TargetPoint Nevada: Dead Tie (Hillary Clinton Group)

[Treant]

http://freebeacon.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/nv-toplines.pdf

538 gives this poll a fairly low weight, and given the questions, you can see why. There's a definite lean in the candidate questions.

They've also chosen 55% first time caucus-goers, a number that's not borne out by Iowa and New Hampshire.

Still, it's a starting data point and might assist Clinton in places where she could shore up her constituency.

[Rose Siding]

1. That's a push poll

Look at the questions and toss it.

[Treant]

3. I was amused

that with a push that hard they still couldn't shove it any further than tied.

[pandr32]

11. Excellent point!

So glad you made it!

[leftofcool]

2. Yea, bad poll. I think Hillary is more likely 20 points ahead, maybe more.

[Chichiri]

4. Yeah, that's very clearly a conservative push poll.

And the Washington Free Beacon is a conservative organization of very low repute. They are DEATHLY afraid of Hillary.

[Chichiri]

5. I'm amazed that 538 gave it a weight as high as 0.42!

That can only be because it was literally released today, yes?

[Treant]

6. Yep!

A weight of 0.42 is abysmal; extraordinarily good polls can sit around 1.5. If released at the same time, this poll would have less than a third the weight.

The only reason it's dominating the graph there is because it's literally the only recent poll in Nevada. It'll rapidly fall to irrelevancy, or become overwhelmed if any good polling comes out.

[CajunBlazer]

7. No wonder it's not listed by Real Clear Politics

They only list polls which they consider professional done and legitimate.

[WI_DEM]

8. The red flag is that question about the FBI indicting HRC

only right wing media outlets have reported that unsubstantiated report.

[Tommy2Tone]

9. We need a win in Nevada.

The media is already pilling on for Bernie and perception is everything.

[Treant]

10. I tend to agree!

If this poll is any indication, what with it being in the bag for Sanders and still can't pull it out in NV for him.

Nevada, at this point, does not seem to be in any danger of berning down. Although I do expect a somewhat closer contest than most people seem to--Clinton +5 to +10.

The first major blowout is SC, Clinton +20.

[Princess Turandot]

12. Free Beacon is edited by...{start laugh track}

Bill Kristol's son-in-law. He previously worked for Kristol at the Weekly Standard.

{optional: insert cackling .mp3 here}...