David Sirota: Tuesday Probably Meant Nothing for 2016

[marmar]

from truthdig:


Tuesday Probably Meant Nothing for 2016

Posted on Nov 7, 2014
By David Sirota


The dramatic, across-the-board victory engineered by Republicans in Tuesday’s elections would seem to bode well for the party’s chance to capture the White House in 2016. The GOP took full control of Congress, flipped at least four governor’s offices from blue to red, and prompted much talk of a resurgent Republican movement.

Not so fast. A more careful look at the returns significantly complicates the narrative that an American electorate, which recently tilted Democratic, has since shifted back to the Republican fold.

In fact, the 2014 election results appear to say more about who did not vote than who did: Younger voters and minority communities stayed home in large numbers, as is typical during a midterm election. If trends from the last two presidential elections hold, those same groups are likely to be far more energized during the next White House campaign, making Tuesday’s results of limited value in predicting 2016.

If anything, data from the midterms reveal that Republicans could face a steeper climb than usual in two years. Exit polls showed that Republicans actually got a smaller percentage of the female vote than they did in the 2010 midterms, even as many of their highest profile candidates tried to moderate their image on issues like abortion and contraception. .................(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/tuesday_probably_meant_nothing_for_2016_20141107

[PCIntern]

1. Oh my Goodness! I feel SO MUCH better now!!!!

this is great news...we're all set for another victory. Even in defeat we look forward to continued successes. After all, just because we are plummeting into catastrophic depths, there seems to be a light at the botton of the abyss. I feel positively resurrected by this article!

[Scuba]

2. By that time the Republicans will have suppressed all the Democratic votes.

[otohara]

3. Obama Racism & Hate Will Have Subsided

but Hillary hate and sexism will be on the rise.

Probably anyway

[WhiteTara]

7. So true, so true.

After people of color, it is women of all colors.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

5. Are you in the right place?

[tontonmacoute]

6. Should Obama bow in obsequious recognition of the Republicans mightiness?

You will not last long here parroting Republican talking points.

There is no sea change in the pattern that has dogged virtually every modern presidency in the second term.

But you are right about an honest assessment. What they have to assess is that Republicans are scheming and manipulating to diminish the massive demographic advantage that Dems have in 2016. As Chris Christie said, they will be "controlling" the vote in many battleground states.