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amborin

(16,631 posts)
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 01:32 PM Feb 2016

Bernie Supporters Need to Remember:

As Super Tuesday approaches, the media is burying the Sanders campaign, telling everyone that a Clinton nomination is now clearly inevitable.

But there are 5 important facts the media is leaving out that show Sanders has a far better chance than most pundits give him.

1. Bernie is absolutely crushing Hillary in the money race

Bernie Sanders has already raised an astonishing $36 million this month from 1.2 million individual contributions — an average of $30 per donation. And with still hours to go, the Sanders campaign is trying to hustle to get $40 million in the month of February. This is a pretty big deal, considering the campaign out-raised Hillary Clinton for the first time ever in January, with $21.3 million to her $14.9 million. This means that Bernie may end up doubling his January fundraising haul, leaving Clinton in the dust. Between the start of his campaign in April 2015 and January 31, Bernie Sanders raised $94.8 million.

2. In South Carolina, Bernie was the far-and-away favorite of voters that swing elections


Even though Hillary Clinton beat Bernie Sanders by 47 percent in South Carolina, Sanders still won key constituencies by decisive margins — these are the same demographics that typically decide general elections. Among independent voters, Sanders won by 7. Sanders also won by 8 points with voters aged 18 to 29.

He also won with white male democrats by 12 points, and completely dominated among first-time primary voters with a 26-point margin. It’s important to note these constituencies make up a small percentage of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina, where Democratic turnout in the reddest state in America was horrendous. The 370,000 participants in the South Carolina Democratic primary make up just 13 percent of the overall electorate. Sanders will fare far better in many of the Super Tuesday states. Speaking of which…

3. Bernie is polling very well in significant Super Tuesday states

According to respected pollster Nate Silver, Bernie Sanders is positioned take a majority of delegates in Massachusetts, Vermont, Colorado, and Minnesota. In Colorado — one of the must-win swing states in November — Sanders was ahead of Clinton by 6 points in polls released 10 days ago. He’ll likely take a significant number of delegates in Oklahoma and Tennessee.

And he may very well surprise pundits and pollsters in states like Virginia, Texas, and Arkansas, where the Democratic electorate’s demographics are more favorable to Sanders. As the Huffington Post pointed out, even if Sanders is 150 delegates behind Hillary Clinton at the end of the day on Super Tuesday, he could cut his delegate deficit by one-third if he wins California in June.

4. 96 percent of primary voters haven’t voted yet

It’s important to keep in mind that, so far, only 4 out of 50 states have voted in the Democratic primaries as of this writing. Clinton won South Carolina considerably and Nevada narrowly; Sanders tied with her in Iowa and crushed her in New Hampshire. While the primary contests leading up to March 15 are favorable to Clinton, Sanders is poised to do much better in states with large populations of true-blue Democrats like New York, Washington, Oregon, California, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Connecticut, Illinois, and Michigan. All of these states have demographics similar to Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada, where Sanders did well against Clinton.

5. The media is severely understating Bernie Sanders’ electability

As Bernie Sanders said after his South Carolina loss, the campaign is just getting started. In the last 24 hours, Sanders has already picked up endorsements from Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii), the vice-chair of the DNC, who resigned from her post to back the Vermont senator, and Congressman Alan Grayson (D-Florida), a liberal icon who is one of the leading voices of the Congressional Progressive Caucus. There are also three more Democratic debates in March, April, and May, which will expose Sanders to more voters in primary states holding contests later in the Spring. And for months, nationally-respected polling organizations like Quinnipiac show Sanders fares better in general election matchups with all leading Republicans than Hillary Clinton.

In Ohio, which has 18 electoral votes and tends to be the state that decides presidential elections, Quinnipiac has Clinton trailing or tying with all Republican candidates.


