2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMy electoral map as of 2/13.
As of Feb.13th, I have Obama winning the following states. Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, DC, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico, Washington, Oregon, California and Hawaii. Total, 266 electoral votes
I have the Republican, either Romney or Santorum winning the following; Alaska, Montana, Idaho, Nevada, Wyoming, Utah, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina. Total; 186 electoral votes.
Tossups; Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina.
This is how I see it so far!! What about you??
Update this as the election gets closer.
nevergiveup
(4,760 posts)I think Obama wins Ohio if the election were held today.
center rising
(971 posts)So I put that on in toss up.
LonePirate
(13,420 posts)I think both will be solidly in Obama's corner this year. If Santorum becomes the nominee, several of those red and toss-up states will instantly become blue.
center rising
(971 posts)Robbins
(5,066 posts)I have Is Nevada should be tossup.If Santorum Is nominee It should be leaning Obama.Romney due to Momon population has a
shot at winning but Hispanic population could make It a fight.
Chipper Chat
(9,678 posts)Romney is hated here because of all the factories he bought up and then closed causing thousands of Hoosiers to lose their jobs and benefits. And Santorum is, well, just too extreme.
Bok_Tukalo
(4,323 posts)<OPE>
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)He'll lost VA this time around. And I think AZ is a toss up this year. He really has a chance there.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)The last poll of NH has Obama leading Romney by 10.So I think we can say It Is leaning Obama.Virginia Is tossup.The most recent
poll gave Obama a 4 point lead In Virginia.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)then VA will be much more difficult. It is not impossible, however. I just can't understand why McDonnell is so popular in the state. It's very weird.
Kwarg
(89 posts)I believe it will come down to NC and Ohio
musicblind
(4,484 posts)they've done 16 since November.
But that doesn't mean it will be easy. His lead is between 1 and 3 points in each of the polls.
He will get a boost here for the convention, and then we need to focus HEAVILY on all of the college towns and cities to get the vote out. We have a insane number of colleges and universities in this state, and their areas usually trend very blue.
LeftofU
(498 posts)I think you forgot Louisiana.
CollegeDem20
(7 posts)He's a Democrat that can appeal to Indies and some conservatives. Having a blue AZ seat and Obama has already made plans to campaign in AZ means it will force Romney to waste his resources.
I have confidence that Obama can pull AZ over to the blue side, win OH, VA, FL, not sure about NC.
Don't forget about MO and WV; they may be up for grabs