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kentuck

(111,110 posts)
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:10 AM Apr 2016

Is Bernie Sanders another 'flash in the pan"?

Or is he building a "movement" that will survive and challenge the establishment Democratic Party in the future?

What does he plan to do with all the money he has raised and can raise in the future? Other than defeating Hillary in this election, what is his plan?

Is it possible for him to build a new Party?

What does the future hold for Bernie Sanders if he is defeated by Hillary Clinton?

92 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Is Bernie Sanders another 'flash in the pan"? (Original Post) kentuck Apr 2016 OP
Not a flash in the pan by any means. Agschmid Apr 2016 #1
Agree. Bernie is a manifestation of a larger sea change Hortensis Apr 2016 #55
It will be the Progressive Wing that now cannot be ignored...if he's not the nominee, which silvershadow Apr 2016 #79
If Bernie loses Sky Masterson Apr 2016 #2
Only time will tell. Bad Dog Apr 2016 #3
if they both did that Old Codger Apr 2016 #23
He's a flash in the pan griffi94 Apr 2016 #4
This revolution is NOT going away! floppyboo Apr 2016 #8
It won't go away so much as it'll just eveaporate griffi94 Apr 2016 #35
Is that you Chris Matthews? PyaarRevolution Apr 2016 #58
I Love your ability to deflect with what you think are insults griffi94 Apr 2016 #68
I won't and neither will others. PyaarRevolution Apr 2016 #84
You may not and others may not griffi94 Apr 2016 #85
You forget the Great Depression. PyaarRevolution Apr 2016 #90
No I'm not forgetting anything griffi94 Apr 2016 #92
Nice sour grapes, not supported by anything measurable ... MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #10
Do you want Clinton to win? You are going to have to start listening. nt floppyboo Apr 2016 #13
I'd trying some of that listening myself, if I were you... NOBODY wants her to win! MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #15
The millions more people who have voted for her, do. Maru Kitteh Apr 2016 #71
How convenient... MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #75
Even if the patently unrealistic fantasy of every one of those ballots being for Sanders were Maru Kitteh Apr 2016 #77
Let's check back in 3 years or 5 years griffi94 Apr 2016 #32
I agree with everything but the Chicago convention paragraph brush Apr 2016 #53
I broad brushed that a little bit griffi94 Apr 2016 #56
We're on the same page. brush Apr 2016 #64
Agreed. That movement will evaporate. They've already started to peel off after the NY loss. brush Apr 2016 #52
You're right... Blanks Apr 2016 #63
Thread winner. nt COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #69
These issues started with the Occupy Movement. Svafa Apr 2016 #80
The issues won't go away griffi94 Apr 2016 #82
You really don't believe that the Occupy Movement and Sanders Svafa Apr 2016 #83
Not much of an impact griffi94 Apr 2016 #86
The simplest route to an answer on that for me is money BeyondGeography Apr 2016 #5
I think the party has moved and is moving left firebrand80 Apr 2016 #6
The "movement" wanted Warren, and she said "No". JoePhilly Apr 2016 #7
yep - another flash in the pan - they come and go DrDan Apr 2016 #9
yep...we can happily return to campaigns fully financed by Citizens United money... Human101948 Apr 2016 #14
nobody said that . . . but you knew that DrDan Apr 2016 #17
"Flash in the pan" is what was said...after a flash everything goes dark (money) Human101948 Apr 2016 #18
A revolution built of youthful anger griffi94 Apr 2016 #39
the shame of it all, imo, is that small victories are not celebrated DrDan Apr 2016 #59
Right. Team Bernie wants everything right now. griffi94 Apr 2016 #87
what's comical about NY is that they failed in registering, but want to be considered the victim DrDan Apr 2016 #89
He is a shameless panderer and a flash in the pan. Trust Buster Apr 2016 #11
Good thing that we won't be able to disrupt the powers that be.... Human101948 Apr 2016 #16
What, no personal opinion? Surely you have one lurking somewhere.nt nc4bo Apr 2016 #12
I have no personal opinion so much as a personal wish... kentuck Apr 2016 #20
