Fed Members Laughed As Housing Bubble Grew
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Fed Members Laughed As Housing Bubble Grew
Published: Monday, 30 Jan 2012 | 7:04 PM ET T
By: John Melloy
It was good times at the Federal Reserve five years ago: Low interest rates instituted by then-Fed Chief Alan Greenspan had housing prices booming, the stock market was rising and Fed members wereliterallylaughing their way to the...well, central bank.
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In what may be the strangest market indicator ever, a blogger found that the amount of laughter recorded in the official transcripts of Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meetings from 2000 to 2006 correlates almost perfectly with the rise in housing prices taking place at the time.
A particular series of side-splitting meetings by the central bank in 2006 marked the very top of the housing bubble.
The blog, The Daily Stag Hunt, tracked the times laughter was recorded by the Feds stenographer during the FOMC meetings. In 2001, the FOMC averaged 16.5 moments of guffaws per meeting. In 2006, there were, on average, 44 outbreaks of laughter.
MORE:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/46194541
xchrom
(108,903 posts)SleeplessinSoCal
(9,145 posts)WCGreen
(45,558 posts)That is a clear inverse relationship between the "market" value and the interest rate.
It get's down to how much people can afford on a monthly basis that is the the real price indicator.
So if rates are high, that bites into the principle amount borrowed and so the over all cost of the hone declines.
When the interest rates are low, the cost of the house is increased to get to that same number, ie the monthly payment.
Hotler
(11,445 posts)Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)Please consider reposting in GD or Good Reads forum.
Thank you.