Edited to show pic - USDMXN (Mexican Peso) and Hillary (nice move for her today)

[Lucky Luciano]

Last edited Sat Nov 5, 2016, 01:51 PM - Edit history (2)

In this picture you can see exactly how $MXN reacts to important events for the election - it goes up with good news for Orangefuck and down with good news for the USA.

I have often referenced that I use $MXN as my proxy for Hillary's odds. You can see why with this picture. I think $MXN goes to 18 on her winning and to 22 on orangefuck winning. At 19.00 roughly right now, that gives her an implied probability of 75% for winning based on my assumptions. A few days ago we were at 19.55 which was starting to feel uncomfortable. Before the first debate it was at 19.90ish - then she crushed him...and the Billy Bush tape came out later and he was flailing about for a while - and we got to 18.5 - 90% implied odds...Then the Comey interference and a favorable orangefuck poll double whammy took us back to 19.55. Nice to see us recover down to 19.00. May it be below 18.00 by Wednesday morning!

[Lucky Luciano]

1. Kick for the updated pic! nt