Now, THAT is a good idea... mikehiggins Apr 2016 #65
A more urgent question is what happens to the Democratic party if Hillary is the nominee? GreatGazoo Apr 2016 #19
"She is steadily losing voters as the race goes on." Your words. What world are you in? brush Apr 2016 #54
I'm in the world where we do scientific polls. Aren't you? GreatGazoo Apr 2016 #60
Yeah, yeah. Check in tomorrow. brush Apr 2016 #62
again, these aren't "my graphs and charts" -- they asked thousands of people GreatGazoo Apr 2016 #70
In this instance it's better to seek out election results brush Apr 2016 #72
we are all entitled to our own opinions but not our own facts GreatGazoo Apr 2016 #76
Another chart? Do you have the ones showing why Clinton leads in both delegates and votes? brush Apr 2016 #78
Nice try but those aren't about votes griffi94 Apr 2016 #88
Flash rock Apr 2016 #21
For those who don't know the origins of "flash in the pan," MineralMan Apr 2016 #22
Yes. There is at least one every presidential election. nt hack89 Apr 2016 #24
You're conflating a movement with its most visible leader. Orsino Apr 2016 #25
+ a gazillion. nt Live and Learn Apr 2016 #27
And this will make people conclude nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #38
The movement began before Bernie and will continue to grow no matter what. The 3rd way will end Live and Learn Apr 2016 #26
Bernie is Bernie. It's up to The Revolution whether or not LuvLoogie Apr 2016 #28
Wrong. The revolution started in Berkely in 2009 nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #37
The Revolution capitalized, Nadine, is the anybody but Hillary left. LuvLoogie Apr 2016 #46
You are thinking so narrowly it is actually adorable nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #49
Pls explain. The occupy movement started in New York in 2011. What's your Berkeley reference . . . brush Apr 2016 #57
Students revolted over high fees and took to the streets nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #61
will the"revolutionaries" turn out for the midterms? redstateblues Apr 2016 #29
If people do not believe elections are the way to effect change nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #36
Yes, he will slink into nothingness after this primary like he did for 30 years of his career uponit7771 Apr 2016 #30
Bernie is an Independent, not a Party person... brooklynite Apr 2016 #31
he mostly cares about getting elected bigtree Apr 2016 #33
Nope, he is just one more marker nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #34
Sanders message surrounding economic security only works with people who have just that uponit7771 Apr 2016 #41
My dear this is not about Sanders nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #42
It is about Sanders seeing he's the one blaming the poor already for not voting for him... uponit7771 Apr 2016 #43
The lack of vision is entertaining as hell nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #45
if he continues building within the Democratic party, he'll be very influential indeed 0rganism Apr 2016 #40
Read into tje 1824 paradigm shift nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #44
single-party dominance won't last forever, but as you say, some good will come of it 0rganism Apr 2016 #66
I've been a supporter for 20 years. lumberjack_jeff Apr 2016 #47
Exactly nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #50
Revolution is a campaign theme. Like Hope and Change. NCTraveler Apr 2016 #48
Yes he is, like... pizza... and beer... and air yourpaljoey Apr 2016 #51
Every four to eight years, there seems to new way to fund raise. kentuck Apr 2016 #67
He has too much substance and a consistent history to back it up to be a flash in the pan. Unicorn Apr 2016 #73
I expect Occupy will start a new party. I'm hoping for that. Unicorn Apr 2016 #74
Shock & Awe comin at ya DWS DJ13 Apr 2016 #81
I think he is the leading edge of the next wave of politics gollygee Apr 2016 #91

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
1. Not a flash in the pan by any means.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:12 AM
Apr 2016

He is a good politician, and a great leader in VT.

