Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:33 AM Feb 2016

always worth reading - Josh Marshall's take on things - his debate wrap from tonight

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/a-quick-take-on-tonight-s-debate

"I think we have two basic questions coming out of this debate - vision for the Democratic party and electability. Nor are these questions distinct. The issue of electability goes to the heart of the vision for the party, since it goes to the root of questions about pragmatism, risk aversion, settling for half or quarter loaves or ending up with nothing. After several of these encounters - after last night and tonight - these basic questions, dividing points seem very clear and well illustrated."


In terms of the debate itself, the first segment was very hot. In part, the pressure of the campaign is boiling over in the exchanges between the two. Campaigns involves hundreds or millions of people, with each candidate as a fulcrum for the directives, hopes, antipathies, aspirations of so many people. The intensity of emotion, pressure, the stakes can be overwhelming. And you could see some of that coming out this evening.

That said, I also think the Clinton camp made a decision to shake things up, to push Sen. Sanders maybe more than he's used to being pushed. It got intense and kind of personal. But after that first segment both Sanders and Clinton seemed to step back from the tone and budding climate of acrimony. In the remaining segments it was much more similar to the earlier debates.

As I said at the outset, Sanders has the virtue of coherence, a tightly argued, interlocking set of critiques and explanations of what is wrong, how the different parts fit together and what he believes needs to change. There's very little of that with Clinton. It's more of a barrage: I'm going to do my best to improve things on each front. I'm also going to protect our gains.

snip

read the rest, it is interesting.

I am curious about this comment he posted earlier

"10:29 PM: I will put my cards on the table. I think Sanders would be cut to pieces in a general election. I think he's great. I'd support him like crazy if he were nominated. But I think he'd be cut to pieces."

