Fri Feb 17, 2017, 02:36 PM
OKIsItJustMe (17,294 posts)
It's More than Just Climate Change
It's More than Just Climate Changehttp://dx.doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nww081
February 9, 2017
COLLEGE PARK, Md. – A new scientific paper by a University of Maryland-led international team of distinguished scientists, including five members of the National Academies, argues that there are critical two-way feedbacks missing from current climate models that are used to inform environmental, climate, and economic policies. The most important inadequately-modeled variables are inequality, consumption, and population.
In this research, the authors present extensive evidence of the need for a new paradigm of modeling that incorporates the feedbacks that the Earth System has on humans, and propose a framework for future modeling that would serve as a more realistic guide for policymaking and sustainable development.
Twelve of the interdisciplinary team of 20 coauthors are from the University of Maryland, with multiple other universities (Northeastern University, Columbia University, George Mason University, Johns Hopkins University, and Brown University) and other institutions (Joint Global Change Research Institute, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, the Institute for Global Environment and Society, Japan’s RIKEN research institute, and NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center) also represented.
The study explains that the Earth System (e.g., atmosphere, ocean, land, and biosphere) provides the Human System (e.g., humans and their production, distribution, and consumption) not only the sources of its inputs (e.g., water, energy, biomass, and materials) but also the sinks (e.g., atmosphere, oceans, rivers, lakes, and lands) that absorb and process its outputs (e.g., emissions, pollution, and other wastes).
6 replies, 313 views
It's More than Just Climate Change (Original post)
Response to OKIsItJustMe (Original post)
Fri Feb 17, 2017, 02:47 PM
Eliot Rosewater (1,540 posts)
1. Might as well be in the native language of the Xianians from planet Xianian
Fuckface couldnt read this in the first place and if someone read it to him he would not have a clue nor would any of his sycophants what it said or meant...
What he and they know is as follows:
1.Obama and Hillary and Al Gore believe in climate change as does every single legitimate scientist ALIVE
2. Not believing in it and acting accordingly will cause irreversible harm to all life on the planet
3. He and his friends hate gay and brown people and will sign off on their own death warrant if you let them hate them freely and with the express approval of the government
So, nothing will be done and in fact, damage will be done on steroids.
Response to OKIsItJustMe (Original post)
Fri Feb 17, 2017, 03:26 PM
Ghost Dog (15,376 posts)
5. Environmental systems affect and are affected by Social systems.
Key passage from the abstract:
... We argue that in order to understand the dynamics of either system, Earth System Models must be coupled with Human System Models through bidirectional couplings representing the positive, negative, and delayed feedbacks that exist in the real systems. In particular, key Human System variables, such as demographics, inequality, economic growth, and migration, are not coupled with the Earth System but are instead driven by exogenous estimates, such as United Nations population projections. This makes current models likely to miss important feedbacks in the real Earth–Human system, especially those that may result in unexpected or counterintuitive outcomes, and thus requiring different policy interventions from current models. The importance and imminence of sustainability challenges, the dominant role of the Human System in the Earth System, and the essential roles the Earth System plays for the Human System, all call for collaboration of natural scientists, social scientists, and engineers in multidisciplinary research and modeling to develop coupled Earth–Human system models for devising effective science-based policies and measures to benefit current and future generations.
(Note that said science-based policies and measures are of course then likely to become perverted or simply be ignored by elitist laissez-faire capitalist governments).