Crist Opens Up 7 Point Lead Over Scott in Florida

[RandySF]

In the race for Florida Governor, which has been neck and neck for months, a new poll by Zogby Analytics shows former Governor Charlie Crist now leading incumbent Governor Rick Scott 45% to 38%. Libertarian Adrian Wyllie is polling an impressive 8% and 9% are undecided.

The poll of 688 likely Florida voted was conducted online October 28-31 and has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.

While Crist and Scott are about tied among men, Crist is benefiting strongly from a 13 point lead among women (47% to 34%). Crist also enjoys strong support from 18-29 year olds (45% to 30%) and 30-49 year olds (52% to 32%). Crist also leads among 50-64 year olds by 7 points (46% to 39%), while Scott is ahead among voters over 65 (48% to 37%). Crist has the support of 84% of Democrats and Scott holds 74% of Republicans. But Crist has a lead of 6 points among independents (37% to 31%). Wyllie’s strongest support comes from independents (14%), retirees (12%), and whites (11%).

Crist is behind Scott among white voters (43% – 39%), but more than makes up for that deficit with commanding leads among Hispanics (50% to 37%) and African Americans (82% to 6%). Scott is ahead in the GOP north (48% to 34%) but that is not enough to offset Crist’s commanding lead in the Democratic bastion of South Florida where Crist leads by 23 points (53% to 30%). Crist also leads in the important swing region known as the I-4 Corridor (47% to 38%).

http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2014/11/02/crist-opens-up-7-point-lead-over-scott-in-florida/

[Ykcutnek]

1. A silver lining for Tuesday night would be a Crist win...

Definitely don't want Rick Scott in charge in 2016...

Especially if Jeb runs.

[tritsofme]

2. Zogby? Meh.

I didn't know he was still in business. Crist has had the edge in polling for the past few weeks, but I take this particular poll with a grain of salt.

[bluestateguy]

3. Zogby does a lot of screwy polls

Just a warning. While they sometimes get things right, they have also had some spectacular embarrassments in the past.

[A Simple Game]

4. There goes the theory that you can't beat a Republican by being Republican lite. Wait, maybe not,

Crist is a Republican lite acting like a Democrat not a Democrat acting like Republican lite. I need to think about this for awhile.

[Zambero]

21. For Florida anyway....

Crist is about as far to the left (or middle) as one could be and still win a statewide election.

[lpbk2713]

5. I think that Fangate thing backfired on Scott.

Plus, people are beginning to catch on to what a real weasel Scott is.

[Dopers_Greed]

6. I really hope that rip-off artist loses

But I'm not getting overly confident.

No matter what the polls look like, Repugs always do much better than expected in the actual election results.

[hot hunk]

9. Tell Romney that

nope

[SoapBox]

7. Keeping my fingers crossed!

This scumbag has GOT to go.

[tavernier]

8. And will even more once they read this:

http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/opn-columns-blogs/carl-hiaasen/article3370789.html

[SomethingFishy]

12. Thanks.. I love Hiaasen.. and he nailed it...

[tavernier]

14. That will leave a mark!

Carl's opinion carries mega weight in Florida.

[quaker bill]

15. I would give Charlie a tad more credit

not much more. I think Charlie wants to do the right thing, - - as long as it is not too hard.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. It's a Zombie Poll but I hope it's true./NT

[quaker bill]

11. yes please

[UTUSN]

13. R#30 & K n/t

[JCMach1]

16. Outlier poll... Will be closer than that, but Crist will win...

just judging by how little support Scott has here in North Florida (i.e. deep red Florida)... He has to win these areas by 65% + to win. He isn't going to get that.

[florida08]

17. well Nate Silver seems to think

Poll-prediction guru Nate Silver gives Charlie Crist a "slight" 60% chance of winning

Read more here: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2014/11/poll-prediction-guru-nate-silver-gives-charlie-crist-a-slight-60-chance-of-winning.html#storylink=cpy


Charlie Crist of Florida, the former Republican turned Democrat, is just slightly more likely than not to oust Republican Gov. Rick Scott from office. A slightly safer bet for a Democratic pickup is in Kansas, where Paul Davis has a 81 percent chance of beating Republican incumbent Sam Brownback.

Read more here: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2014/11/poll-prediction-guru-nate-silver-gives-charlie-crist-a-slight-60-chance-of-winning.html#storylink=cpy

[lark]

18. Don't know who to believe

It was reported this morning that there was a 1.4% edge for Crist. Was that more just trying to depress Dem turnout or is that real?
Since this was on Morning Jo, I'll go with the depress turnout view, lol.

We voted already and that's 4 votes for Crist. Hope lots of people early vote because I don't trust them not to run the no ballots available scam or any other scam they can think of to keep Voldemort in office.

[DonCoquixote]

19. Until Rock Scott gives the concession speech

I will not relax, because GOP voters in thsi state will happily have someone "stand their ground" ala Zimmerman. I wish i was joking, but I do not put it past some of the yahoos.

[Zambero]

20. Let it be true!

Send that skeleton back to the bone pile.

[sammy750]

22. Scott was the billion $ felon Governor in Florida. The old, senile people living in Florida

don't have any idea that Scott was a 14 charged and convicted felon from TX. The GOP moved him to FL to win the Governorship, knowing the voters were old and senile.

[Hissyspit]

23. Whoopie-do.