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Related: About this forumAnybody got current LGBT polling info?
I looked for it but searches tend to be dominated by polls about gay issues not of gay voters.
I would be highly surprised to find anything but a significantly larger margin of Obama victory than in the overall polls, but I'm wondering what the breakdown is. It's easy to find that Obama has X% of blacks and Y% of Latinos and Z% of women, but what about LGBT?
Depending on bias, media reports trumpet Romney's lead among whites or calculate what % of whites Obama needs to hold (about 40 FWIW). It would be fun to know what influence the LGBT vote has on the rate of straight votes he needs to hold.
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Anybody got current LGBT polling info? (Original Post)
dmallind
Oct 2012
OP
FreeState
(10,575 posts)1. here you go...
http://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/press-releases/new-gallup-data-suggest-strong-lgbt-support-for-obama-could-be-important-factor-in-upcoming-election/
LOS ANGELESA new Gallup Report authored by Williams Distinguished Scholar Gary J. Gates and Gallup Editor-in-chief Frank Newport finds that 71% of LGBT Americans who are registered voters support President Obama for reelection, while 22% support Governor Mitt Romney. From June to September, non-LGBT registered voters preferred Romney to Obama by one percentage point, 47% to 46%. However, when LGBT voters are added to electorate, Obama moves slightly ahead of Romney (47% to 45%). These findings suggest that the highly Democratic vote of the LGBT population could be enough to swing a very close election toward Obama.
Said study Co-author Gates, While LGBT voters clearly tilt toward Democratic candidates, it was clear from the data that the community is not a monolithic political group, and notably, LGBT Americans who express more conservative political preferences share many of the traits common to other Americans with those political views.
The findings are based on more than 120,000 interviews of adults in the US, which represents the largest representative sample of LGBT men and women ever collected. Key findings include:
...
While 45% of LGBT individuals describe their political views as liberal or very liberal, one in five (20%) describe themselves as conservative or very conservative. Among non-LGBT Americans, 23% say they are liberal, and two in five (39%) say they are conservative. LGBT and non-LGBT individuals are almost equally likely to think of themselves as moderate (35% and 38%, respectively).
Said study Co-author Gates, While LGBT voters clearly tilt toward Democratic candidates, it was clear from the data that the community is not a monolithic political group, and notably, LGBT Americans who express more conservative political preferences share many of the traits common to other Americans with those political views.
The findings are based on more than 120,000 interviews of adults in the US, which represents the largest representative sample of LGBT men and women ever collected. Key findings include:
...
While 45% of LGBT individuals describe their political views as liberal or very liberal, one in five (20%) describe themselves as conservative or very conservative. Among non-LGBT Americans, 23% say they are liberal, and two in five (39%) say they are conservative. LGBT and non-LGBT individuals are almost equally likely to think of themselves as moderate (35% and 38%, respectively).
dmallind
(10,437 posts)2. Thanks much - about what I guessed. nt.