ARG WI POLL: HRC: 49% BS: 48%

[WI_DEM]

Not my favorite pollster, but what the heck...

Democrats support HRC 57-40
Indies support BS 68-31

18-49 year olds 56-41 BS
50 & over 57-41 HRC

Men favor BS 54-44
Women favor HRC 53-44

Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in Wisconsin (281 self-reported Democrats and 119 self-reported independents and Republicans).

Sample Dates: April 1-3, 2016

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/dem/widem.html

[artyteacher]

1. tis close...

Bs needs a huge win to make progress... Seems unlikely...

[CalvinballPro]

3. Yeah, this is not the margin needed to move the needle on the delegates. nt

[MadBadger]

2. The Indy and Democratic support seems reasonable

Question is, what percentage of indies actually show up.

[Yavin4]

4. Or they vote to stop Trump. n/t

[Walk away]

5. I can't wait until the Indies are shut out in NYS!

I think it sucks that non-Democrats are trying to choose the Democratic party's nominee!

[stopbush]

6. College ID is not considered a valid ID in WI this cycle.

I envision a lot of BS's college types being turned away tomorrow.

[FloridaBlues]

8. She just might win this state

Indies may be playing in the republican side in Wisconsin wouldn't count on them pulling him over the finish line.
Would love to know how many minority's will come out or voted early.

[LonePirate]

10. If she wins, the race is all but over.

Turn out levels and the voter ID issue will be the deciding factors in the race.

[LisaM]

11. I don't support making it difficult for college students to vote, BUT...

after the way the Sanders campaign tried to disperse college students all over Iowa to multiple caucus sites to work the system, I will just comment that sometimes the system works in your favor, and sometimes it doesn't. And the caucuses are blatantly unfair.

That said, if college students end up being disenfranchised in Wisconsin, take note that it's the Clinton team that's been working to address voting right issues in Wisconsin.

https://electionlawblog.org/?p=72945

[MadBadger]

15. I wouldnt want to win that way

Though UW did an admirable job of distributing free IDs to students that work for voting.

[mainstreetonce]

7. Close is good

Hill yes!

[still_one]

9. I'll take it

[BlueMTexpat]

12. Here's the RCP spread.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_democratic_presidential_primary-3764.html

It's a 2.6 spread for Bernie in the composite.

Btw, Fivethirtyeight gives Emerson a C+ rating and ARG a C-. http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

I really hope it IS at least this close tomorrow.

[wisteria]

13. What is the weather like in WI tomorrow?

[DemonGoddess]

14. Once again we see that

registered DEMOCRATS are supportive.

[beachbum bob]

16. I suspect less interference from GOP voters as they have their mess to deal with...

and the voter ID law will most likely effect sanders supporters way more than hillary's....so she could eek out a win in Wisconsin..lets wait and see