Polls show tight Clinton-Trump race in 2016 battlegrounds

[TomCADem]

Source: The Hill

Battleground state polls show Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton locked in a tight race for the White House with just more than four months to go before Election Day.

Clinton has so far failed to pull away in the 10 states likely to determine the outcome of the 2016 election, even as Trump has suffered through what some political observers describe as the worst stretch they’ve seen a major presidential candidate endure.

Trump in the last few weeks has fired his campaign manager, seen Republicans flee from his campaign and released embarrassingly low fundraising figures.

Yet he is running competitively with Clinton in the states that will decide the winner of the White House after what may be looked back at as the low point of his campaign.

Read more: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/285110-polls-show-tight-clinton-trump-race-in-2016-battlegrounds

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Given the rise of far right, anti-immigrant parties in Europe, and the Brexit vote, we should not underestimate the pull of an overtly racist, anti-immigrant campaign.

[tonyt53]

1. It's not even July yet. Polls are meaningless until Labor Day.

[Cryptoad]

2. No ,, the Hill is a RWNJ Rag

[skepticscott]

14. Certainly not until after the conventions

and a couple of debates.

[Cryptoad]

3. This not FBN

its an opinion and analyse........ should be moved to GD

[gg4usa]

4. Clinton needs to prepare for fear-mongering attacks

I guess they can't pull out a terror-alert chart and make it blaze red right before the election again.

[padfun]

5. This article is misleading

It shows no numbers, and even admits that RealClearPolitics shows that Trump isn't leading in ANY of the 10 battleground states. NONE! So the race isn't as close at they pretend it is.

[AntiBank]

7. not defending anything, but it does have lots of numbers

Clinton’s largest lead is in Wisconsin, a state Democrats haven’t lost in a presidential election since 1984. According to a CBS News-YouGov poll released Sunday, she has a 5-percentage-point lead in the Badger State.

In every other state, the candidates are either tied or within 3.5 points of one another.

Pennsylvania is the battleground giving Democrats the most heartburn.

Its 20 electoral votes have not gone to the GOP nominee in almost 30 years, yet a Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey of the state released this month found Trump and Clinton tied, while a Quinnipiac University poll showed Clinton ahead by only 1 point. Analysts at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics recently shifted Pennsylvania from “Likely Democratic” to “Leans Democratic.”

The contest in New Hampshire, which has gone for the Democratic candidate in five of the last six presidential cycles, is also a toss-up, with the latest poll showing the candidates are tied.

Trump and Clinton are tied in Ohio, but Clinton holds a 3.4 point lead over Trump in Florida, according to the RCP average.

Florida, by far the biggest swing state with 29 electoral votes, was won by Obama by less than 1 point in 2012 Clinton has only a 1-point lead in Colorado, according to a CBS-YouGov poll released over the weekend. That poll found that a plurality of voters only support Clinton because they oppose Trump, and vice versa.

In Virginia, Clinton has a 42 to 39 lead over Trump, according to a recent PPP survey.

But again, there are warning signs here for the Democrat.

Trump leads big, 42 to 29, among independent voters.

And that survey found that Clinton’s lead would be larger, but that supporters of Bernie Sanders have yet to get on board with her campaign.

The only state where Trump is presently favored to win is North Carolina, where he holds a 1.3-point advantage in the RealClearPolitics average.

[skepticscott]

13. Exactly..when it says Trump is "running competitively"

in all of those states, what they really mean is that he's behind in all those states.

Just like someone saying "our prices are competitive" really means "our prices are higher".

[ananda]

6. This source cannot be trusted.

nuff said

[Saviolo]

8. The media will try to create a close race

Even if there is none.

TYT did a little analysis on some actual polling numbers last night that show Clinton pull well ahead of Trump as his campaign begins its collapse (I hope). The teflon coating on Trump is starting to chip and the ridiculous things he's saying are starting to sully his reputation instead of gaining him more attention.

The mainstream media needs this to be a close race. They need the excitement that will bring in viewers and advertising dollars in their waning and dying industry. If the pundits don't have a conflict to talk about, they just don't get the eyeballs necessary for ad revenue for their top brass. So you can bet that if there are 10 polls that show the race isn't close, the media will talk about #11 that shows them neck-and-neck.

But please, don't take this as an indication that this is over. It's a long way to November, and lots can still happen. The RNC could be a game-changer and if the GOP finds a candidate that is even a -little- more likable than Trump, there could still be a tight race. As Cenk points out, according to polling, Trump is beating Hillary handily among white voters. Still vital for Democrats to GOTV and make sure that the numbers overwhelm the GOP.

[Happyhippychick]

11. Is the implication that she hasn't been honest up until now?

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

10. The media needs this to be a horserace, no matter what.

Trump is fading fast. Hopefully not too fast for the RNC to change horses.

[Doctor Jack]

12. This article seems to be cherry picking polls

The averages are a lot better for clinton than the numbers they are throwing out. The only state that is closer than i like is iowa where she is up by only about 3.5 points in the averages. Everywhere else, even Pennsylvania, look really good right now

[rladdi]

15. I find it amazing there are so many uneducated people supporting Trump. They care less

about what he says he will do as President. They are locked into a pass time zone, not related to reality today in America.

[klook]

16. Americans in battleground states apparently unsure of whether ice cream tastes better

than used motor oil.

[Juurd]

17. The hill disappeared the latest Wisconsin PPP poll

The article says that the latest Wisconsin poll has her up by 5, but she's actually ahead by 8 points in the last PPP poll which is the most recent Wisconsin poll of all http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

[whatthehey]

18. Sure, and the early 90's Cowboys and Bills were in a tight race for dominance

But the latter lost every damn time.