Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:01 PM Oct 2014

Doctor who treated Ebola patients rushed to NYC hospital

Source: New York Post

A 33-year-old Doctors Without Borders physician who treated Ebola patients in Guinea and returned to New York City 10 days ago was rushed in an ambulance with police escorts from his Harlem home to Bellevue Hospital on Thursday, sources said.

Craig Spencer was suffering from Ebola-like symptoms — a 103-degree fever and nausea, sources said.

Clad in hazmat suits, FDNY hazardous materials specials sealed off his fifth-floor apartment. Cops blocked off West 147th Street between Broadway and Amsterdam after he was taken to the hospital, witness Oscar Nunez said.


Read more: http://nypost.com/2014/10/23/nyc-may-have-its-first-ebola-case/



According to CNN, he did not self-quarantine and was out bowling recently, took UBER (public trans?) to get there. They're tracing his contacts now.
80 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Doctor who treated Ebola patients rushed to NYC hospital (Original Post) magical thyme Oct 2014 OP
Sorry but he should have known better still_one Oct 2014 #1
Hope it's just norovirus or something. My husband came down with a nasty GI bug TwilightGardener Oct 2014 #2
He came in NYC 10 days ago from West Africa where he was treating Ebola patients. LisaL Oct 2014 #4
Hope so to, but if the story is accurate it probably is Ebola still_one Oct 2014 #5
Trying to be an optimist. I don't know why this guy wouldn't have TwilightGardener Oct 2014 #6
Agreed, the key is he treated Ebola patients, and I am not sure if doctors without borders take still_one Oct 2014 #7
Of course doctors without borders take precautions. LisaL Oct 2014 #9
Really? Then why didn't he wait 21 days before going into the public still_one Oct 2014 #13
You would have to ask him. LisaL Oct 2014 #15
+1000 darkangel218 Oct 2014 #76
No they didn't Ash_F Oct 2014 #43
He would not be contagious until he began to exhibit symptoms. Chemisse Oct 2014 #53
Because you may become infectious before symptoms are apparent still_one Oct 2014 #61
I read an article today, from what I considered, at the time, as a credible source truth2power Oct 2014 #72
until recently, MSF had the best record on avoiding infection magical thyme Oct 2014 #54
He should have quarantined himself rocktivity Oct 2014 #10
I think these people have a sense of invincibility. It's what gives them the valerief Oct 2014 #49
Not contagious until symptomatic. Did he have symptoms for the last 10 days? uppityperson Oct 2014 #55
Keeping contagious people from traveling wins the battle but loses the war rocktivity Oct 2014 #57
You said now bengins a frantic search for everyone he's been in contact with the las 10 days. uppityperson Oct 2014 #59
Because they'll do one anyway. rocktivity Oct 2014 #62
2 cases of over reaction? huh. uppityperson Oct 2014 #63
Mea culpa... rocktivity Oct 2014 #73
I AGREE! secondwind Oct 2014 #36
Not necessarily. Long-distance travel is stressful in itself, closeupready Oct 2014 #12
It doesn't typically show up after 3 days. LisaL Oct 2014 #16
Oh, I didn't know that it was taking that long. closeupready Oct 2014 #17
How is it better? LisaL Oct 2014 #20
He has fever and nausea - that's symptomatic of just about everything. closeupready Oct 2014 #23
In his case he has Ebola. LisaL Oct 2014 #70
Yes, I just heard that on the news. Hoping closeupready Oct 2014 #71
WHO gives the mean incubation time of 11.4 days in this outbreak Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #66
it could be malaria or one of the other endemic diseases there with similar early symptoms magical thyme Oct 2014 #19
US doesn't require quarantine and MSF doesn't either. LisaL Oct 2014 #22
just because it's not legally required doesn't mean it shouldn't be followed magical thyme Oct 2014 #24
I am not saying it shouldn't be. LisaL Oct 2014 #25
frankly, it should be a requirement for returning medical workers. nt magical thyme Oct 2014 #28
seems like common sense eom noiretextatique Oct 2014 #35
Not again! Elmer S. E. Dump Oct 2014 #3
What was he thinking! In_The_Wind Oct 2014 #8
Uber is a car service leftynyc Oct 2014 #11
they just say nausea, not vomitting. probably just getting to contagious. seabeyond Oct 2014 #14
fever, nausea, pain and fatigue, per CNN magical thyme Oct 2014 #26
yes. but the thing in duncan timeline that i think is important. if i read correctly, the first seabeyond Oct 2014 #50
Duncan likely waited longer before the FIRST time he went to the hospital karynnj Oct 2014 #78
All US hospitals have learned from Dallas seabeyond Oct 2014 #79
Thank you karynnj Oct 2014 #80
Fantastic. Ms. Toad Oct 2014 #18
so I wonder how many other people rode in the UBER vehicle after him, aside from the driver with him magical thyme Oct 2014 #21
Can't tell from the article. Ms. Toad Oct 2014 #37
Apparently he went to the bowling alley using a subway. LisaL Oct 2014 #56
I hope the Doctor is OK. But besides the personal tragedy we don't need A Simple Game Oct 2014 #27
With nearly 5,000 dead, this epidemic is hardly "made up." magical thyme Oct 2014 #29
Yes, the epidemic starts with one case. LisaL Oct 2014 #32
I should have been clearer, of course it is an epidemic in certain African countries, but in America A Simple Game Oct 2014 #38
comparing a, incurable disease that is spreading exponentially with a doubling time of 21 days, magical thyme Oct 2014 #39
Ebola fatality rate when treated in the US lancer78 Oct 2014 #41
The six who survived were treated in special hospitals. LisaL Oct 2014 #45
that does not change the fact that it currently has an overall fatality rate of 70%. magical thyme Oct 2014 #46
It does seem that when they start supportive treatment very early, tblue37 Oct 2014 #47
Dallas hospital had one patient (mr. Duncan). Now it's said to be a ghost town. LisaL Oct 2014 #51
Should I have used malaria as a comparison? n/t A Simple Game Oct 2014 #48
Humans with malaria are not going to inect other humans through contact. LisaL Oct 2014 #52
I didn't want to do this but this is my last chance or I strike out, Aids? n/t A Simple Game Oct 2014 #60
Isn't this an odd perspective? A violently infectious disease that kills 50% of victims, at least Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #67
Do you think that the Republicans are using the "epidemic in the US" to bash the Democrats? A Simple Game Oct 2014 #69
Calm down everyone. First symptoms were last night. morningfog Oct 2014 #30
Uber is basically a taxi service Renew Deal Oct 2014 #31
I'm sick right now with a high fever Quackers Oct 2014 #33
i thought it also nt d_r Oct 2014 #58
Holy crap, what was he THINKING? secondwind Oct 2014 #34
Hey lay off the guy! TM99 Oct 2014 #40
If he does turn out to have Ebola it will be scary. Think of all the people he could have exposed. Louisiana1976 Oct 2014 #42
This message was self-deleted by its author ann--- Oct 2014 #44
Exactly. "It's not rocket science". hamsterjill Oct 2014 #77
the point is that the RULES OF QUARANTINE should be stricter, and there should be close monitoring cloudythescribbler Oct 2014 #64
I thought this was about Dr. Who treating Ebola patients ashling Oct 2014 #65
Nyt says he's positive flamingdem Oct 2014 #68
Great, now we'll get hours and days more of media hysteria RussBLib Oct 2014 #74
sorry for the inconvenience. magical thyme Oct 2014 #75

