It's EASY to be confident when it's all theory, but when real people's lives and jobs and businesses are on the line the theories start to sound as substantial as unicorn giggles-- or Republican faerie tales, only the opposite Democratic party version. And that's something to keep in mind, because the theories which give you supreme confidence are just that. The economists you hear spouting them also thought NAFTA sounded like a great idea at the time. Krugman and Reich, champions of aggressive minimum wage increases not only supported NAFTA, they both support giving it another go with the TPP. Neither of them warned of the housing and banking collapse prior to it happening-- the loudest voices warning about that were assholes like Peter Schiff. He was right, and damn near every other 'expert' on the planet, including the guys urging states to go crazy on the minimum wage, were wrong.
Economics might use lots of math, but it's damn sure not a science. It's more a religion. It comes closest to being a science down where the metal hits the meat, at that small corner store or Walmart where the customers and business owners and employers live. It's not theory down there, but none of them have megaphones so you have to actually listen.
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