 13

because historically and traditionally so many small business owners from South Philly own vacation homes in Wildwood. This is what Trump did in PA In 2016, but he did it in small ethnic towns.

These numbers are dismal.

bucolic_frolic

(43,929 posts)
8. Is something else going on?
Tue May 14, 2024, 08:55 AM
May 14

Last edited Tue May 14, 2024, 10:52 AM - Edit history (1)

Are non-voters being registered as Republicans? Perhaps with false credentials?

I don't like to ask the question, and think it unlikely or impossible, but this is so countertrend to this year's registrations elsewhere ...

https://www.democraticunderground.com/132222961

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