2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum+30 point swing for Sanders in New Emerson New York Poll. Clinton 56% - Sanders 38%
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/1512404+30 point swing for one polling outfit in such a short time. HOLY SHEEET!
Now the flop sweat of desperation from Clinton campaign makes complete sense.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)I think Hillary might lose NY!
closeupready
(29,503 posts)GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)I'm glad Bernie stood up to those bullies.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Hillary took Bernie's kindness for weaknesses.
insta8er
(960 posts)GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)Is that this poll was garbage all along (referring to the one that had Clinton up in the 70s that came prior to this one) or
That this is just poll herding, or even some people comparing it to polls from other outfits and thinking that means the Sanders is now losing ground. Spin spin spin.
They are also holding out hope for a Sienna poll.
insta8er
(960 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)I've had friendly battles with some black Hillary supporters on Twitter and there not happy.
kenfrequed
(7,865 posts)Emmerson uses autodialing polling which is generally considered less accurate than live surveys. Most of the live surveys already had it as closer than this by now and if the Emmerson poll represents a trend then this could be a hell of a lot tighter.
It may explain the wild desperation on the part of the Clinton team over the last week.
GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)This is useful though looking at the trends. He made up a 30 point gap in 3 weeks. With polls from different groups it isn't really possible to see trends as well. Although oddly enough in the case of Wisconsin the Emerson poll looked to be the closest to the actual result. They had Hillary's number exactly, and just underestimated Sanders.
BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)She had virtually no money. Cuomo (a corporatist like Hillary) wouldn't even say her name and he and de Blasio threatened Democratic politicians in the state with dire consequences if they endorsed her. 38% sounds a little low for Bernie.