But you have to look at how the BCS math works out.
If Georgia wins the SEC Championship Game, they will have a very late victory over the #2 team. If Alabama wins the SEC Championship Game, they will have a very late victory over the #3 team. This assumes that Georgia beats 6-5 Georgia Tech at home (and the Dawgs have beaten the nerds 3 in a row and 10/11) and that Alabama beats a 3-8 Auburn team (also 0-7 SEC).
Outside of a tremendous upset, could Oregon or Kansas State move ahead of Georgia or Alabama next week? I can only think of one possibility - if Georgia really struggles with Tech and Oregon annihilates Oregon State. That could flip-flop Georgia and Oregon, but there's no way that Georgia wouldn't move up to #2 with a win over Alabama.
Even as a Georgia fan, I wouldn't have been surprised or angry if Oregon had stayed ahead of us. Now, Kansas State? They got blasted by a Baylor team that was 4-5 coming into that game. You have to take a significant penalty for that one. Oregon? That one's tougher; Stanford is a good team and Oregon lost to them in OT. I think it was the fact that Oregon's offense went dead in the face of the first good defense they played, but I wouldn't have found it unreasonable to find Oregon #3 in all the polls, including the BCS.
Problem for Oregon is that Stanford, with a win over UCLA, can go to the PAC-10 championship game and shut Oregon out of it. A win over Oregon State will be a quality win, but I think Oregon would need 2 convincing wins to make it to the national championship game, given their spot in the BCS poll. I figure the only thing putting Oregon in the national championship game would be for Georgia to lose to Georgia Tech and then beat Alabama.
Don't plan on Georgia losing to Tech. Georgia Tech has that weird triple option offense, but Georgia, this past week, played Georgia Southern, who runs exactly the same offense, and held them to 100 yards under their average rushing total. For perspective, Georgia held GSU to 14 points, and that's the first time that GSU has been held under 20 points against 1-A competition since 1996. We're talking about essentially the same GSU team that rolled up 21 points and 375 rushing yards against Alabama last year. GSU was held to about 200 yards rushing against UGA until the second teamers came in. So the Dawgs have had a full-speed scrimmage against that offense and have a game tape to study.
As far as Georgia-Alabama goes, I'm hoping to really get in there and go toe-to-toe with them. Our defense has finally arrived; we've held 3 SEC opponents in a row to less than 80 yards rushing, and our offense is one of the most balanced and productive in the nation. We have 2 true freshman running backs who have a combined 1700 yards, including over 1000 by the main workhorse. Our quarterback leads the nation in quarterback rating, we have the best set of receivers in the conference and perhaps the nation, and our special teams have finally straightened out. We are peaking at the right time, just like in 2007, but the difference is that we can go the SEC Championship game and punch our ticket to the big one. Couldn't play a tougher opponent - I still think that Alabama is a tougher team than Notre Dame, Oregon, or KSU - but if we get by that one, we deserve to play Notre Dame.
By the way, our only national championship in the modern era was won against... you know it, Notre Dame, in 1980.
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