2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAfter the debate Josh Marshall, big Bernie supporter said
"He would be cut to pieces in a general election"
Luminous Animal
(27,310 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)Peregrine Took
(7,413 posts)Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)sad for the Party and the country
Jarqui
(10,125 posts)I wouldn't sell him short.
And he's a squeaky clean politician. They cannot rip him up much there.
They'll attack him on socialism - but many, when they find out what he means, won't run away - they're already running towards it.
They'll attack him on foreign policy because he doesn't want to carpet bomb everybody but they do that with every Dem candidate so there's nothing new there.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)and like every attack on Trump my the media and political elite has backfired so will the attacks on Sanders... Billionaires and multi-millionaires telling people how to vote - for their own good - is not what 2016 is about.
Cleita
(75,480 posts)underestimating Bernie his whole political career with the result that they are surprised when they lose to him.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)hardly a representative sample of the American electorate.
Cleita
(75,480 posts)I personally have seen him on C-Span over the years mop the floor with Republicans including Gingrich and other bulldozer type Repubs. It's not like it's his first time in the ring.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)I know, I've talked to them.
They still don't believe there is a realistic chance we are going to nominating him and thus hand them the White House on a silver platter, but they relish the prospect.
The attack ads all write themselves and they are backed up by Sanders own words. It doesn't get better than that.
I've never seen some of these folks get bigger smiles than when contemplating facing Sanders.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)That couldn't beat Obama, twice?
[slow clap]
SDJay
(1,089 posts)The same geniuses who were laughing their asses off as Obama surged to take over the lead in the primaries in 08. They were gleeful at the prospect of facing a relatively unknown black man. Like Sanders, there wasn't much of anything out there to stick to him in terms of dirt.
Let them laugh. Repukes aren't exactly known for their measured introspection nor are they prone to learning from history.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)zazen
(2,978 posts)They're not laughing now.
Sanders pulls his punches with Hillary because he instinctively doesn't want to verbally beat up a woman. That's why he held back last night when he could have been more confrontational. He just can't bring himself to do it. I respect him for that.
He'd wipe the floor with Trump, a fellow New Yorker his own age whom he believes is a malevolent moron, because he has no internal chivalric code that tells him to hold back with Trump.
Remember George Carlin's routine about the NYC tradition of the verbal street-fighting "dozens?" Sanders will eviscerate him.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)He will lose by 18 points or more to any of the top three Republicans. His only chance is if they self destruct completely between August and November.
In other words, Sanders has about the same chance as anyone on DU if they were nominated. He can only win if the GOP nominee implodes.
Kentonio
(4,377 posts)He's not new to the game, he's competed against and worked alongside the Republicans for decades. You think he's suddenly going to be a rabbit in the headlights in a combative general? Perhaps you should watch more of his committee performances where he took great pleasure in ripping numerous major GOP figures to pieces.
He speaks in a way that normal people can relate to and understand, and he doesn't pull his punches. His straight talking, blunt approach is EXACTLY the right opposition to the nonsense and lies they'll put out. Sanders vs Trump or Cruz is fairy tale stuff for us.
Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)TheBlackAdder
(28,201 posts)elias49
(4,259 posts)Final answer?
bunnies
(15,859 posts)kristopher
(29,798 posts)You need some new folks to look up to. Might I suggest an elderly statesman from Vermont that has been in the news lately?
ladjf
(17,320 posts)Peregrine Took
(7,413 posts)that's an oxymoronic term if ever I heard one.
Flying Phoenix
(114 posts)You know, being an anti-Clinton then and pro-Clinton makes you a big flip-flopper, Steve. It's not pretty, and you're still getting beaten for it.
That's the consequences of writing stupid articles in 2008. It just might bite you back
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Flying Phoenix
(114 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Flying Phoenix
(114 posts)Therefore, worthless.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)LexVegas
(6,063 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)By July he would be behind 10 points and by September at least 15 points. He finishes out down 15-25 points and loses at least 43 states if not 45-47 states.
LexVegas
(6,063 posts)pengu
(462 posts)It won't work for them either.
kristopher
(29,798 posts)ROFLMAO
R B Garr
(16,954 posts)him. But these BS fans are just thrilled with anything remotely anti-Hillary, so he's their latest chew toy. They can't even handle the mildest of Bernie vetting by Chris Matthews, which even that is months overdue. Sanders has had a Cakewalk.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)We can win that back. But it's the Supreme Court that frightens me. Those new, right wing, replacements could be in place for decades.
rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)Sanders and not so much H. Clinton. The attack ads for HRC have already been published right along.
I've never seen some of these folks get bigger smiles than when contemplating facing Clinton.