98 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
always worth reading - Josh Marshall's take on things - his debate wrap from tonight (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Feb 2016 OP
I think Sanders could hold his own against the Republicans. pacalo Feb 2016 #1
Did he explain SusanCalvin Feb 2016 #2
No - hence my shrug. I think he has tended to favor Hillary, but reading between his lines. NRaleighLiberal Feb 2016 #4
I will probably do that, but SusanCalvin Feb 2016 #7
She's electable in some climates, but not the present one. winter is coming Feb 2016 #12
agreed - and it is curious to me why Marshall doesn't seem to see this at all. NRaleighLiberal Feb 2016 #16
Seems like a lot of pundit thought is still constrained by conventional thinking. winter is coming Feb 2016 #21
A lot of us have been spinning our wheels and going nowhere for 35 years. Manifestor_of_Light Feb 2016 #82
the thing that I find most amazing is that people imagine that Bernie is vulnerable in the GE virtualobserver Feb 2016 #3
i've noticed Bernie going negative on Trump with regularity demwing Feb 2016 #6
None of the Republicans would be a match for him virtualobserver Feb 2016 #11
I've always been most alarmed by Cruz demwing Feb 2016 #25
I am alarmed by him too, but he is too creepy to be elected President virtualobserver Feb 2016 #27
Bernie does not back down. If he is attacked he sharpens his claws & goes for the jugular. jillan Feb 2016 #62
Interesting that he does not think Hillary will be cut to pieces. Because she will. Luminous Animal Feb 2016 #5
Hillary is most vulnerable to Trump virtualobserver Feb 2016 #15
Hillary and Trump are friends. senz Feb 2016 #23
Interesting that he imagines the Republicans will come up with something winter is coming Feb 2016 #18
Exactly. Luminous Animal Feb 2016 #19
Yep if there was something there Hillary would have found it. JRLeft Feb 2016 #24
She cut him with ... RobertEarl Feb 2016 #32
It's an interesting question. snot Feb 2016 #8
agree. well stated. NRaleighLiberal Feb 2016 #9
thx! :) snot Feb 2016 #20
BERNIE WANTS IT TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE while Hillary wants it to be first snowy owl Feb 2016 #34
Agree... KoKo Feb 2016 #95
This is so so good. Please consider making it an OP so its gets more snagglepuss Feb 2016 #40
gosh, thanks! snot Feb 2016 #44
I had exactly the same reaction about Sanders being cut to pieces DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #10
Why doesn't anyone ever talk about how much the republicans loathe Hillary onecaliberal Feb 2016 #13
Go anywhere on line musiclawyer Feb 2016 #17
Bingo. SusanCalvin Feb 2016 #22
and I would add... kenn3d Feb 2016 #31
There will be a massive Republican voter turnout this year... MelSC Feb 2016 #56
Because of their hatred of slimeballs, there will also be a massive Independent voter turn-out. sorechasm Feb 2016 #84
Delusional MelSC Feb 2016 #85
Thanks for your well-reasoned response... Human101948 Feb 2016 #88
The person I was replying to MelSC Feb 2016 #90
Same reason no one talks of Bernie's liabilities FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #28
This is true though most younger black people aren't all that religious. JRLeft Feb 2016 #42
Plus at least 1/2 of young Latinos are quite religious... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #45
Even younger Latinos aren't that religious either, it's the older generation. JRLeft Feb 2016 #49
I disagree on Latino youth.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #59
Not the ones I grew up with. Not the ones in my neighborhood or my job. JRLeft Feb 2016 #64
Well, go with that then. FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #65
It's generational, but Bernie will have to win over both groups including Asians. JRLeft Feb 2016 #67
Yep.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #70
He doesn't believe he can do it by itself, he wants public pressure. JRLeft Feb 2016 #92
Bernie gained the respect of Liberty University students senz Feb 2016 #71
Take your chances with that..... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #73
Yes, I've seen that you're in the bag for Hillary. senz Feb 2016 #77
All the polling shows Bernie beating each possible GOP candidate... grasswire Feb 2016 #46
McCain was beating Obama at this point in the '08 game....6+ to 12+ points, FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #50
you haven't been watching much TV yet, eh? nt grasswire Feb 2016 #51
Whatever he is getting now is nothing.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #54
I used the Google and found much different results in early Feb 2008. rufus dog Feb 2016 #68
This was right before Iowa, in 2008.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #72
Take a look rufus dog Feb 2016 #76
I think you are wrong on the spirtuality issue. mikehiggins Feb 2016 #53
I'm not concerned about him being Jewish so much.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #55
There are millions of voting americans workinclasszero Feb 2016 #91
no Jarqui Feb 2016 #14
Interesting. I don't think that these media people and the politician have a clue as to how fed Autumn Feb 2016 #26
Sanders would fare better than HRC in the GE. He's a populist who will give voters a fair deal. He's amborin Feb 2016 #29
Calm, Cool, Collected and Smart snowy owl Feb 2016 #30
Bernie's perceived pacifist nature will cause voters in the GE to think oasis Feb 2016 #33
Yeah, except, remember, he's a defender of the 2nd Amendment –– snot Feb 2016 #38
Tell me what candidate running for president doesn't support the oasis Feb 2016 #43
Except it's not. Fawke Em Feb 2016 #39
I hear plenty talk about ISIS and international terrorism. Each oasis Feb 2016 #47
Conscientious objector of the Vietnam war? FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #57
It's important for our Commander-in-Chief to have the respect oasis Feb 2016 #83
Fuck the military fetish too many people have TransitJohn Feb 2016 #93
imagine Bernie trying to sell that. nt oasis Feb 2016 #94
It's true. TransitJohn Feb 2016 #98
I agree with Josh...sort of... GainesT1958 Feb 2016 #35
I agree with you Dem2 Feb 2016 #61
What attacks have there been....? FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #69
A tax, tax, spend, spend self declared socialist kennetha Feb 2016 #36
This... and much more. Just barely scratching the surface. There are, you know, many ... NurseJackie Feb 2016 #87
Bernie's strengths in the primaries would be redstateblues Feb 2016 #37
We need to revel in this moment of Bernie momentum, when will we ever see this again flamingdem Feb 2016 #41
I say he loses 60% of the Black vote and 70% of the Latino vote to Hillary, FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #48
I didn't tune into the issue of religion, how interesting that it could make or break him flamingdem Feb 2016 #58
Hey there... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #60
He believes in God. He went into a rant about it last night. jillan Feb 2016 #63
Nope....I'm not confused.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #66
You obviously did not read what he said jillan Feb 2016 #74
Page not found..... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #75
Right because Donald is sooo religious & the entire RW platform is about taking away healthcare, jillan Feb 2016 #96
You seem to know an awful lot about Bernie senz Feb 2016 #78
Bernie can still have his revolution.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #52
Marshall has been posting the same thing over and over cali Feb 2016 #79
Hillary is the candidate that would get cut to pieces in the general election. w4rma Feb 2016 #80
Very well said. senz Feb 2016 #81
This message was self-deleted by its author olddots Feb 2016 #86
To be very honest, I'm worried about the general with either candidate. Vinca Feb 2016 #89
This paragraph might explain Josh's thinking... KoKo Feb 2016 #97

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)
4. No - hence my shrug. I think he has tended to favor Hillary, but reading between his lines.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:42 AM
Feb 2016

it seems to be more that he thinks she is more electable in this climate. Read the full article - he touches on it a bit, but not with complete clarity.

