The 10 Senate seats most likely to switch parties in 2016 elections per the Washington Post

[RandySF]

I'll just post the list because it would otherwise be too long. Details are avaiable by following the link:

1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Florida
4. Nevada
5. Pennsylvania
6. New Hampshire
7. Colorado
8. Ohio
9. North Carolina
10. Arizona


http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/10-senate-races-most-likely-to-switch-parties-in-2016-elections/2015/06/07/d9215fbc-0d13-11e5-9726-49d6fa26a8c6_story.html

[elleng]

1. 'Duckworth doesn’t have a clear path in the primary, though.'

WTF???

[mopinko]

3. robin kelly just dropped out.

not sure if anyone else is working on it. tammy is gonna mop the floor w that little twerp. and the way rauner is showing folks what nutbags the thugs are these days, the skids are just greased.

however, i think they are a little over board crowning hillary. we shall see about that. if it is bernie, he will likely bring out a lot of disaffected, not completely batshit "swing voters".

[Spitfire of ATJ]

12. Bad metaphor for someone with no legs.

[Iliyah]

2. And more! Also gaining in the house.

GOPers are a menace to society!

[blue neen]

4. Pennsylvania is a real possibility.

Pat (I never met a bank I didn't like) Toomey barely won in 2010, in a verrrry Republican year in PA. I like Joe Sestak, but Katie McGinty would also be a very strong candidate. They both are capable of beating Mr. Heritage Foundation.

[Ken Burch]

9. Just don't make our nominee there be another goddam antichoicer.

Last edited Mon Jun 15, 2015, 03:50 AM - Edit history (1)

We don't have to nominate anti-woman Dems to win in PA-the place is out of the "Deer Hunter" era now.

[calimary]

14. Hear Hear!

[blue neen]

15. I think both Sestak and McGinty are both pro-choice.

You'd be surprised, though, at how parts of PA are still very "Deer Runner" (not sure what that phrase means, but I'm guessing "very conservative&quot .

[Ken Burch]

17. It's a reference to the mindset of the movie "The Deer Hunter". n/t.

[blue neen]

18. I'm not familiar with that one.

Would you possibly be referencing "The Deer Hunter"?

[Ken Burch]

19. Thanks for the correction...I'll change it.

[blue neen]

20. No problem.

It's late at night, ya know?

[jen63]

5. Gawd, I hope Strickland

can take Portman out of Ohio!! Then we will have two kick ass liberal Senators!!

[blue neen]

16. Strickland is running?

Oh, that's good news. He's a great guy and would make a terrific Senator from Ohio!

[jen63]

23. He's such a good man!

Yep, he and Frances are campaigning like mad!!

[freshwest]

6. I'm not optimistic about other places. And consider Pelosi, etc. retiring. n/t

[former9thward]

7. I don't know why Arizona is on the list.

No credible candidate has announced against McCain.

[Spitfire of ATJ]

10. Expect to see McCain standing at the border again in his best "white guy" outfit.

[Michigan-Arizona]

11. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick Running for Senate Against John McCain n/t

[former9thward]

24. I know.

That is why I said "credible candidate."

[WorseBeforeBetter]

8. Hagan v. Burr?

LOL

Oh, why am I not surprised: Chris Cillizza.

[hfojvt]

13. so Nevada and Colorado would be losses

here's the whole map and some polls

http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php

here's a list of some potential candidates

http://www.politics1.com/senate.htm

[Scuba]

21. Russ Feingold will win his seat back from Sunspot Johnson if and only if ...

... we can have a fair and honest election here in Wisconsin. That's a very big "if".

[HereSince1628]

22. I hope the general brings enough people out to make theft impossible.

If it stays a two candidate contest Russ only needs a get 3%-4% GOTV advantage to have a 6%-8% advantage in the election results due to the way degrees of freedom break across the 50% mark. Historically that's pretty much the turnout advantage that's had WI going dem in the generals for over 20 years.