BRAND NEW Boston Globe-Suffolk University New Hampshire Poll-Sanders 50% Clinton 41%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

The poll also showed the Democratic contest to be a single-digit race. US Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont leads former US secretary of state Hillary Clinton, 50 percent to 41 percent, with 8 percent undecided


https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/02/05/new-poll-shows-rubio-closing-trump/QpALGuCZ2gAivxLtHAaPAI/story.html

[DCBob]

1. WOWSA!

The comeback girl!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. She cut a 30 point lead in half in four days? in the U Mass poll

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511147023

[Thinkingabout]

2. Could we classify this as a surge?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I had to double check it because I couldn't believe it. But she is surging in the U Mass Poll

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511147023

[SheenaR]

26. Now I was told Nate Silver is the 5th Evangelist

and what he says is gospel. So one has to beware of that C+ rated outlet over at UMass Lowell

[DemocratSinceBirth]

30. Res ipsa loquitur

Now I was told Nate Silver is the 5th Evangelist
and what he says is gospel. So one has to beware of that C+ rated outlet over at UMass Lowell

Nate Silver gave Suffolk University a B rating:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

Nate Silver gave U Mass Lowell a C+ rating:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

B > C+

[SheenaR]

35. I love you man

You are my favorite HRC supporter. Excellent response. No snark. My fiancée knows of my affinity of your writing. But you have great responses that are always on topic and I appreciate that.

Cheers

[DemocratSinceBirth]

38. TY

[TwilightGardener]

4. Bernie's gonna have to work hard to beat the frontrunner. They chose her in 2008.

Go Bernie!

[MoonRiver]

6. Wow, she's moving up fast!

[NorthCarolina]

7. What was that mock election by a College that ended with Bernie in a landslide?

Maybe they were pretty on-the-mark after all.

[restorefreedom]

8. Poll: Sanders Leads Clinton by 20 Points in New Hampshire

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-sanders-leads-clinton-20-points-new-hampshire-n511456

[TwilightGardener]

9. If I had to predict, I'm going to say Bernie by 4 or 5%, unless something

happens between now and then. I would not count on double digits.

[restorefreedom]

13. i think it will be double, but not huge double.

double would be a nice decisive win imo

[SheenaR]

18. Wouldnt even matter

We know a win is whoever wins as you and I have been told. So by 1 or by 20. We will celebrate our win accordingly

[TwilightGardener]

23. Considering that Clinton has Hasan and Shaheen and tons of other Dem party

support flooding NH for her, and probably a tremendous get-out-the-vote operation, it will tighten up considerably. Never underestimate machine/institutional advantage.

[restorefreedom]

25. we will, but any clinton loss less than 10 ish will be spun as a "win" for her nt

[SheenaR]

27. They can't here at DU

They laid the rules down for what is and what isn't a win. They would lose all credibility if they take a 9 or 10 point loss and say it's a win. For a win is whoever actually wins per countless threads here

[restorefreedom]

29. yes, considering how important her "win" of 0.02% was.

you are absolutely correct.

[SheenaR]

31. My point exactly n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. I am glad that reassures you./nt

[restorefreedom]

16. why, yes it does, thank you! as does this one..

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/hillary-clinton-losing-national-lead-bernie-sanders-poll/story?id=36733595

[DemocratSinceBirth]

20. I am glad that reassures you, too./nt

[restorefreedom]

21. thank you! have a great day, dsb! nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

22. You as well./nt

[restorefreedom]

24. :) nt

[angrychair]

11. We can wait to see if it is an outlier

That being said, there was more specific information you OP leaves out from that article:

"Democrats seem to have made up their minds in this contest compared to Republican voters. While 33 percent of Republican said they could change their minds in the closing weekend, just 13 percent of Democrats said the same thing."

more damning combined with:

"However, 71 percent of Democrats said the same thing about Sanders (said they would be “enthusiastic” or “satisfied” him becoming the nominee) 68 percent of Democrats felt that way toward Clinton."

and this last tidbit:

"Forty-nine percent answered they were “anti-Wall Street,”

All in all, still very positive for Sanders. Please tell me this isn't a "single digit loss" is a win meme?

[SheenaR]

19. That meme does not exist

I mean it couldn't here at DU. Maybe in the MSM. But here at DU, a win has been defined as being with the most votes/delegates at the end of the night. Lest we forget the lessons of our Iowa defeat.

[DrDan]

12. I think this is clearly a win

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. It's one poll. We need confirmation.

I will point out she cut a 31 point deficit in the U Mass poll to 15 in four days:


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511147023

[DrDan]

43. It was actually a comment on one side's liberal interpretation of that word

obviously not a "win" until votes are actually counted

[femmedem]

14. Same lead he had in this particular poll prior to Iowa.

from the article: "In the last Suffolk University poll, released before the Iowa caucuses, Sanders also led by 9 percent."

In other words, this is not a surge. This is no movement.

[SheenaR]

15. Oh Cool

But, it will really stink Tuesday night if she can't win outright. Because every person here at DU now knows what a win IS and what it ISN'T. And we have the HRC supporters to thank for that! Bravo!

Bernie was never up 30 and the 20's were a bit extreme too, considering it went from 10 to 30 quite fast.


I think anywhere from this to 15 is about right.

But a win is a win. As you well know.

N.B. Anyone who is confident, sign up at one of those offshore gambling sites and you can get Hillary at 8 to 1 odds right now. My fiancée uses BetOnline, Bovada and 5Dimes for his sports habits. Put your money where your mouth is.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

28. I am not interested in pecuniary gain or filthy lucre

N.B. Anyone who is confident, sign up at one of those offshore gambling sites and you can get Hillary at 8 to 1 odds right now. My fiancée uses BetOnline, Bovada and 5Dimes for his sports habits. Put your money where your mouth is

I am not interested in pecuniary gain or filthy lucre but if you want to give me 8-1 odds I will wager $25.00 on Hillary Clinton to win the New Hampshire primary and should I win I will donate my $200.00 winnings to DU which I will of course verify. If I lose I will send you $25.00, no strings attached.


Your word here is all I require.

[SheenaR]

34. I'm fine with that

But I am more than likely not going to accept your $25.

But I will send you your winnings if you prevail. Now it just got more interesting!!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

37. The winnings go to DU, not to me.

You can just donate it to DU, provide the proof here, with identifying personal information redacted, of course.

[SheenaR]

39. And do the same for me please!

See, two sides coming together to raise money for DU

[DemocratSinceBirth]

41. I have to figure out how to buy someone a star. I did it a long time ago...

When I had more money I once started a thread where I said I would donate $25.00 to the poster who wrote the best anti-Bush essay.

[Agschmid]

32. A lot of the doors I'm knocking today are Clinton supporters.

I think it may be closer than we think.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

33. I suspect Sanders will win but he was up 31% on Monday

http://www.uml.edu/docs/TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY%202-1-16_tcm18-230419.pdf

[Agschmid]

44. Also many people I think are very sick of the knocking...

[lunamagica]

36. K&R. Sounds good, but I still think Sanders will win NH

[jillan]

40. This is a credible poll but the one showing that Bernie is now within 2 points of Hillary nationally

is not?

Ok - Got it

[DemocratSinceBirth]

42. What other poll? Who said it isn't credible? Is there a national primary? /nt

[DemocraticSocialist8]

45. The Poll Showing Sanders with a 31 point lead is likely an Outlier...

He only beats her by that much if there's a HUGE turnout among voters under 35. I think he has a double digit lead, but I don't think it's over 20 points. More like 10-15 points most likely.