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
12. She's electable in some climates, but not the present one.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:48 AM
Feb 2016

In an ordinary election year, she probably would have succeeded in marginalizing Bernie, but things are bad enough for enough of us that status quo candidates are at a marked disadvantage. Put a true populist in the race and status quo candidates look like the empty suits they are.

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
21. Seems like a lot of pundit thought is still constrained by conventional thinking.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:57 AM
Feb 2016

They simply can't grasp that this is a screwball election cycle and all bets are off. We're in an upheaval/adjustment period, and they're still trying to apply rubrics that "worked" when things were stable.

 

Manifestor_of_Light

(21,046 posts)
82. A lot of us have been spinning our wheels and going nowhere for 35 years.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 04:11 AM
Feb 2016

Since Reagan was elected in 1980, and he started union busting, things really started to go downhill.Trickle-down economics, blather from Milton Friedman and the Chicago School. Utter contempt for Jimmy Carter because of the secret deal on releasing the Iran hostages until Reagan was inaugurated, which was blamed on Jimmy Carter. Carter was a brilliant and decent man.

Since then it's been downhill. More of the same with Poppy Bush, who was still fairly moderate. Then we got a moderate Republican named Bill Clinton. The economy improved some, but I remember looking for jobs in the late 90s and having problems. Then we got Shrub selected by the SCROTUS, not elected. Things were a disaster, we were the laughing stock of the world, but it was unpatriotic to criticize the President.

Then we got 7 years of Obama, who is moderate, and got a lot of things accomplished in spite of having a Congress that hated his guts and stonewalled just about everything he did. We thought he was a liberal just like we thought Bill Clinton was a liberal. Wrong. The one thing he did that affected my life was that I was able to get health insurance because of the prohibition of using pre-existing conditions to deny health insurance. I had not had health insurance in ten years. I wish we had universal single-payer with the insurance companies completely out of the picture, but that didn't happen.

Since Obama was elected twice, by huge margins, the racism seething in the U.S. has gotten open and ugly. The same accusations hurled at Bill Clinton were also hurled at Obama, plus some more like the birther issue (HELLO! Hawaii was a state when Obama was born there. Hawaii is STILL a state, NOT a territory). The bigots have not learned a damned thing since the Civil War started 150 years ago. No, Texas CANNOT secede from the Union. That didn't work out the last time.

I think with Bernie telling the truth about money in politics, maybe people are starting to wake up. I saw the downhill slide start back in 1980. My dad got to the point where every time he saw Reagan on TV he wanted to spit.

A lot of Baby Boomers have just wasted the majority of their working lives not getting jobs, not getting raises, not making enough money, even though we were the best-educated generation in history because college was affordable before student debt and tuition became ridiculously high. I finished my graduate degree thirty years ago, just before tuition went sky-high. It was creeping up, but I was still able to make enough money at work to pay for night school. I had degrees from two expensive private schools (a bachelor's and a doctorate) that didn't impress anyone enough to offer me a job.

I hope Bernie can snag independents and people who don't vote and we can have an actual Democrat instead of a triangulator and a corporate shill in the White House. Bernie is a New Deal Democrat. Nobody who is of voting age has ever seen one, unless they're about 80 years old.




 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
3. the thing that I find most amazing is that people imagine that Bernie is vulnerable in the GE
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:40 AM
Feb 2016

The Democratic Party has given Republicans a free pass on so many issues.

Bernie has a massive arsenal that he can use against them. He has been kind to Hillary, but will show no such mercy to the Republicans.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
6. i've noticed Bernie going negative on Trump with regularity
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:44 AM
Feb 2016

not so against Clinton.

Bernie is no delicate flower

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
25. I've always been most alarmed by Cruz
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:12 AM
Feb 2016

He's like an evil Ned Flanders - all family, God, saccharine, and fascism.

jillan

(39,451 posts)
62. Bernie does not back down. If he is attacked he sharpens his claws & goes for the jugular.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:24 AM
Feb 2016

In his own Bernie way, he is so smooth.

Luminous Animal

(27,310 posts)
5. Interesting that he does not think Hillary will be cut to pieces. Because she will.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:43 AM
Feb 2016

Both of them are strong enough to whether the cuts.

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
18. Interesting that he imagines the Republicans will come up with something
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:54 AM
Feb 2016

that Hillary would be unable to find or unwilling to use.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
32. She cut him with ...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:23 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie never voted to take your guns.