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)SDJay
(1,089 posts)in completely making shit up. There is absolutely, positively no shame on the dark side of Repukes. That's about it - and the only people that will sway are people who would never vote for Sanders anyway. Dealing with the Clinton machine is a good test for Bernie and will serve him well if he wins the nomination.
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)Ichingcarpenter
(36,988 posts)in the title and holds title like a Pseudologist
earthside
(6,960 posts)It is very hard for longtime conventional political thinkers to wrap their heads around how average people are feeling right now.
We don't care a wit about "the first woman President' ... not one wit.
We haven't had a raise since before the Great Recession; our health care insurance premiums are up and so are the deductibles; we can't afford to send our kids to college; local and sate governments are raising our taxes and fees. At the same time we see local governments giving Walmarts millions of dollars to help build stores; billions of dollars wasted on a non-working F-35; billionaires still getting tax breaks; etc.
Folks like Marshall and the Democratic Party establishment are still basing their political analysis on fear ... fear that the country is just so conservative that Democrats better move to the right as fast as possible.
But they are missing the anger and frustration that a huge part of America is experiencing right now; we don't care if you call it socialism or purple-polka-dot-ism ... just do something to help us!
And the only one who is doing that is Bernie Sanders.
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)They would not vote for Hillary. They like his economic message, they like his energy and honesty.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Which is about what my prediction is if Sanders is nominated. Minus the four votes.
Schema Thing
(10,283 posts)...do you not understand, Steven Lesser?
TheBlackAdder
(28,201 posts).
So, either the the poli-sci folks at Rutgers are stupid or you are talking crap!
.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Goblinmonger
(22,340 posts)You forgot the thingy when you typed that.
Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)Anyway, this is what Josh Marshall wrote last night:
10:29 PM: I will put my cards on the table. I think Sanders would be cut to pieces in a general election. I think he's great. I'd support him like crazy if he were nominated. But I think he'd be cut to pieces.
Oilwellian
(12,647 posts)He's been a Third Way shill for years. Either you change the title of your OP or you lose any credibility you may have (which I doubt is very little.)
cali
(114,904 posts)He's a prime member of the "I like Bernie, BUT..." pundit club.
Gothmog
(145,242 posts)Karl Rove is running ads to help Sanders for a good reason
Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)It doesn't seem to be catching on. They should try something more believable.
jillan
(39,451 posts)Cleita
(75,480 posts)He has been beating Republicans in his very red home state for 25 years. Chew on that Josh.
TeddyR
(2,493 posts)It is one of the most liberal states in the Union. http://www.ijreview.com/2015/02/250771-states-self-identify-conservative-rather-liberal/
Cleita
(75,480 posts)back then also voted for Bernie. I know Vermont has a lot of party affiliations but all those years before Obama, when Bernie was running for and winning offices, it leaned very conservative. One former Vermonter tells the tale of driving around the countryside and seeing Bernie lawn signs alongside Bush lawn signs.
Flying Phoenix
(114 posts)It's the R's that'll get cut into ribbons, pureed, and then buried in concrete.
Mike Nelson
(9,956 posts)...Republicans play rough - they bypass mud and sling the real stuff.
pengu
(462 posts)TheFarseer
(9,322 posts)You have to acknowledge two things. First, the GOP field is weak with the possible exception of Rubio. Second, Bernie has proven in the debates that he won't back down and will stay on message. Personally, I think he more than held his own last night despite a brutal and personal attack.
kristopher
(29,798 posts)Kasick and Rubio. That would be worry me very much if our candidate is Hillary.
If it's Bernie, I believe he'd not only keep all the liberal leaning voters, but he'd also steal 25% of the GOP's normal voter base.
TheFarseer
(9,322 posts)But I don't think he will be anywhere close to getting the nomination. Maybe VP
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)ljm2002
(10,751 posts)...and assume you have not been following Josh Marshall during the primaries.
He most certainly is NOT a "big Bernie supporter". On the contrary, he has expressed support for Hillary.
He has as always tried to be fair and I give him great credit for that.
But you should change the title of your OP, as it is at best mistaken, and at worst...
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)and re-elected THREE times and each time he was re-elected, he got even more votes!
U.S. News and World Reports named him one of 20 BEST MAYORS in 1987!
He served in the HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES in the United States Congress from 1991-2007.
He was then elected to the SENATE in 2006 and re-elected with 71% of the vote! How many politicians have had that many votes?
Vermont is now a Hammer and Sickle state? Would Vermonters elect a Stalin Socialist to the United States Congress for 25 years? I don't think so!
Bernie's political record is waaaay too long for any Red Baiting to stick in the Primary OR the GE!
He'll be fine. I don't think a Stalin socialist would be allowed in the U.S. Congress and certainly wouldn't be voted to serve on these:
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What are they going to cut him to pieces over?
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE