Sanders Needs First-Timers To Tie Clinton In Dem Caucus

[hoosierlib]

Source: Quinnipiac

"Also relying on first-time Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has 49 percent, with 46 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 3 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley. Only 2 percent remain undecided and 14 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind."

The size of the turnout tonight will likely be the key factor, especially on the Democratic side," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "High turnouts with lots of new caucus participants likely would mean a good night for Sen. Bernie Sanders, and for Donald Trump." 

"There is a huge gender gap among likely Democratic Caucus participants, with men backing Sanders over Clinton 63 - 32 percent and women backing Clinton 56 - 39 percent."

"From January 25 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 890 Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points and 919 Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones."







Read more: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320

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A dead heat...going to be barn burner tonight...and thankfully the blizzard is holding off until afyer the voting

#feeltheburn

[fbc]

1. or "Clinton needs elderly Reagan democrats to beat Sanders"

[Blue_Adept]

2. or "O'Malley just needs someone to show up so it wasn't all in vain"

[hoosierlib]

5. Ouch...lol

He's supposed to be participating in the newly created pre-New Hampshire debate.

[Gene Debs]

6. Awww, SNAP

[patricia92243]

3. My understanding is they also have to caucus in the necessary place. If they all caucus on their

college campus will not be the correct thing to do. Has something to do with the crazy way they count the votes.

Just heard about this on the telly this morning. I wonder if the new voters understand this. I have never heard of it, but I'm not from that neck of the woods. But, I have listened to the news coverage for years and have just never heard this.

It is kinda of a HUGE thing to not be more mentioned.

[hoosierlib]

4. very true...

The Sanders canpaign has planned for this by organzing shuttles to take college kids back to their home towns in order caucus and spread his supporters out.

[Schema Thing]

7. Fortunately, "38% of Dems say this is their first caucus"