Good Polling News

[Wildcat1955]

IBD/TIPP Obama +5.7

[ProudProgressiveNow]

1. Link

http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx

[faithfulcitizen]

11. I'm sorry, where is the +5.7 coming from? I see Obama +2?

[MadBadger]

21. Old thread

[ejbr]

2. Nice

I can exhale again...

[Maximumnegro]

3. BooYah!!

That'll bump Nate a bit (I prefer Princeton Election site personally)

[longship]

8. NPR's SciFri interviewed them both on Friday.

Downloadable as a podcast on SciFri audio

Highly recommended. Both Silver and Wang talking about methodology.

Before you judge, listen to what they both say.

[libdem4life]

4. Good News, Indeed. Outside their margin of error?

Just glanced at their home page and it looks "republican-like", but somehow they got a happy, hopeful 5.7% lead for Obama. Hope it holds...no, hope it increases.

Those of us who can't directly work for the Obama campaign, can still hold good thoughts and pass around the emails. Thanks for the information.

[courseofhistory]

5. Thanks! Good news!

[schmice]

6. I am still very worried.

I'm going back to the M.D. tomorrow for further MRI's and CTSCANS. I may get the dreaded diagnosis. If the ACA is repealed..... I don't know. Please have all your Democratic friends go out an vote for the President AND Democratic candidates for the House and Senate.

[barnabas63]

7. Romney acts like he just has to snap his fingers to repeal this..

..it's not that easy to repeal a law - especially one that is popular, which ACA is becoming.

[libdem4life]

9. Sending good thoughts and wishes. Best we can, we got your back.

[schmice]

15. Thank you

[Wildcat1955]

10. Hoping

Hoping for the very best for you my friend.

[schmice]

16. Thank you.

[Sebass1271]

12. Please let us know how it went

Good vibes to you

[schmice]

17. Thank you. I will try.

[GallopingGhost]

13. Sending positive vibes to you. n/t

[schmice]

18. Thank you.

[reflection]

14. Good luck, I'm so sorry. n/t

[schmice]

19. Thank you. I just don't want to die yet.

[reflection]

20. Please let us know how it turns out.

I spent a few minutes this morning in silence just thinking of you and reflecting on the fragile nature of life.

[politicman]

22. off topic, but interesting observation

Off topic, just wanted to point this out regarding Nate Silvers forecast.

We all know that all Obama needs to do to win this election is to take the states of Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevade/Iowa.

According to Nate Silver, Obama has a 81% chance of winning Wisconsin.

According to Nate Silver, Obama has a 70% of winning Ohio.

According to Nate Silver, Obama has a 73% chance of winning Nevada.


So logic dictates that you takes the average of the above three states and that should be your forecast numbers.

That would makes it in the mid seventies chance of Obama winning, not the 68% Nate currently shows.

Because if you win these states, then Obama wins the election.

[Grammy23]

23. I think it's important for us to keep focused on the Electoral College Count instead of---

Getting ourselves tied in knots over national polls. They may give a hint at what's going on across the US but in the end what matters is which candidate gets to 270 EC votes. (Or more!!) Right now that means that just a few states are in play and many are already firmly locked in, which is why we don't hear as much about them. Yes, I KNOW they are important to the overall picture, but in the final days of the campaign keep your eyes on which states get the love and attention of Team Romney and Team Obama.

So your point is well taken that right now Obama is looking good in the states that will give Obama the EC votes he needs to win the whole enchilada. Meanwhile, no matter whether you live in a locked in state or one of the states needed to go to 270 EC votes, don't forget that VOTING is what matters. Not "intending to vote", "planning to vote" or "hoping to vote". It is actually going to Early Voting opportunities, filling out your Absentee Ballot and mailing it in or showing up at your polling place (and staying as long as it takes to cast your ballot!!!) My husband and I have our Absentee Ballots for Florida and will be filling them out this Saturday and will mail them the same day!

Obama/Biden 2012 all the way to RE-ELECTION!

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

24. You also have to gauge his safety nets into the final total too.

If, somehow, he loses one of those other states what are his other paths to victory. He has more than Rmoney, but the fact NH and CO are close diminishes it if something flukey happens and he loses Ohio. The states themselves stand on their own, but the big picture has to account for the possibility of not hitting 3 for 3 in your scenario.