http://usuncut.com/politics/5-reasons-bernie-sanders-supporters-shouldnt-be-down/
33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Bernie Supporters Need to Remember: (Original Post) amborin Feb 2016 OP
CORRECTION: 5. The media is *PURPOSELY* severely understating Bernie Sanders’ electability Raster Feb 2016 #1
+1 TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #4
this right here ^^^^^^ nt restorefreedom Feb 2016 #16
KnR - M$M is shamelessly whoring for the Billionaire Class 24/7. nt 99th_Monkey Feb 2016 #2
Every single person who CAN vote tomorrow MUST vote. Or STFU. Here and everywhere. FailureToCommunicate Feb 2016 #3
Hey, this ain't Chicago. HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #15
bernie lost black voters in south carolina captainarizona Feb 2016 #5
Bernie does appeal on those issues. JDPriestly Feb 2016 #27
K & R! TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #6
Anyone who thinks the media, who has been trying to destroy the Clintons for 25yrs.... JaneyVee Feb 2016 #7
Ever hear the phrase "build 'em up to knock 'em down?" nxylas Feb 2016 #13
I made it to bullet 2. Now my ribs hurt. Thanks. nt. NCTraveler Feb 2016 #8
Re: Bernie is polling well in Significant Super Tuesday States... brooklynite Feb 2016 #9
I live in Minnesota kenfrequed Feb 2016 #14
I would guess the Establishment has bet on 2 horses at one time andrewv1 Feb 2016 #10
K&R. It's a long, long way to go and far from decided. 96% of people haven't even voted. appalachiablue Feb 2016 #11
That's right. It is a LONG way to convention. nt silvershadow Feb 2016 #12
We knew it would be a tough week artislife Feb 2016 #17
Hillary wants to continue and expand on Obama's accomplishments. Bernie wants to start over. Laser102 Feb 2016 #18
I supported Obama and feel that he would have been Svafa Feb 2016 #22
What makes you think Bernie wants to "start over"? JDPriestly Feb 2016 #26
I'm so excited to vote for Bernie tomorrow! Cobalt Violet Feb 2016 #19
Plus he is carrying the movement that began with Occupy Wall Street, the awareness JDPriestly Feb 2016 #24
yeah, things take a while to get going. Cobalt Violet Feb 2016 #25
I will be caucusing for Bernie tomorrow hifiguy Feb 2016 #31
People need to give to Bernie. Clinton has her billionaire SUPERPACS. Skwmom Feb 2016 #20
I agree, but have a related question. hifiguy Feb 2016 #21
yes, this is the crucial question; it won't matter a rats in the GE amborin Feb 2016 #29
Right? This bothers me about our system as well. Marr Feb 2016 #30
K&R. JDPriestly Feb 2016 #23
We really don't need to let South Carolina decide the outcome of the ladjf Feb 2016 #28
The home of American Sedition hifiguy Feb 2016 #33
Important. H2O Man Feb 2016 #32

FailureToCommunicate

(14,022 posts)
3. Every single person who CAN vote tomorrow MUST vote. Or STFU. Here and everywhere.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:34 PM
Feb 2016

(And then go vote again, just for good measure)

 

captainarizona

(363 posts)
5. bernie lost black voters in south carolina
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:44 PM
Feb 2016

I tried to warn du bernie sanders supporters that he needed to appeal to african american voters on their issues black lives matter not billionaires dark money and got blocked from the bernie thread for my troubles. He better win texas latinos.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
27. Bernie does appeal on those issues.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:37 PM
Feb 2016

Do you know much about Black voters in South Carolina?

I don't, so I am wondering what percentage of Black voters in South Carolina have internet access? What percent rely on cable news for information?

Do you know? I'm really asking questions, not making a comment. I'd love to know that information.

Bernie is more of a liberal (Thom Hartmann and Ed Schultz) radio and internet candidate than a mainstream media candidate. That could explain why South Carolinians did not realize the extent to which Bernie does deal constantly with "their" issues (which are the issues all of us Democrats care about).

I question whether the problem was that Bernie did not emphasize the issues of African-Americans but rather was that the African-Americans did not really hear Bernie's message.

I don't know. It's a question.

 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
7. Anyone who thinks the media, who has been trying to destroy the Clintons for 25yrs....
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:47 PM
Feb 2016

Is somehow in the tank for Hillary is not serious. Bernie gets handled with kid gloves. Name any other candidate who could write questionable essays and whose campaign had a data breach and have the mefia just ignore it.

nxylas

(6,440 posts)
13. Ever hear the phrase "build 'em up to knock 'em down?"
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:06 PM
Feb 2016

It's in the media's interest to have the eventual nominee be the scandal-a-day candidate rather than having to try and drum up interest by shouting "OMG guys, did you know he's a socialist?" over and over again for 6 months.

brooklynite

(94,740 posts)
9. Re: Bernie is polling well in Significant Super Tuesday States...
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:48 PM
Feb 2016

Clinton is ahead in polls in MA and MN

kenfrequed

(7,865 posts)
14. I live in Minnesota
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:09 PM
Feb 2016

Are you citing the Star and Tribune poll? Because no one in this state actually is buying it. It is over a month old and it wasn't terribly well done in the first place.

andrewv1

(168 posts)
10. I would guess the Establishment has bet on 2 horses at one time
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:48 PM
Feb 2016

First Rubio who doesn't look that good against Trump right now &....