TwilightGardener

(46,416 posts)
2. Hope it's just norovirus or something. My husband came down with a nasty GI bug
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:07 PM
Oct 2014

and fever last week, after a work stint in TX (but not Dallas!). Turned out to be a gas-station bacon egg and cheese sandwich, is our theory.

TwilightGardener

(46,416 posts)
6. Trying to be an optimist. I don't know why this guy wouldn't have
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:10 PM
Oct 2014

chilled out at home for a few weeks, he should know better.

still_one

(92,062 posts)
7. Agreed, the key is he treated Ebola patients, and I am not sure if doctors without borders take
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:14 PM
Oct 2014

appropriate precautions

still_one

(92,062 posts)
13. Really? Then why didn't he wait 21 days before going into the public
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:40 PM
Oct 2014

He is a physician and should know better

The Texas hospital also thought they took proper precautions

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
15. You would have to ask him.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:56 PM
Oct 2014

I don't know. We don't require people returning from West Africa to quarantine.
Maybe we should.
Especially if they had contact with Ebola patients.

Chemisse

(30,804 posts)
53. He would not be contagious until he began to exhibit symptoms.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 07:11 PM
Oct 2014

I can see why he would avoid practicing medicine for a few weeks, but I can't see the need to be isolated all that time.

truth2power

(8,219 posts)
72. I read an article today, from what I considered, at the time, as a credible source
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 09:29 PM
Oct 2014

that you absolutely are NOT infectious before symptoms are present. something to do with the titre of virus in the blood...

