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2016 Postmortem

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts) Sat Oct 20, 2012, 10:55 PM Oct 2012

What Did Intrade Look Like 4 Years Ago

Just curious, about 2 weeks before the 2008 election, what were Obama's numbers at intrade?

3 replies

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What Did Intrade Look Like 4 Years Ago (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2012 OP

2008 and 2012 are apples and oranges. RandySF Oct 2012 #1

check it out - link below NRaleighLiberal Oct 2012 #2

intrade is probably based on IEM aletier_v Oct 2012 #3

RandySF

(59,171 posts)

1. 2008 and 2012 are apples and oranges.

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:01 PM

Oct 2012

I have a theory that that the financial collapse of September, 2008 made the election the blowout it was. And while Obama would have won in the end, it would have looked more like 2012 does now.

NRaleighLiberal

(60,018 posts)

2. check it out - link below

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:02 PM

Oct 2012

http://electoralmap.net/analysis.php

aletier_v

(1,773 posts)

3. intrade is probably based on IEM

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 11:07 PM

Oct 2012

iowa electronic markets is the grand daddy of internet markets

http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/

it was around even before me, i believe.

its been a fairly accurate indicator and looks quite similar to intrade.

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