The republicans can't use guns against Bernie but they can on H.

snot

(10,529 posts)
8. It's an interesting question.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:46 AM
Feb 2016

The fact is, our conservaDems have failed miserably in communicating the kinds of ideas Sanders propounds, presumably at least in part because they are owned.

Sanders understands that if we don't fix campaign finance reform asap, we'll never get our government back. And he knows that kind of reform is not going to happen without challenging the 1% in ways they haven't been challenged in decades.

He can only do that by telling the truth, and trying to bring people with him as to why it's so important that we challenge t.p.t.b. So for the first time in a long time, he is telling is the truths that the 1% don't want to hear; and he's doing it with the kind of passion, coherence, and eloquence that only happens when one is not trying to serve two masters, but has devoted and continues to devote all of their energies to serving the good of the the people as a whole.

When Sanders is heard, I suspect there are people who never expected to agree with him, who find themselves realizing, this guy is focussing on the things that are really affecting me, and what he's saying about them makes a lot of sense; maybe he's right about some other things.

(I realize a lot of RW'er's are hopelessly brainwashed; but they're not voting for Hillary, either.)

I'm really curious to see what kind of blowback he gets on the death penalty issue. People seem ready to try to make hay about it, but I suspect it will play well with a majority.

snowy owl

(2,145 posts)
34. BERNIE WANTS IT TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE while Hillary wants it to be first
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:28 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie never intended to actually run a full campaign. He got into it because the country is falling apart and he has institutional memory. His stated mission was to pull Hillary to the left. Suddenly, his message was resonating with Americans. Now he wants to be President because he actually thinks he can change the country. I love that. I've never thought Hillary wanted it for any other reason that she'd be the first woman and, heck, why not have two Presidents in the family. There's a huge and obvious difference in their missions. Let's face it, Bernie schooled Hillary tonight. He schooled Rachel and he schooled the toad (sorry, can't help it). They did their best to bring him down and they lost. It was a fabulous presentation for Bernie. Just fabulous. BTW, someone must have told Hillary to tone it down because there was much less repetitive whining when she returned to the stage at halftime.

KoKo

(84,711 posts)
95. Agree...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 11:14 AM
Feb 2016


Bernie never intended to actually run a full campaign. He got into it because the country is falling apart and he has institutional memory. His stated mission was to pull Hillary to the left. Suddenly, his message was resonating with Americans. Now he wants to be President because he actually thinks he can change the country. I love that. I've never thought Hillary wanted it for any other reason that she'd be the first woman and, heck, why not have two Presidents in the family. There's a huge and obvious difference in their missions.

DavidDvorkin

(19,477 posts)
10. I had exactly the same reaction about Sanders being cut to pieces
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:47 AM
Feb 2016

So did my wife, who was watching the debate with me. We both felt that Hillary has improved markedly as a debater and would be more than able to hold her own against any of the Republicans.

onecaliberal

(32,861 posts)
13. Why doesn't anyone ever talk about how much the republicans loathe Hillary
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:48 AM
Feb 2016

They don't talk about her HIGH unfavorables. There is no way she wins if she's the Nominee, a republican will take the White House. If you think 2010 was bad, it's going to look like a walk in the park. Then maybe people will finally wake the fuck up.

musiclawyer

(2,335 posts)
17. Go anywhere on line
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:54 AM
Feb 2016

Everyone knows HRC brings out massive GOP turnout. Bernie will get into that no doubt in next debates

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
22. Bingo.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:58 AM
Feb 2016

Not how much they attack her, but how much she would drive R turnout. A lot, I bet. I had not thought of it this way. You should make these thoughts an OP.

ETA: Well, everyone may know it, but I hadn't consciously considered it.

kenn3d

(486 posts)
31. and I would add...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:21 AM
Feb 2016

that Bernie will receive a fair portion of the disillusioned Republican vote, as well as MANY more Indy votes than HRC.
There are a lot of Republicans wringing their hands right now at their party's prospective candidates. When it comes down to Cruz, or Trump, or Sanders... a fair number of Repubs who aren't batshitcrazy will choose Bernie.

MelSC

(256 posts)
56. There will be a massive Republican voter turnout this year...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:09 AM
Feb 2016

Count on it. It doesn't matter who we put up there, the repugs are angry. Hillary has the best shot against these slimeballs.

sorechasm

(631 posts)
84. Because of their hatred of slimeballs, there will also be a massive Independent voter turn-out.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 07:00 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie will get the majority of these. Hillary will get none of these.
The total of Republican and Democratic voters will be between 50% and 60%. The Independents will make up the rest. Do the math.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
88. Thanks for your well-reasoned response...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 09:07 AM
Feb 2016

That sort of rhetoric will definitely help us win the White House this year.