I'm sorry. I'll try to jog my memory and see if I can find the article. I've had limited time to spend at the computer lately.



Found it. It was right here on DU: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025698921

It was about titers of virus in the blood.

Reality Check: How People Catch Ebola, And How They Don’t (Very Good Interview)

Ebola is transmitted by having very close contact to infected patients. So we know that it is transmitted by bodily fluids, which include blood, first of all — because the amount of virus in the blood is very, very high, especially at late stages of infection — but it’s also spread by vomit, by sputum, by feces, by urine and by other bodily fluids.

The reason for that is that at late stages of infection, the Ebola virus affects almost all our organs — it causes a systemic infection. One main organ targeted by Ebola virus is the liver, and that could be one of the reasons that we see these very high concentrations of viral particles in the blood. But I would like to emphasize that that occurs late in infection.

Early infection is the other way around. The primary targets — the first cells that come in contact with Ebola virus and get infected — are cells that are part of our immune system. And these cells most likely spread the virus throughout our body. But there are not so many cells infected at the very beginning of the infection, which might be the reason why Ebola virus patients do not spread virus at the very beginning of infection. And that’s why it’s safe to have contact with these patients, because the viral titers in their blood are so low that we cannot even detect them with methods like PCR, which is one of the methods we use to diagnose Ebola virus.


 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
54. until recently, MSF had the best record on avoiding infection
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 07:12 PM
Oct 2014

they take the best precautions. But even so, they've recently had an outbreak among their healthcare workers and have lost 9.

rocktivity

(44,572 posts)
10. He should have quarantined himself
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:24 PM
Oct 2014

Last edited Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:18 PM - Edit history (1)

and BEFORE leaving Africa. Now begins a frantic search for everyone he's been in contact with for the past ten days...NOT including he had contact with BEFORE leaving Africa!


rocktivity

valerief

(53,235 posts)
49. I think these people have a sense of invincibility. It's what gives them the
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:35 PM
Oct 2014

will to treat highly infectious people in the first place.

rocktivity

(44,572 posts)
57. Keeping contagious people from traveling wins the battle but loses the war
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 07:39 PM
Oct 2014

INFECTED people need to be stopped, too. And if he'd been required to wait another ten days or so, he would have been.

Regrettably, we're at least six months away from a way to detect Ebola while you're infected (link). But if a complete travel ban is not an option, delaying travel from Ebola-affected countries is better than doing nothing at all to keep infected people from taking the disease to other countries.


rocktivity

uppityperson

(115,677 posts)
59. You said now bengins a frantic search for everyone he's been in contact with the las 10 days.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 07:44 PM
Oct 2014

That is why I am asking if he was contagious for the last 10 days? If not, why do a frantic search?

rocktivity

(44,572 posts)
62. Because they'll do one anyway.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 08:03 PM
Oct 2014
In Maine, an elementary school teacher was recently put on paid leave for up to three weeks after parents complained that the teacher had traveled to Dallas, where there have been a few Ebola cases. On Sunday, a similar precaution was taken at a high school in Phenix, Alabama, after an employee flew on the same plane as a person who contracted Ebola -- even though the employee flew a day later, long after the aircraft had been cleaned...(A) New Jersey elementary school reported...that two students from Rwanda -- a country not hit by Ebola -- would stay home for three weeks after parents complained that they may spread the virus...
(Lots) More


rocktivity

rocktivity

(44,572 posts)
73. Mea culpa...
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 10:03 PM
Oct 2014

Last edited Sun Jan 18, 2015, 10:38 PM - Edit history (1)

Huffington Post: ...(A) New Jersey elementary school reported...that two students from Rwanda -- a country not hit by Ebola -- would stay home for three weeks after parents complained that they may spread the virus...

NJ.com: The superintendent...apologized Monday after the district posted a letter announcing the arrival of two students from East Africa, a letter which inadvertently sparked Ebola fears among parents...

The...letter...stat(ed) that the students who recently moved to the community and...did not show any symptoms of the disease...The children are from Rwanda, about 2,600 miles away from the region where the outbreak is centered. Their parents agreed to keep the children home “past the 21-day waiting period...”

...Some slam(ed) the district for contributing to an irrational panic...The children are (now) scheduled to start school next week.

FYI, 2600 miles is the approximate distance between Maple Shade and Portland Oregon.

