Clinton lead shrinks, even as nearly 6 in 10 expect her to win, Post-ABC tracking poll finds
Source: Washington Post
Donald Trump has gained on Hillary Clinton during the past week, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, solidifying support among core Republican groups as well as political independents.
Roughly 6 in 10 still expect Clinton to prevail, while the poll finds shrinking concerns about the accuracy of the vote count and voter fraud in the election.
Clinton holds a slight 48-44 percent edge over Trump among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 1 percent in the survey completed Sunday through Wednesday. Clinton held a six-point edge in the previous wave and a 12-point edge in the first wave of the tracking poll by ABC News Sunday (50 percent Clinton vs. 38 percent Trump). In a two-candidate contest, Clinton holds a five-point edge over Trump, 50 to 45 percent.
Trumps growth in support from 38 percent to 44 percent is fueled by shored-up support among Republican-leaning voting groups as well as a significant boost among political independents. Trump has made up ground among whites, particularly those without college degrees and women. Trump now leads by a 30 percentage point margin among white voters without college degrees, up from 20 points from this weekend. White women now tilt toward Trump by 48 to 43 percent after leaning 49 to 43 percent in Clintons favor before.
Read more: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/the-fix/wp/2016/10/28/clinton-lead-shrinks-even-as-nearly-6-in-10-expect-her-to-win-post-abc-tracking-poll-finds/?client=safari
The MSM had returned once again to giving Trump 24/7 coverage. Turn on CNN and what will be the subject? Trump. Also, no mention of taxes, environment, or actual policies.
George II
(67,782 posts)Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)n/t
Democat
(11,617 posts)Alerted.
busterbrown
(8,515 posts)Our country is filled with swaths of ignorance...
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)out the last couple of weeks worth of this election...
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,780 posts)...and I posted the article here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512549665
Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)vadermike
(1,415 posts)He gained a lot hope it's not a trend State polls look good but they are lagging I hope this is wrong otherwise I don't know what to say
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,780 posts)Nate Silver explained yesterday that polls are all over the road, and that's normal. He also explained that Trump's chances can't be completely discounted mostly because there is a chance that all of the pollsters have utilized a methodology that is somehow fundamentally flawed. And he also explained that the media wants a tightening poll narrative.
See this post: http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512549665
Saviolo
(3,270 posts)By the Bundy decision in Oregon.
They're looking at that and seeing a world full of possibility for angry armed white guys, so now they're figuring maybe they should go out and vote Trump. Trump gets a few more news cycles, the GOP gets some fundraising, and the media gets something closer to the horse race they so deeply desire.
Meanwhile anyone rational holds their heads and pops aspirin like they're candy.
Expect to see more of this:
Time to get out there and redouble the efforts to GOTV for Democratic voters. I'm terrified that there are people leaning back now and saying "Nah, Hillary's got this! No way can she lose!" instead of digging in on those last-minute voters.
still_one
(91,967 posts)and Person of Color who can vote, votes, we WILL WIN
Proud liberal 80
(4,167 posts)A huge lead. With the divided electorate a 12 point lead was never true. Where it is now has probably always been the truth
molova
(543 posts)It will kill the polling reputation of ABC/WaPo as well.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,780 posts)They never adjusted to the age of wireless phones, and under sampled key demographics for 3 election cycles.
getagrip_already
(14,255 posts)They don't want to be outside the pack at the end, since pollsters will be graded on the final weeks of predictions. So they make subtle changes to move towards the pack. They don't care about being right, they care about not being an outlier.
They make a lot of money running polls. And they don't want a junk poll rating.
Relax, it happens every cycle.
Kingofalldems
(38,361 posts)Another still on the front page of LBN:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141609031
Perhaps you could combine all of them into one thread.
TomCADem
(17,378 posts)...and I would rather risk running up the score, rather than doing victory laps only to find that the election is unnecessarily close due to voter suppression and complacency.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,780 posts)+4-6 is kind of the national number I've seen elsewhere.