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applegrove

(118,778 posts)
Wed Jan 14, 2015, 09:00 PM Jan 2015

Looking For Clues: Who Is Going To Run For President In 2016

Looking For Clues: Who Is Going To Run For President In 2016

By Harry Enten at Fivethirtyeight

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/2016-president-who-is-going-to-run/

"SNIP...............



To try and find some answers, we’re starting a recurring “Will They Run?” feature. We’ll look at three variables:

1.What the person has said about running. If candidates say they are definitely running, they get a 5. If they say they are exploring or seriously considering a run, they get a 4. If they are unsure, they get a 3. If they haven’t ruled it out but are leaning toward no, they get a 2. If they say they aren’t running, they get a 1.

2.How many events — rallies, fundraisers, political meetings, etc. — they have held in Iowa and New Hampshire (the “early states”).

3.How many national primary polls they have been included in.



..............SNIP"
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Looking For Clues: Who Is Going To Run For President In 2016 (Original Post) applegrove Jan 2015 OP
A hat. n/t Autumn Jan 2015 #1
Why are there less Democrats? yuiyoshida Jan 2015 #2
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