The other one is Clinton which might be their best bet for the moment.

And no doubt Chuckie on Lockheed Martin ad sponsored Meet the Press & Clinton Carrier Cuomo on the Clinton Nomination Network have been given their "Marching Orders"....

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
17. We knew it would be a tough week
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:15 PM
Feb 2016

But we are in it to Convention.

Then we will know if our candidate is the nominee.

Laser102

(816 posts)
18. Hillary wants to continue and expand on Obama's accomplishments. Bernie wants to start over.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:30 PM
Feb 2016

Not a real surprise that people who adore this President, do not like what they are hearing. No surprise at all. Trying to wipe out the past eight years is never going to fly. We had an awesome president in Obama. I'm voting to insure his legacy. I'm voting for Clinton.

Svafa

(594 posts)
22. I supported Obama and feel that he would have been
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:44 PM
Feb 2016

able to make good on many more of his promises if not for republican obstruction. Republicans despise Hillary and will do exactly to her what they did to Obama. If she were to become POTUS, it would be nothing more than four (or eight) more years of Republican obstruction. Not to mention, I supported Obama over her in 08 because she is significantly more conservative than him. The best way to protect his legacy is to expand on his push toward progress, not to take a step backward to the right.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
26. What makes you think Bernie wants to "start over"?
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:32 PM
Feb 2016

He is not running in opposition to Obama. He has supported Obama and voted for Obama's legislation adding to it, adding good proposals to it. He was in the group that wrote the Obamacare legislation and added useful ideas and policies to the final bill.

Bernie wants to carry Obama's progress further.

I worry more about Hillary trying to wipe out Obama's legacy than about Bernie doing that.

If you want to vote to insure Obama's legacy -- the good part of it because he was hindered a great deal by the Republicans, you need to vote for Bernie not Clinton.

Cobalt Violet

(9,905 posts)
19. I'm so excited to vote for Bernie tomorrow!
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:34 PM
Feb 2016


Whether Bernie ends up winning or not at least he moved the party to the left! HE ALONE GOT THAT DONE! He got the right thing done! That alone is quite an accomplishment! Getting things done is nothing to brag about unless they are the right things to get done!

I can't wait until tomorrow.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
24. Plus he is carrying the movement that began with Occupy Wall Street, the awareness
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:23 PM
Feb 2016

of corruption and unfairness in our society, forward.

Winning elections, losing elections.

That's just one aspect of politics.

Changing political and human awareness of our interconnectedness is a spiritual purpose in politics.

All of the universe is one.

In grabbing bits of it, we try to forget that fact. But the "dust to dust, ashes to ashes" cycle is part of nature, part of the universe of life.

Bernie reminds us that we are one, that we cannot grab from others without grabbing from ourselves. That's what I see in him.

If Jesus were alive today, he would support Bernie. I'm as sure as I can be of that.

Do unto others what you would have them do unto you.

Cobalt Violet

(9,905 posts)
25. yeah, things take a while to get going.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:30 PM
Feb 2016

Meanwhile poverty grow, working people's desperation grows. Millennials will get older and vote more. It's not going away.

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
21. I agree, but have a related question.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 04:39 PM
Feb 2016

Why the purple F*&K are states that NO Democrat will EVER crack 40% in any GE allocated such power in the selection of delegates?

amborin

(16,631 posts)
29. yes, this is the crucial question; it won't matter a rats in the GE
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:58 PM
Feb 2016
South Carolina, one of the original 13 colonies, attained statehood in May 1788 and has participated in every presidential election except 1864, when it had seceded from the Union. South Carolina has had eight electoral votes since 1932. Like many other southern states, South Carolina voted almost exclusively Democratic from the time of Reconstruction through the early 1960s, before turning Republican largely in response to civil rights legislation. South Carolina was one of only six states to vote for Barry Goldwater in 1964 and has voted Republican since, except in 1976 when it voted for fellow southerner Jimmy Carter. In 2012, Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama 55% to 44%.


http://www.270towin.com/states/South_Carolina
 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
30. Right? This bothers me about our system as well.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 06:05 PM
Feb 2016

It's far too defined by conservative states.

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
33. The home of American Sedition
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 06:10 PM
Feb 2016

a state no Democrat will ever win, should be at the back of the process. States like the West Coast states, Democratic strongholds, should have much more say in the process.

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