MelSC

(256 posts)
90. The person I was replying to
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 09:28 AM
Feb 2016

Didn't seem to be looking for a well thought out debate . All I can do is vote for my candidate, arguing in here will not change anyone's minds.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
28. Same reason no one talks of Bernie's liabilities
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:18 AM
Feb 2016

like the fact that his spirituality is not rooted in God.
Some here might not care, but it could answer the question why it will be
very difficult to gain or excite the AA and Latino votes, as both groups (maybe not the young ones as much)
are fairly religious.

The Republicans will love that one plenty. In fact, they may not need anything else.


And I think that Marco Rubio is the Republican that will come out on top.
Certainly not Trump.

 

JRLeft

(7,010 posts)
42. This is true though most younger black people aren't all that religious.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:38 AM
Feb 2016

Older black people will have a major issue with this.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
45. Plus at least 1/2 of young Latinos are quite religious...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:45 AM
Feb 2016

moreso then their African-American counterparts,
and even most young Black folks, although not all are religious,
many still have been brought up in the church.

But the other worry is if Mark Rubio is the GOP chosen one,
Latinos who might not gone for him otherwise, just might.
They don't need that many....
but with the extra added caveat of Sanders being non religious,
that might push just enough over to the other side.

That would be a problem, and the GOP is going to be sure to let the world
know this about Bernie Sanders during a general election.

 

JRLeft

(7,010 posts)
49. Even younger Latinos aren't that religious either, it's the older generation.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:00 AM
Feb 2016

Religion is dying in this country thank goodness.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
59. I disagree on Latino youth....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:16 AM
Feb 2016

there tend to be more religious than Black youth,
because they tend to have been raised in the Catholic Church,
while AA usually are Protestants.

The older generation we are talking about is not that old.
I'm talking about 35 on....

Once folks get married and have children,
many do start going back to church, as many were raised in the church and have only wandered away for at time,
but as life gets more complicated, folks want someone to turn to other than themselves,
and also want to raise children in the church, as they were raised.

I'm a minister's wife. We attend a large Baptist Church.
I know pretty much what the demographics are.

 

JRLeft

(7,010 posts)
64. Not the ones I grew up with. Not the ones in my neighborhood or my job.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:30 AM
Feb 2016

Church attendance is on the decline.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
70. Yep....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:52 AM
Feb 2016

Plus he's gonna have to put more flesh on those bones on how he is figuring to accomplish
all of the things he is promising. It's easy to point to the problem
and come up with some radical solutions,
but we do have a government that includes 2 houses of congress.
The next census election is 2020, which is also the next presidential election year (thank God)!

When he speaks of improving policing in America,
it's like this stuff is under the jurisdiction of the states,
not even, more like the counties in the city in the states.
and it's not like he will be a king.

So I'm not sure about all of that. Sounds good tough,

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
71. Bernie gained the respect of Liberty University students
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:53 AM
Feb 2016

and some of them were very impressed with him.

You as a minister's wife probably know that Bernie's views mesh beautifully with those of Jesus.

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
46. All the polling shows Bernie beating each possible GOP candidate...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:55 AM
Feb 2016

....to a much greater degree than Hillary, who doesn't beat most of them.

Electability is not an issue.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
50. McCain was beating Obama at this point in the '08 game....6+ to 12+ points,
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:01 AM
Feb 2016

so I'm not listening to you on this....

They haven't attacked Sanders on anything yet.



FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
54. Whatever he is getting now is nothing....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:04 AM
Feb 2016

compared to what he would get if the nominee.

Not even close.

 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
68. I used the Google and found much different results in early Feb 2008.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:47 AM
Feb 2016

Obama beating McCain by 4 to 6, while Hillary was up or down by one. Who had McCain up by double digits?

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
72. This was right before Iowa, in 2008....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:54 AM
Feb 2016

Like I said....polls now for November,
when the candidate hasn't been vetted....
Okey-Dokey, go with that. No problem.
My eyes are wide open tho.

 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
76. Take a look
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 03:16 AM
Feb 2016

My take is either candidate is going to get slammed by the Republicans and the media. The starting point now and in 2008 was lower for Hillary. She had and has higher negatives. So either way it will be a brawl, question is who and for what ideas will the fight be about.


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election,_2008

mikehiggins

(5,614 posts)
53. I think you are wrong on the spirtuality issue.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:04 AM
Feb 2016

Not that I expect Pope Frank to endorse him but Bernie has taken great pains to point out the similarities in what he talks about and what the Pontiff talks about, at least on economic and humanist fronts. And while lots of older voters might hold more rigid views on religion there are quite a few Christians who remember how two thousand years ago it was that wild radical Jew who drove the money changers out of the Temple.

