2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhat worries me most.....
GOP shatters its turnout record; Democrats lag behindhttp://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/feb/10/gop-shatters-its-turnout-record-democrats-lag-behi/
AlGiordano @AlGiordano
Why Democratic turnout is underperforming GOP turnout may be the most important question to answer today.
AlGiordano @AlGiordano
The roughly 250,000 voters in NH Democratic primary underperformed from the 280,000 in 2008 even with the influx of Ron Paul Independents.
AlGiordano @AlGiordano
GOP turnout in NH however increased from 2008s 234,000 to about 290,000 even with the exodus of libertarians. Who are these new voters?
AlGiordano @AlGiordano
Lower turnout is even more of an alarm button for Democrats considering that were only talking about white voters so far in Iowa and NH.
AlGiordano @AlGiordano
The numbers show that even among white Democrats a significant part of base feels neither inspired by Sanders nor Clinton.
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)the news of the upcoming Sanders win, pivoted to vote in the Republican primary where their votes might carry more weight.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)If they hadn't, she could have had a 30 point loss.
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)to vote for the Krispie Kreme, just to give him a shot at taking Cruz out next!
Senator Tankerbell
(316 posts)That's why Kasich came in second. Kasich will not be the nominee. In a general election, with Sanders or Clinton vs Trump, those voters would vote for the Democrat.
LonePirate
(13,417 posts)The Repubs thumped us in total numbers in IA as well which was far more competitive on the Dem side.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)Protalker
(418 posts)My concern has been the stealth movement of Cruz. He is a bomb thrower also. Of all places Morning Joe had Chris Matthews on. Matthews called Cruz what he is, subhuman. Yea!
LonePirate
(13,417 posts)We could be facing a wipeout in November regardless of who our nominee is.