Evan McMullin takes the lead in latest Utah presidential poll
Source: The Salt Lake Tribune
The Emerson College poll, released Wednesday, found McMullin with 31 percent, followed by Republican Donald Trump at 27 percent and Democrat Hillary Clinton at 24 percent.
The last 20 polls found Trump ahead or in a statistical tie, and in this poll McMullin's results are at the edge of the 3.9 percent margin of error.
-snip-
Emerson College found that McMullin was strongest among younger voters, claiming 36 percent among those 18 to 34, while Trump and Clinton received 22 percent each. Trump beats McMullin, 35 percent to 24 percent among those who are 55 and older.
Read more: http://www.sltrib.com/news/4485415-155/evan-mcmullin-takes-the-lead-in
Polls from the Beehive State have been a bit all over the place lately, but the trend is definitely toward a statistical three-way tie. Just the fact that Utah -- a state where quite often there is not even a Democratic candidate for state leg. on the ballot in many districts -- is in play for Hillary
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,437 posts)McMullin may win Utah?
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)....which should be "safe R".
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,437 posts)Not that Utah matters at all. It would be gratifying to see Trump lose it at least........
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)NobodyHere
(2,810 posts)Now if Clinton could actually win the state...
yardwork
(61,703 posts)In order to win, a candidate must win 270 Electoral College votes. If you add up all the states that Trump will definitely win (like Mississippi), he is far short. If he loses Utah, he's even further behind.
Hillary has many combinations of possible ways to win without Utah.
NobodyHere
(2,810 posts)All that matters is that Hillary reaches 270.
If both candidates fail to reach that number then the house will select Trump anyways.
vdogg
(1,384 posts)Still gets Trump further away from 270.
karynnj
(59,504 posts)Of victory if he wins Utah and she wins.
The only scenario where he causes Trump not to get 270 is one where he gets to 270 with Utah and is short without it. However, that means that no one gets 270. This throws the race to Congress.
Massacure
(7,526 posts)If no candidate gets 270 votes, the election for president doesn't go to the full House of Representatives. Rather, each state's delegation in The House gets one vote. So the president is elected by winning 26 of 50 votes, and not 218 of 435.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)there is no way the election goes to the House. Trump losing Utah would be symptomatic of an overwhelming victory for Hillary. And an incredible embarrassment for him.
karynnj
(59,504 posts)malchickiwick
(1,474 posts)of epic proportion.
And the poll also suggests a trend that puts the state of Utah in play for Hillary, meaning that snow is starting to fall down in hell.
bmstee01
(453 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,444 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)to principle.
They're leading the way to fight for what's left of their party's soul.
Meanwhile, is there a bigger group of phonies than white Christian evangelicals?
malachi
(732 posts)Jeff Murdoch
(168 posts)maxsolomon
(33,400 posts)The nation of Deseret.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_of_Deseret
roamer65
(36,747 posts)It means solid red states like UT, TX and others are in play.
This election really has shades of 1912 to it.
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)Trump further away from 270. 😀
maxsolomon
(33,400 posts)Momos really don't like con men.
Unless they sell Herbalife.