Even DWS pointed out that Sanders' religion was legit and that he participated in the Jewish caucus in the House.

And the people at Liberty College listened when he pointed out what Christ said about the poor.

So here is another choice: either elect the first woman to the White House, or elect the first Jew.

Sounds like a win/win to me

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
55. I'm not concerned about him being Jewish so much....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:06 AM
Feb 2016

The problem is that Bernie Sanders doesn't actually believe in God.

It was in his answer in the Town Hall. He didn't make the link when asked about his faith
to God at all. There's nothing wrong with it, but he's running for President.

He can only come in with so many firsts. Currently there's about 7 of those.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
91. There are millions of voting americans
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 09:47 AM
Feb 2016

who will never cast a vote for someone who they think is an atheist regardless of his views on other subjects.

"The Republicans will love that one plenty. In fact, they may not need anything else."

They will use this 24/7 against Bernie should he get the nomination thats for sure.

Autumn

(45,084 posts)
26. Interesting. I don't think that these media people and the politician have a clue as to how fed
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:12 AM
Feb 2016

up the people really are. Bernie understands that and that's why his message is drawing people in. I think in the GE Bernie will do just fine, he'll be the one doing the slicing and dicing.

amborin

(16,631 posts)
29. Sanders would fare better than HRC in the GE. He's a populist who will give voters a fair deal. He's
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:19 AM
Feb 2016

Got a detailed plan. His Dem Socialism refers to the policies and programs that made America great and ensured all shared in the prosperity. HRC has no such plan. Just the opposite. People know Mrs. NAFTA would approve the TPP and enact policies that benefit Wall Street, Big Pharma, and giant corporations.

HRC would be shredded in the GE.

snowy owl

(2,145 posts)
30. Calm, Cool, Collected and Smart
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:20 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie said of his ability to campaign "Don't underestimate me." He was cool throughout Hillary's defensive barrage of "poor me" statements. He was concise and stuck to issues. He was calm - even-voiced - and on message in every response. Who would you want to pick that red phone at 3 am? If you people think he'll be cut to pieces after seeing the constancy in his campaign and debates, you haven't been paying attention. This man is the smartest man we've had run for President - well, since I don't know who. Vote the Bern. Don't let fear keep us mired int he status quo cuz it ain't gonna stay the status quo. It will get worse. And if that many come out to actually vote for Bernie which I believe will happen, his coattails will be huge.

oasis

(49,387 posts)
33. Bernie's perceived pacifist nature will cause voters in the GE to think
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:26 AM
Feb 2016

twice before putting him in charge of our military. In the troubled world in which we live, national security will be high on the list of priorities.

snot

(10,529 posts)
38. Yeah, except, remember, he's a defender of the 2nd Amendment ––
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:33 AM
Feb 2016

I think he's in a position to argue that he does in fact understand that force can sometimes be warranted.

oasis

(49,387 posts)
43. Tell me what candidate running for president doesn't support the
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:38 AM
Feb 2016

U.S.Constitution in its entirety.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
39. Except it's not.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:34 AM
Feb 2016

I hear no one talking about national security as it relates to foreign intervention. I do hear some people talk about mass shootings, but what I mostly hear about is how much time people have to work to earn so little and how people still cannot afford health insurance.

oasis

(49,387 posts)
47. I hear plenty talk about ISIS and international terrorism. Each
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:57 AM
Feb 2016

highly publicized attack from now until Election Day will push voters closer to who they believe is the most qualified in keeping their families safe.

The best health care system in the world is of little value in a situation which may find you face to face with people hell bent on mass killing.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
57. Conscientious objector of the Vietnam war?
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:10 AM
Feb 2016

will now be Commander-in-Chief?
How could he?
He who escaped the ravage of war
because he didn't believe due to being a pacifist
will now possibly have to send others in Harm way?
I don't think will happen.

oasis

(49,387 posts)
83. It's important for our Commander-in-Chief to have the respect
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 05:42 AM
Feb 2016

of the top military brass. Expect the GOP ads to play this up to the point of going overboard. And as we all know, Bernie's $27 per donor will not nearly be enough to answer the "swiftboating" attacks.

TransitJohn

(6,932 posts)
93. Fuck the military fetish too many people have
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 10:41 AM
Feb 2016

We shouldn't have a standing army like we do now. We should go back to the size of military we had before WWII. The biggest reason we're in such dire straits is the fact that we have been kept on a wartime footing since WWII. Those 'military brass' should go packing back to the farm. We want our money back.

