Today's Monmouth poll has it down to a 10 point lead for Sanders

[Persondem]

Bernie Sanders currently holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire’s
Democratic primary. This is a slightly tighter contest than the 53% to 39% lead Sanders held in
Monmouth’s January poll.

And another bit of good news for Clinton ...

Clinton (68%) supporters are slightly more likely than Sanders backers (60%) to
say their vote is locked in.

The trend continues ... the RCP average has Sanders's lead shrinking by 5 points in just a few days. Sanders is still clearly the favorite but it could be close.

[Iliyah]

1. If the polls are tightening, I see a win for her in NH

Well I surely hope so

[DCBob]

2. Looks like NH is not going to be the blowout many were expecting.

Cheers!

[treestar]

3. Hillary is making progress!

[riversedge]

29. Progressive Hillary makes progress--she gets things done and dreams of better things

for the USA

[NowSam]

4. Especially if The Clinton camp is counting the votes

A fair statement considering Iowa Dem chair is a Clinton operative and won't allow an audit.

I predicted this narrowing gap meme and how it makes it easier for cheaters to rig the game.

[Persondem]

8. Take off the tin foil and provide some proof that multiple pollsters are colluding with

Democratic party officials in NH to rig the vote for Clinton.

[NowSam]

16. You take off your blinders and I'll remove my foil

But my reasons for suspicion of this corrupt system are very valid. Starting with Florida in 2000 and Ohio in 2004. Election fraud is a reality in this country.

How can we not be suspicious when the Iowa Chair (Clinton Operative) won't allow an audit in such a tight race with widely reported errors statewide?

I take offense at your calling me a tin foil hat wearer as you imply that I am a conspiracy theorist. You are living with eyes closed if you don't see the rampant corruption.

[riversedge]

30. haha. you re going back to National elections of Gore and Kerry?

[KittyWampus]

5. If Sanders doesn't keep his huge lead in NH, he's in big trouble. HOWEVER

if he does and keeps a viable, delegate count race going- all the more power to him.

[HassleCat]

6. By election day, Clinton will be ahead

Assuming the election is sometime in mid March. And her lead in a poll does not translate to a corresponding margin of victory, if Iowa is an indication.

[NurseJackie]

7. Bernie's campign is FALLING APART! I'll bet someone in his office is in PANIC MODE about now!

Looks like Bernie will not be the nominee.

Go, Hillary! We love you!


Note to Jury: No candidate or candidate's fans were attacked, insulted or smeared. These are my opinions and guesses based solely on my observations of the news reports about recent polling.

[bkkyosemite]

9. If the NH election gets to a tie and she wins I will absolutely be suspicious.

Any Hillary license plates on the Dem party head person in NH.

[Persondem]

11. Oh I get it ... only Sanders is allowed to exceed expectations

You forget that Clintons have a history of doing well in NH.

[bkkyosemite]

20. I absolutely believe that Bernie won IA.

[CorkySt.Clair]

23. Trump also believes he won Iowa

[NowSam]

21. The public trust is ruined. Congrats, Iowa Dem Chair.

I don't believe the results. Where does that leave me? No trust left at all in this theater of the absurd. Of course I don't believe WWE Wrestling is real either.

[Metric System]

10. Yeah, but everybody hates Hillary and nobody wants to vote for her. It's true because I saw it on

Democratic Underground written by Sanders supporters.

[tecelote]

12. I'm not seeing it...

[Persondem]

18. Here you go ...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. Monmouth is A- rated pollster

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

[Persondem]

14. Nice addidtion to the thread. Thank you! nt

[jillan]

15. Since she won NH in 2008 this is no surprise.

[gyroscope]

17. 75% landlines

this poll skew towards older voters, not very accurate.

whereas the Quinnipiac polled with cellphones, big difference.

[Persondem]

19. See post #13. nt

[gyroscope]

22. Rating doesn't mean much

when their polling method is questionable

particularly when the results are much different from other recent polls.

[Persondem]

24. Oh yeah, another poll just released has it down to a 7 point Sanders lead

"U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders' once-formidable lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire has shrunk to just 7 points, putting another Clinton comeback within reach"

So the Monmouth poll is hardly an outlier, much as you would like it to be.

New poll link here.

[gyroscope]

25. And the latest CNN poll 2/6 has Sanders up by 23

UMASS 2/6 poll shows Sanders up 17

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-presidential-democratic-primary

[Persondem]

26. That's why polls get averaged and the average gap is dropping. It's down 5 points in 3 days.

And actually, that CNN poll is looking like an outlier, but even only considering that poll Clinton is gaining

" Sanders holds 58% among likely Democratic primary voters, well ahead of Clinton's 35%. That's a tighter race than right after Iowa, when the poll suggested Sanders led Clinton by a 2-to-1 margin."

[gyroscope]

28. Polls with questionable methods

ought to be ignored.

[Persondem]

31. Sure. Allll those polls that show Clinton doing well must be ignored!! You're funny.

And thanks for kicking the thread.

[gyroscope]

32. No

just the ones with questionable methods, regardless

[Persondem]

33. You are actually giving yourself away. The poll you are lauding, the CNN poll, doesn't even provide

information on the age of its respondents in it's release of data. You are making the case that a poll that doesn't care about the age of its respondents is better than multiple polls that do.

Yeah, I just actually read the 6 pages of the CNN press release, and there is zero demographics included.

What a crock.

[Hoyt]

27. Oh good. Clinton can follow Sanders lead and claim she won, even if she loses.

[valerief]

34. Bernie has 12% lead in poll with only 13% 18-34--Bernie 67%, Hillary 55%

How likely is it that you could end up voting for [CANDIDATE NAME] on Tuesday – very,
somewhat, not too, or not at all likely? [NAMES WERE ROTATED]

Already support (D1)
Hillary Clinton 42%
Bernie Sanders 52%

Very likely
Hillary Clinton 2%
Bernie Sanders 2%

Somewhat likely
Hillary Clinton 11%
Bernie Sanders 13%

Not too likely
Hillary Clinton 8%
Bernie Sanders 6%

Not at likely
Hillary Clinton 35%
Bernie Sanders 25%

(VOL) Don’t know
Hillary Clinton 2%
Bernie Sanders 2%

From link in OP
Bernie Sanders currently holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire’s
Democratic primary. This is a slightly tighter contest than the 53% to 39% lead Sanders held in
Monmouth’s January poll.
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/2114e68d-b5a1-46c5-a375-2d112a71d050.pdf

[Persondem]

35. With multiple polls released today you are free to look at whatever slice of data you choose

whatever it takes to make you feel good.

I'll do the same.

[valerief]

36. I used the link in the OP. Your link. nt