MotherJones.com: The Rwandan Ministry of Health...(now requires) visitors who have been in the United States or Spain during the last 22 days...to report their medical condition -- regardless of whether they are experiencing symptoms of Ebola -- by telephone...between 7:00 a.m. and 8:00 p.m. for the duration of their visit to Rwanda (if less than 21 days), or for the first 21 days of their visit to Rwanda. Rwandan authorities continue to deny entry to visitors who traveled to Guinea, Liberia, Senegal, or Sierra Leone within the past 22 days...



rocktivity
 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
12. Not necessarily. Long-distance travel is stressful in itself,
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:38 PM
Oct 2014

wearing down the immune system. I've gotten sick a number of times after the same experience. Also, the infrastructure in Africa is NOT up to Western standards. I got a bit of 'Delhi belly' in Morocco, despite my attempts to be hypervigilant.

Additionally, while it CAN incubate over 21 days, it typically shows up after 3 days. If it's been 10 days, it's probably something else.

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
16. It doesn't typically show up after 3 days.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:56 PM
Oct 2014

The typical timeline to show symptoms is 8-10 days in the current outbreak.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
17. Oh, I didn't know that it was taking that long.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:11 PM
Oct 2014

Well, even so, I think the likelihood that it is some other illness is better.

Yo_Mama

(8,303 posts)
66. WHO gives the mean incubation time of 11.4 days in this outbreak
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 08:22 PM
Oct 2014

Your info is wrong.

The mean is always shifted up from the median due to the higher numbers, so 8-10 median is about right.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
19. it could be malaria or one of the other endemic diseases there with similar early symptoms
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:15 PM
Oct 2014

but it is worrisome.

And why he did not quarantine himself for 21 days is beyond belief. Young and invincible? I would expect an MSF doctor in particular to know better.

Samaritan's Purse have set up a quarantine camp for their returnees...

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
22. US doesn't require quarantine and MSF doesn't either.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:18 PM
Oct 2014

So he was following self-monitoring protocol.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
24. just because it's not legally required doesn't mean it shouldn't be followed
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:22 PM
Oct 2014

by somebody who was treating patients.

Samaritan's Purse quarantines their returning health care workers because it's good practice.

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
25. I am not saying it shouldn't be.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:23 PM
Oct 2014

But we all know a lot of people are not going to do something unless required (and even then some try to go around requirements).

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
11. Uber is a car service
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:26 PM
Oct 2014

Bellvue is ready for this kind of thing - pretty much all NY hospitals are. He had no business being out and about but if his symptoms just started they may just get lucky.

 

seabeyond

(110,159 posts)
14. they just say nausea, not vomitting. probably just getting to contagious.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 04:54 PM
Oct 2014

if this plays out like the others, then people around him should be ok. though he waited about as long as duncan. maybe duncan had 24 hours or more on him.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
26. fever, nausea, pain and fatigue, per CNN
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:23 PM
Oct 2014

The 33-year-old physician, employed at Columbia Presbyterian Hospital, developed a fever, nausea, pain and fatigue Wednesday night, the official said. On Thursday morning he was taken to Bellevue Hospital in Manhattan for testing.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/23/health/new-york-possible-ebola-case/index.html?hpt=he_c2

Duncan waited 2 days. The physician one overnight, plus he's being tested and will be treated immediately.

 

seabeyond

(110,159 posts)
50. yes. but the thing in duncan timeline that i think is important. if i read correctly, the first
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:37 PM
Oct 2014

hospital visit was a late night visit. and then he was home the next day, and in the hospital the next morning. so it was not a full two days. more 36 hourish. and still, so far into it, he infected no one, until later in the disease, he got two nurses.

and i was looking at it more, him giving it to others, not his recovery ability. but... i think it has a lot to do with individual immunity, and stopping the dehydration, allowing the body a fighting chance. one other thing, i forgot.

but ya.

karynnj

(59,498 posts)
78. Duncan likely waited longer before the FIRST time he went to the hospital
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:38 PM
Oct 2014

The doctor called as soon as he developed a temperature and was immediately handled as a potential ebola patient. Duncan was not and was sent home to return 2 days later.

STILL all 48 people Duncan had contact with - including his financee were NOT infected.

The risk seems to be in the much more infectious later times - which for both are the time when they were in the hospital. All US hospitals have learned from Dallas -- and in NYC, they chose this specific hospital to send him to because it was set up to handle this. -- In fact, the hospital the doctor worked at is MUCH closer than Bellevue. He was in the upper west side of Manhattan; Bellevue is in the lower East side (Note I am referring to geography not the neighborhoods' names) Even with the police escort the fire department vehicle took about a half hour to get there.