GainesT1958

(4,480 posts)
35. I agree with Josh...sort of...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:28 AM
Feb 2016

Let's remember that there have been relatively few attacks on Sen. Sanders by Repubs thusfar. But you can bet all those millions their superpacs have raised will be brought full force against him. Being called (wrongly. of course) a "Communist" certainly doesn't resonate the way it did back in the fifties, but it's still enough to scare people...and the fear factor has already gone a long way this year--look at The Donald if one doesn't believe me. They have unloaded on Hillary for over twenty-three years now, and they haven't scratched yet.

Bernie Sanders is a good, decent--and usually, very correct--man, but he may well end up being the early 21st Century's version of George McGovern. And THAT would cost the Party's candidates down-ticket enormously..including here in North Carolina, where we really want to kick our spineless Republican governor out of office.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
61. I agree with you
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:20 AM
Feb 2016

George McGovern - the idea that Nixon was re-elected still doesn't sit well with me. This isn't going to be an easy election cycle. I wish I knew which candidate has the better chance of winning this fall.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
69. What attacks have there been....?
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:48 AM
Feb 2016

He's calling for a radical revolution, as Sander's spokesperson specifically called it,
and the media went....ok.

They are keeping their powder dry for now.


kennetha

(3,666 posts)
36. A tax, tax, spend, spend self declared socialist
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:31 AM
Feb 2016

and foreign policy naïf unknown to most would indeed be eviscerated in the GE. 45+ state blow out

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
87. This... and much more. Just barely scratching the surface. There are, you know, many ...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 08:39 AM
Feb 2016

... other things that the well-funded GOP attack machine would use against him. (We're not even allowed to discuss them here.) Bernie would be so vulnerable. It would be sending a lamb to fight the wolves. No contest.

Hillary, on the other hand, has seen it all, heard it all, fended of ALL these attacks for 25+ years. Her current poll number ALREADY INCLUDE the effects of these attacks ... and look how well she's doing!!

Most reasonable people IGNORE the rehashing of old attacks, because they see them for what they are. New & improved (repackaged) attacks on Hillary are also seen the same way... just more of the same-old-same-old... quickly disregarded.

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)
37. Bernie's strengths in the primaries would be
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:33 AM
Feb 2016

Fatal vulnerabilities in the GE. Josh Marshall is spot on. I admire the passion of Bernie's supporters but I'm afraid it has blinded them to his flaws. Like Josh said he would be cut to pieces in the GE.

flamingdem

(39,313 posts)
41. We need to revel in this moment of Bernie momentum, when will we ever see this again
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:37 AM
Feb 2016

maybe with Elizabeth Warren but who knows.

That said I think electability is going to be clarified in the primaries to come. Bernie will start to lose support. But his candidancy has made Clinton stronger. She's having to focus and I think will end up in much better shape in the General.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
48. I say he loses 60% of the Black vote and 70% of the Latino vote to Hillary,
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 01:59 AM
Feb 2016

without being able to convert them to him....
just based on his being "spiritual", but it having nothing to do with God.
That one is gonna be super problematic,

The Republicans are gonna have a field day with that issue,
and in this case, their attacks will be true.

Perhaps this country is ready for the oldest oldest guy,

Perhaps this country is ready for a Jewish guy,

Perhaps this country is ready for a Socialist calling for a Radical Revolution

Perhaps this country is ready to vote as Commander-in-chief
a guy who was a conscientious objector

But a guy who doesn't believe in God?
I'm super doubtful on that one.

It sure is asking for a lot,
considering that the alternative will be a 100% GOP Trifecta.

That's a great part of why I'm supporting Hillary Clinton,
apart for other reasons, of course.






flamingdem

(39,313 posts)
58. I didn't tune into the issue of religion, how interesting that it could make or break him
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:11 AM
Feb 2016

more than perhaps being a socialist. I rarely think about that factor here in California.

I'm with you, the number one priority is keeping the GOP out. If Bernie is dominating in all the polls and all of a sudden young people take up his banner and actually vote.. then I might go along with this wave. But I'd be biting my nails way too much. It would be scary.

It's great to see you on Du Frenchie, here we go again, another election.

jillan

(39,451 posts)
63. He believes in God. He went into a rant about it last night.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:27 AM
Feb 2016


Perhaps you are confusing belief in God with belief in organized religion?

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
66. Nope....I'm not confused....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:45 AM
Feb 2016

He made it clear. That's why he didn't say the word God once, when speaking of his faith.

