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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAn electoral tie is not out of the realm of possibility
Not saying this will happen. But just something to think about...
Looking at the latest polling data, this scenario is not totally implausible. If Trump wins the Romney states plus FL, OH, IA, NV, and NH. That will give both candidates 269 electoral votes. As of right now, the RCP averages have Trump in the lead in each of those states except for NH, which has Clinton up 4.7.
If this happens, the election goes to the House of Representatives. Each state delegation has 1 vote. Whoever gets 26 votes becomes President.
The Vice President is elected in the Senate. Whoever gets 51, becomes Vice President.
It's not unprecedented. This has happened before, twice. 1800 and 1824. It's fully Constitutional.
And just to note, that only the top 3 in the electoral college are eligible. So if this happens the House can't just stick Paul Ryan in there or whoever else they want. They got to pick from the top 3 in the electoral college tally. So unless Evan McMullin pulls an upset in Utah, the House will ONLY be able to choose between Clinton and Trump.
Who would win if this happens? The GOP is likely to control at least 27 state delegations. So unless the Democrats were able to broker a deal and peel off 3 delegations, Trump would win.
vadermike
(1,415 posts)Is ahead in FL most polls today put her ahead and NV early vote she is winning big time I don't see a tie RCP is very right tilted
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)That is that all electors will vote for who they are pledged to. If one elector defected to say Ryan, he'd then
count in the "top 3".
gratuitous
(82,849 posts)Trump will be lucky to break 200 electoral votes. He's going to get schlonged on Nov. 8.
Nuclear Unicorn
(19,497 posts)misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)whatthehey
(3,660 posts)The likelihoods are equally worth planning for or speculating about.