 

seabeyond

(110,159 posts)
79. All US hospitals have learned from Dallas
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:42 PM
Oct 2014

i totally agree with the approach you look at the situation. totally. thanks.

karynnj

(59,498 posts)
80. Thank you
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:59 PM
Oct 2014

Let's hope that, though like the nurses, he was unlucky in having been infected, he will be virus negative as quickly as they and the people he was with all stay negative.

It seems that he did wait over a week before since being in Africa to leave home. It is pretty unfair that many are attacking him for going out when he did. However, even assuming that the moment that he was infected occurred on the LAST day he was in Africa, which was likely not a day he saw patients. he was nearing the end of the period after which he could conclude that he had not been infected.

Ms. Toad

(34,009 posts)
18. Fantastic.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:12 PM
Oct 2014

Another medical provider who puts his medical knowledge on hold. Now we can add another hundred or so people to the quarantine lists. (Vinson resulted in more than 150 being added to one of 4 watch/quarantine levels).

UBER is a private arrangement equivalent to a taxi service.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
21. so I wonder how many other people rode in the UBER vehicle after him, aside from the driver with him
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:17 PM
Oct 2014

who will now have to be monitored?

Hopefully his test will be negative.

Ms. Toad

(34,009 posts)
37. Can't tell from the article.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:42 PM
Oct 2014

The UBER I'm familiar with is a private car service - you have a car & want to make money using it, you can sign up to be an UBER driver. The central app connects you with people who want rides. They should have pretty good records.

From the description, the exposure and the significant number of Doctors without Borders team members who have contracted Ebola recently), I would expect the doctor to be positive. Not much chance of transmission if his first fever was this morning, But (broken record here) not non-zero - so everyone in contact with him needs to be monitored. If NYC hasn't already implemented the strict categories and restrictions that Summit and Cuyahoga Counties in Ohio have, they need to.

Had the doctor been following that protocol, he would have been in tier 1 or 2, and not even in the US.

Tier No. 1 is the group that is in quarantine. According to the ODH, this tier has enforced restrictions on movement and travel, their temperature is taken twice daily, they're in communication with a public health contact and they are not allowed to do any commercial traveling. This group had direct skin contact with an Ebola patient.

Tier No. 2A is experiencing active monitoring. Their temperature is taken twice daily; once in person by a public health official. They're not allowed to do commercial traveling and other travel restrictions are possible. This group didn't have direct contact, but they were within three feet of an Ebola patient for more than one hour.


Read more: http://www.wlwt.com/news/odh-daily-report-142-ohioans-being-monitored-for-ebola/29238078#ixzz3H0TZ6scQ

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
56. Apparently he went to the bowling alley using a subway.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 07:28 PM
Oct 2014

How do you even find people that took a subway with him?

"Mr. Spencer went to a bowling alley in Brooklyn on Wednesday evening, according to a city official briefed on the contact tracing efforts. He took the subway to Brooklyn and a taxi home".

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/24/nyregion/craig-spencer-is-tested-for-ebola-virus-at-bellevue-hospital-in-new-york-city.html?_r=0

A Simple Game

(9,214 posts)
27. I hope the Doctor is OK. But besides the personal tragedy we don't need
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:23 PM
Oct 2014

any new cases popping up just before the election. This made up epidemic needs to go away or it will hurt Democrats on election day.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
29. With nearly 5,000 dead, this epidemic is hardly "made up."
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:26 PM
Oct 2014

Just because the countries involved happen to be African does not mean it is "made up."

It is not an epidemic here in the US, but since it is growing exponentially and out of control, it has the potential to become a pandemic.

A Simple Game

(9,214 posts)
38. I should have been clearer, of course it is an epidemic in certain African countries, but in America
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:46 PM
Oct 2014

so far it is an epidemic only in the minds of the Republicans the media and those easily fooled. Unless I missed a case we have only had two cases of people catching the disease in the United States so far and they were both in care giving positions for a person that contacted the disease elsewhere. Poor protocols, lack of personal protective equipment, or not following protocol seems to have been the major factors in both cases.

To put your statement into perspective, if we only have 5000 deaths in the US from the flu this winter it will be a good year. I can't see Ebola becoming a major problem in the US.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
39. comparing a, incurable disease that is spreading exponentially with a doubling time of 21 days,
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:00 PM
Oct 2014

and a 70% fatality rate with one that is relatively stable in numbers, has a reliable vaccine with less than a 1% fatality rate, killing those who are immunocompromised is a false comparison.

