Nate updated 538 - Nov 6 forecast 83.9%. Now cast 97.8% Senate 78.1%. posted a pic

[NRaleighLiberal]

for whatever reason, looking at the Senate graph, it dropped a bit (not sure why).

But the trend on the presidency continues....

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Pulled all three views together - here

[fearnobush]

1. 16.1% chance for the Stench.

But you know, those dam liberal polls.

[brooklynite]

2. New poll showed Kaine-Allen tied...

Probably brought down the estimates.

[NRaleighLiberal]

3. ah - thanks. makes sense.

[TroyD]

4. Also was a poll showing Berkley behind Heller in Nevada

Previous NV SEN poll the day before had shown Berkley ahead.