He worded artfully enough, because what he said was pretty clear.
He was asked about his faith, and he answered talking about his spirituality,
no mention of God....which is what someone
who doesn't believe in God would say.

It is what it is

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
75. Page not found.....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 03:12 AM
Feb 2016

is at your link, but I googled it anyway.

He talked about how “I think everyone believes in God in their own ways, “ ....
which as I said, is an artful dodge.

It's fine, you can think he said something else,
but the Republicans will make sure that he is pinned down more than that, for sure.



jillan

(39,451 posts)
96. Right because Donald is sooo religious & the entire RW platform is about taking away healthcare,
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:02 PM
Feb 2016

food stamps away from children, giving seniors a voucher instead of medicare, I've got mine - so screw you--- and you are telling me that Bernie's message that faith means carrying for each other is not good enough?

With that logic I can only make one assumption. It's not that Bernie is not religious enough for your idea of what voters want, it's that Bernie is not the right religion. What else can this be??

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
52. Bernie can still have his revolution....
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 02:03 AM
Feb 2016

even if he isn't the nominee.

I'm not sure why they can only go hand in hand.

You can still press for change in same way he is talking about.

It's not like anyone who wins would be king or the queen anyways,
unless its a Republican with both houses of congress.



 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
80. Hillary is the candidate that would get cut to pieces in the general election.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 03:50 AM
Feb 2016

Notice how Sanders is cutting her leads down, every single day, as more people are exposed to him. Notice how the longer Clinton exposes herself, the LESS people like her.

Clinton supporters need to stop deluding themselves that neoliberalism is, at all, popular.

Response to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Vinca

(50,271 posts)
89. To be very honest, I'm worried about the general with either candidate.
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 09:15 AM
Feb 2016

If Hillary is the nominee they'll convince the voters she's a criminal. If Bernie's the nominee they'll convince the voters he's a Commie. Meanwhile, voters who don't bother checking things out for themselves will elect a grade A nut from the GOP that we'll have to deal with for 4 years. I've been thinking about what happened this cycle and it's my opinion any Democrat who might have thought of running bowed out to pave the way for Hillary. Bad move.

KoKo

(84,711 posts)
97. This paragraph might explain Josh's thinking...
Fri Feb 5, 2016, 12:02 PM
Feb 2016

From the Article:

Bernie Sanders is the kind of people I come from. I like the guy a lot. I could explain the various ways. Some negatives and positives. As I said during the debates, I think he'd be cut to pieces in a general election. As a general matter, I think Democrats underestimate the structural challenges to winning the 2016 election with any candidate. And the damage Sen. Clinton has sustained to perceptions of her trustworthiness is a big, big deal in political terms - though I think many Democrats are dishonest with themselves not recognizing the concerted campaign from the right that is behind much of it.


I remember reading Josh was a young reporter before he even started "Talking Points Memo." He was full of fire and idealism. When he founded "TPM" it originally was focused on Political Investigative journalism. He had a "Muckraker" feature which featured corruption in Government. I think his caption was "You find Muck and We Have Rakes" (something like that). He even asked for tips from those who felt they had corruption to expose that TPM could investigate.

Through the years his site changed its emphasis. He got married had children and his site became more "establishment journalism." My feeling from all my years reading "TPM" is that Josh identifies with Bernie because he grew up with very little and they have their Jewish background in common--although Josh's mother was not Jewish and Josh, himself, often said he was not particularly religious. His mother died in a tragic car accident when he was very young and his father had different jobs, etc. Josh talked about his growing up experience a lot on "TPM" in the early days and always seemed surprised at what he had achieved. But, he also realizes (through his own experience) that being "radical" doesn't always work out so well when one has to find a place in the "establishment," and being an "investigative journalist" in the current times wasn't going to put food on the Marshall's table or support his kids going forward.

As to Bernie's being "Cut to Pieces:" it stands to reason, that since Bernie has never changed his lifestyle, outgrown his idealism or his basic Democratic Socialist's beliefs, that the Media, Corporate, Military Industrial Complex will not tolerate someone like Bernie to be elected President because they couldn't contol him. And, we can already see this with his lack of endorsements from his fellow Democrats in House and Senate and the Labor Unions, Newspapers and all the others who have endorsed Hillary even before the first Primary. He's already had his first cuts...and they will keep coming.

Sorry to rant on, but just my impression from the years of reading "TPM" and being there from the beginning. I haven't read Josh as much in the past couple of years because he became too "establishment" for me. :-D but, that doesn't mean that I don't appreciate his writing, keen insight about politics and his basic populist leanings which I think he still has ...buried in there, deeply.




Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»always worth reading - Jo...