How big a deal if ALG defeats Mitch McConnell?

[kentuck]

Repubs will have to pick a new Leader. Who would that be?

After the defeat of Cantor, some of the obstructionists and extremists, still hanging on, may get a little gun-shy before the next election?

They may even decide that "compromise" is not such a bad word after all?

[pkdu]

1. I hope she wins , but can you imagine Senate Majority Leader ....

Ted . Cruze .

[pscot]

6. He has bigger game in mind

[pkdu]

9. Yes he does , but not in 2016 , and SML would be a stepping stone. Nt

[NYC_SKP]

2. It's big.

[demwing]

3. I'd sure like to see another poll in her favor

but McConnell seems to be solid in his polling.

Grimes has to break hard this week, or completely defy the polls (in other words, change the definition of "likely voter&quot .

[kentuck]

4. I think what the polls are not showing....

...is the extent of grass roots support that Alison has generated, especially amongst women. This will be a higher turnout for Democrats than the average mid-term election, in my opinion.

Also, Mitch McConnell has a very poor approval rating in the state and we don't yet know what impact the two largest newspapers' endorsements of Alison will have on his supporters.

I simply do not put much stock in any of these polls at this time.

It all depends on turnout and I think ALG will have a very good turnout. The question is how many of these hard-core Republican voters will be motivated to go to the polls on November 4th? They are a secretive lot.

[demwing]

7. Do you know of a source following the early voting returns?

How's the turnout?

[kentuck]

8. No, unfortunately.

It's a very interesting race.

[catbyte]

5. I'm hopeful because the latest poll was landline only & they're still essentially tied.

Now if younger people GOTV, we will have the joyful sight of seeing evil Yertle the Turtle crawl into the sunset--and into a cushy Wall Street "advisory" position.

[demwing]

11. There's a new "YouGov" poll out, but it's an email only poll

and has Grimes down by 6.

I've no experience with these types of polls, but the methodology seems suspect. They use cookies to eliminate duplicate votes, but admit that the cookies can be cleared. WTF?

Interviewing Procedures

The survey was conducted using YouGov’s web-based survey system. Third party panelists were selected based upon criteria determined by YouGov and invited via an email with a link which took them to the YouGov survey system.

To discourage duplicate responses, visitors to the YouGov survey system are “cookied” so that repeat visitors can be detected and discarded from the sample. (Users can delete cookies from their system, but only 3 percent of YouGov panelists who have taken a previous survey in the past 90 days have done so.)

https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/05/cbs-newsnew-york-times-battleground-tracker/

Do they not think users might have multiple emails?

[pstokely]

15. problem is, a lot of Kentucky is old and white

even if younger people come out, there many not be enough

[tritsofme]

10. People like John Cornyn and Roy Blunt are in the their leadership

and would probably be angling for a promotion. Cruz, Paul, Rubio want to run for president, and don't seem interested in Senate leadership.

If anything, I think a GOP lead by Cornyn could be worse. He just doesn't seem very bright.

[MerryBlooms]

12. HOOGE! Universe altering HUGE! The HEWGEST! n/t

[msongs]

13. if she wins will she keep snubbing the black guy in the white house? nt

[kentuck]

14. Only when he's wrong...

...would be my guess? She will not put Leader or Party over the people of her state.