Obama Wins without Ohio Scenario -- Larry Sabato Crystal Ball

[courseofhistory]

Last edited Sun Oct 21, 2012, 03:22 PM - Edit history (1)

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

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[LisaL]

1. That is one ungly map.

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. Whole article is worth a read - quite comforting for us, shows how much of an inside straight

RMoney has to draw, and it seems so unlikely he can do it. thanks for posting.

[longship]

3. I don't think Rmoney takes OH.

Let Detroit go bankrupt has put OH out of reach for him. I hope.

[FarPoint]

5. I'm in SW Ohio...and I am nervous.

Romney dominates every street corner, digital billboard, 90% of all political bumper stickers and 70% of yard signs. ( My guess)

I don't know how to endure the carpet bombing of Romney. I don't see Obama GOTV" being on the job either....Yea..I did phone bank calls and a little canvas jog but the enthusiasm of my peers were ...novice in my opinion. Not nearly as empowered as in 2008.

Yea...I'm worried in SW Ohio.

[mzmolly]

14. How does SW generally vote?

[FarPoint]

15. Montgomery County tends to go Blue...

due to inner city Dayton and North Dayton where I live.....but outer aspects of County...like Centerville... 60%-75% red in most cases.

Lots of Democrats laying low...ready to vote and many already have....The red noise is awful....

Miami County, Preble County is red....Butler County 50-50....and Hamilton County...I'm not sure but the red is very vocal there.....I know inner city is blue..

[skeewee08]

4. Ohio unemployment rate is down,

no way Romney wins Ohio

[sunwyn]

6. I hope you are right...I am voting early as I fear my vote may be challenged because

I moved about a year ago. I live in rural Preble Co Ohio and there are Romney signs everywhere. And awful signs saying Obama is a Muslim and Obama is a threat to freedom. There are a few Obama/Biden signs, thank goodness.

[LisaL]

7. Some people might be afraid to put out their Obama signs.

[truthN08]

9. I live in Nevada

I'm terrified to put out an Obama sign. My husband begged me not to put a sticker or magnet on my car either for safety. These teabaggers are nutty. in 2008 I had my window shattered and my car keyed for having Obama stuff all over my car. To scared to do it. I imagine many people all over the country may feel the same way I do.

[LisaL]

10. As long as you get out there and vote-that's what actually counts.

[JiminyJominy]

8. If Ohio...

votes Romney they deserve to sink.

[progressivebydesign]

17. I feel that way about any of the States. They deserve what they get if they elect Romney

Not that I want to suffer through a complete reversal of everything we've accomplished, there is a spiteful part of me that would ENJOY watching the idiots suffer, who were too clueless to do their homework on Romney the Fraud. They deserve what they get.

[reflection]

11. I don't even want to think about the possibility of having to depend on that map.

[courseofhistory]

12. It is nice to know that it is possible though. I don't

think he will lose OH either.

[helpisontheway]

13. I don't care how he gets to 270, I just want him to WIN! nt

[progressivebydesign]

16. why does everyone assume the President will lose Florida??

That makes no sense. Al Gore was close enough to have them steal it.. I don't believe that it's being touted as likely republican.

[craigmatic]

19. Most polls show it between tied and a 2 point race either way. It shouldn't be that close right now.

[craigmatic]

18. OH has been better than CO this time around in terms of leaning dem. If he can't win OH I

think CO is a stretch because the lead there has been from tied to D+3.

[cheezmaka]

20. great post!

Whether Obama get 270 or 320+, with Ohio or without Ohio a WIN is a WIN!