New Electoral College Ratings: Texas and North Carolina Shift in Clinton's Favor
Source: Cook Political Report
Less than two weeks before the election, Trump continues to struggle to lock down traditionally Republican states — even Texas and Utah — and lags behind Clinton in key battleground states he would need to win. The third debate didn't alter the trajectory of the race. In fact, the debates proved to be nothing but a drag on Trump as they highlighted his biggest weakness: his temperament.
Last week, we moved seven states towards Clinton. This week, we are moving two additional states in her direction, giving her an advantage of 293 electoral votes — 23 more than required to win.
Clinton has taken a lead in North Carolina, a state where she enjoys a large organizational advantage. The white share of the state's voter rolls has fallen from 71.1 percent to 69.7 percent in the last four years. The most recent polling, a New York Times/Siena poll and a Quinnipiac poll showed her up 7 points and 4 points respectively. North Carolina moves from Toss Up to Lean Democratic.
In a sign of just how poor a position he is in, Trump has failed to build a strong lead in deep red Texas, where the RealClearPolitics average shows him up by four points. Texas's growing Hispanic share, as well as its high share of college-educated whites, are hurting him.
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Read more: http://cookpolitical.com/story/10127
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