Mason-Dixon poll: Obama +1 in FLORIDA, Rehberg (R) +3 in MONTANA

[TroyD]

Sunday, September 23

FLORIDA - Obama +1

Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon

Obama - 48

Romney - 47

Not a big lead, but a lead is a lead at this point and it's Romney who needs to start putting up better numbers.

http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/09/22/3016362/obama-48-romney-47-in-hard-fought.html

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MONTANA - SENATE - Rehberg +3

Rehberg (R) - 48

Tester (D) - 45

Tester is 3 points down, but that's still within the margin of striking distance if he can move up over the next month. I'd like to see Bill Clinton spend a day with Tester. He won this state in 1992.

http://missoulian.com/news/local/lee-poll-rehberg-leads-tester-in-u-s-senate-race/article_b6957802-0537-11e2-966e-0019bb2963f4.html

[Blue Yorker]

1. Mason-Dixon is respectable, independent.

Still, I'd like to see their RV numbers to see how tight of an LV screen they have.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

2. not good. not good at all. kerry had a 3 pt poll lead in FL, didn't he

Let's just hope that Jeb won't push the fraud button this time.

If he wants 2016, he may want Obama in until then

[Blue Yorker]

3. Agree. Fraud is possible

And a 1% lead makes it easier for them to claim that anyone could have won fair and square. A larger lead would make this argument harder.

[DCBob]

4. We dont really need FL anyway as long as we get OH.

and OH is looking good. But it would be very nice to win FL again.

[Blue Yorker]

5. On the positive side, FL may be less relevant than ever

Because of the difficult electoral-college situation that Romney's in elsewhere.

Still nice to win it though, to keep it safe.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

8. Yes, we can...but we need a mandate if we want to get anything done. It's amazing

to me that any poll could have Romney within striking distance. This man is absolutely crazy, and very
scary.

[DCBob]

9. Got that right.

I think in the end we win FL but it will be close.

[TroyD]

6. Jeb Bush is no longer Governor

And Katharine Harris is no longer Secretary of State.

And people are much more vigilant about funny business than they were during the Bush years.

And besides, this is just one poll. Others have Obama further ahead.

[Blue Yorker]

7. The Right-wing Money Machine will have replacement

It's a well-greased machine willing to do anything.

[Jennicut]

10. No, Bush had a .06 % lead in late October.

In fact, he led in a lot of states. This is not the same polling we are seeing for President Obama.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.html#fl

In fact, Mason Dixon never had Kerry poll in the lead:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/fl_polls.html