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
45. The six who survived were treated in special hospitals.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:23 PM
Oct 2014

There is limited number (very limited) of beds available in those special hospitals.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
46. that does not change the fact that it currently has an overall fatality rate of 70%.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:26 PM
Oct 2014

If there were to be an outbreak here, we have limited capacity to treat it. We are now increasing that capability as quickly as possible. However to date, our cures were limited to 2 facilities that were set up specifically to treat this sort of disease and the staff were specifically trained and prepared for this.

Now that they are setting up regional hospitals to act as Ebola centers, I'm sure we'll do a better job than Texas Presb. But there is still a lot to learn about treating it.

And statistically, 6 is not a valid dataset. You need a minimum of 30 data points to gain statistically valid data, and really the numbers don't get reliable until you have a couple thousand data points.



tblue37

(65,227 posts)
47. It does seem that when they start supportive treatment very early,
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:32 PM
Oct 2014

before the patient's viral load has exploded, they have good results. Maybe with high quality and very early treatment, a patent's chance of surviving is much better than we have assumed.

LisaL

(44,972 posts)
51. Dallas hospital had one patient (mr. Duncan). Now it's said to be a ghost town.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:39 PM
Oct 2014

People don't want to go there. Lets face it, if we were to get a lot of patients, we are in big trouble.

Yo_Mama

(8,303 posts)
67. Isn't this an odd perspective? A violently infectious disease that kills 50% of victims, at least
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 08:26 PM
Oct 2014

and you're worrying about the political ramifications?

This is not a made-up epidemic. It's a very real epidemic, which is not yet established in our country. But it will be 42 days from last potentially infectious disease before WHO will declare us Ebola free. We are now one of five officially "affected countries". As of the next WHO update we'll be one of six, because of the Mali detection.

WHO is not doing what it is doing to affect the US election:
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/137091/1/roadmapsitrep22Oct2014_eng.pdf?ua=1

A Simple Game

(9,214 posts)
69. Do you think that the Republicans are using the "epidemic in the US" to bash the Democrats?
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 08:50 PM
Oct 2014

I do, if there are no more cases before the elections it will help Democrats, if there are more cases it will help the Republicans. That is how I feel, disagree if you want to. I wouldn't be surprised if the Republicans accuse Democrats of carrying Ebola across the border in pails. The Republicans want to exploit this tragedy not help alleviate it. Please don't help the Republicans set the tone for this.

But no I don't think there is an Ebola epidemic in the US. Tragically there is in a few countries in Africa but not here nor do I think there will be an epidemic in the US.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
30. Calm down everyone. First symptoms were last night.
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:28 PM
Oct 2014

He was isolated this morning. It is early, the risk of infection to others was very low, if indeed it is Ebola.

Quackers

(2,256 posts)
33. I'm sick right now with a high fever
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 05:32 PM
Oct 2014

Don't worry, just the flu, but after reading the headline, this is what I pictured:

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
40. Hey lay off the guy!
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 06:08 PM
Oct 2014

Just like the nurses in TX who went on cruise ships and to wedding plannings several states away, I am sure this MD got permission from someone in authority to go bowling after he came back from working with Ebola patients in Africa. It is not his fault whatsoever. He was following all of the proscribed protocols and procedures. He can't possibly have infected anyone because he wasn't infectious until, well, he was infectious.

Response to magical thyme (Original post)

hamsterjill

(15,220 posts)
77. Exactly. "It's not rocket science".
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 11:50 AM
Oct 2014

Have you heard about the two guys who were sitting within three feet of Amber Vinson and are self-quarantining?

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/male-strippers-quarantine-flying-ebola-stricken-nurse-article-1.1977644

I mean, if a male model is cognizant enough to know to self-quarantine, one might think a doctor would be willing to consider the same protocol.

cloudythescribbler

(2,586 posts)
64. the point is that the RULES OF QUARANTINE should be stricter, and there should be close monitoring
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 08:16 PM
Oct 2014

and Yes this could hurt Democrats in the midterms

maybe it's me but this obvious point doesn't seem to have been made

flamingdem

(39,308 posts)
68. Nyt says he's positive
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 08:34 PM
Oct 2014

Something tells me they need to stay in self imposed quarentine after working with patients with ebola.

RussBLib

(9,005 posts)
74. Great, now we'll get hours and days more of media hysteria
Thu Oct 23, 2014, 10:48 PM
Oct 2014

I'll have to try to watch a lot less TV over the next week or so.

Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Doctor who treated Ebola ...