Clinton Takes 1-Point Lead As Trump Admits He's Behind — IBD/TIPP Poll

[highplainsdem]

Source: IBD

Hillary Clinton took a 1-point lead in the IBD/TIPP presidential election tracking poll — 42% to 41% — which marks the first time Clinton has been in front in this poll. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson held steady at 8%, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein dipped at 3%.

Without rounding, Clinton currently stands at 41.6%, Trump at 40.8%, Johnson at 8.4% and Stein at 3.2%.

Clinton is also up by a point in a two-way matchup, 43% to 42%.

The IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll of 873 likely voters has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.6 percentage points. It has a weighted response of 308 Democrats, 257 Republicans and 292 people who called themselves either "independents" or "other." The results are based on a 6-day rolling average.

-snip-



Read more: http://www.investors.com/politics/clinton-takes-1-point-lead-as-trump-admits-hes-behind-ibdtipp-poll/

[ProfessorGAC]

1. I Question Their Methodology

It's too different than all the other polling.

[highplainsdem]

2. Agree it's been an outlier, but it's been a favorite of Trump's, since it had shown him leading.

His supporters are already denouncing the new results on Twitter.

[ProfessorGAC]

5. You're Right

That makes sense. And i applaud you delving into twitter to see what his troglodyte followers are saying.

[rpannier]

4. It's probably a down year for them

But, according to several articles I've read, they've been spot on the last 3 elections
Use it to remind lazy people to get out and vote

[ProfessorGAC]

6. 3 Elections?

So, in three essentially pure 2 person races where the incumbent was running twice, they got it right?

Doesn't sell me at all. My dog could have picked the last 3 elections.

[rpannier]

7. No

If I understand the articles correctly across the board they have been correct in election outcomes
Not just presidential
But, they've been correct in every state in all 3 presidential elections

[ProfessorGAC]

11. OK, But I'd Need To See That Data

I'll look for it. I have a hard time believing that they're nearly perfect and now they have been wrong on this one for 3 months. Something is amiss here.

[leftynyc]

3. She also took the lead in

that rassmussen poll that donnie and his minions were hanging their hat on:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct25

She's also pulled ahead in that lame LA Times poll:

http://www.latimes.com/politics/


There now isn't one poll that shows cheetoh jesus ahead.

[riversedge]

9. Yes, day by day--steady as she goes.

[riversedge]

8. This is one of 3 polls that Trump has been bragging he has been ahead in.

[MynameisBlarney]

10. So many polls...so many different results...