I don't think we see a new party come from this but there is a political schism and it cannot be ignored forever.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
55. Agree. Bernie is a manifestation of a larger sea change
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:20 PM
Apr 2016

in the electorate. For decades during an era of conservative dominance too many people sat quietly while our laws and systems were shifted farther and farther right. We finally became angry and alarmed in sufficient numbers to take action in various ways. Among those actions are support for both Obama in 2008 and Sanders and HRC now, which are all evidence of increasing energy and support for Democratic solutions to Republican problems.

 

silvershadow

(10,336 posts)
79. It will be the Progressive Wing that now cannot be ignored...if he's not the nominee, which
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 05:06 PM
Apr 2016

remains to be seen.

Sky Masterson

(5,240 posts)
2. If Bernie loses
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:17 AM
Apr 2016

I would bet he either forwards the cash to the Dem Party or does something charitable with it.
Looking at his tax forms you can tell that he isn't in it for the money. He isn't trying to strike it rich.
The man has integrity.
The Movement will probably split. Some will fade away learning the system is rigged probably never to vote again.
Some will become Independent, and some will remain Dems.
Sanders will probably stay in the Senate but I doubt he will be able to forget the Mass Backstabbing by his fellow critters.
In a way, I don't think he cares. This is a man who has always been on the right side for the little guy.
Anyhoo..Off to work now.

Bad Dog

(2,025 posts)
3. Only time will tell.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:19 AM
Apr 2016

It could go either way, if Sanders starts a new party it will help the Republicans, and if Trump starts his own Tea Party it will help the Democrats. God only knows what will happen if they both do it.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
4. He's a flash in the pan
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:35 AM
Apr 2016

He could build a new party but that would take years and in the end
it would still be a 3rd party no different than any of the already existing 3rd parties
like the Green Party or the Libertarian Party.

After this election Bernie will go back to the senate.
He'll probably go back to being an Indie

He'll do the same thing he's done the last 20 years. Not much.

The movement will continue among some of his supporters but it's never going
be very significant.

This time next year the majority of his crowds will have moved on to
something else.

floppyboo

(2,461 posts)
8. This revolution is NOT going away!
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:00 AM
Apr 2016

In the last 9 months, the Sanders campaign has changed the hopes and expectations of the Democratic Party - look at the effect he has had on Clinton's policy already. There are 6 months left to go before the GE. He will continue to push the party to regain the integrity it once had before President Clinton steered it away from its core.

40% of his campaign time has yet to come.

He's going to re-claim, re-invigorate and re-align the Democratic Party.

3rd party? If this revolution re-structures money in politics, 3rd parties may not seem so 'fringy' anymore.

So don't go putting this revolution out to pasture.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
35. It won't go away so much as it'll just eveaporate
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:22 PM
Apr 2016

When it's not a presidental election year.

When the young memebrs of Team Bernie start taking on more
long term real life responsibilities

When there aren't huge deciisive wins and incrementalism is required

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts)
58. Is that you Chris Matthews?
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:26 PM
Apr 2016

This isn't going away, it's been building momentum since Occupy. That never truly went away, they just kinda went into other orgs and also went low-key.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
68. I Love your ability to deflect with what you think are insults
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 02:28 PM
Apr 2016

It won't "Go Away' there's nothing to go and no place to take it.

The fearless keyboard warriors for Bernie will eventually go on to whatever
pet issue they have.
For some it will be enviro for others social justice issues.

Even more of them will just join mainstream real life.

In 10 years time most of the revolutionaries will be dealing with
a whole different set of more immediate real world issues.

Like jobs, spouses, mortgages, kids, soccer practice, and what minivan to buy
This isn't a movement it's a loud angry block party.

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts)
84. I won't and neither will others.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 05:51 PM
Apr 2016

If you think they'll sell out like so many Baby Boomers and become self-hating materialistic Yuppies who constantly go out and buy trying to fill the hole Consumerism doesn't address you're mistaken. Besides, when it does work, that have to MAKE enough for this to be possible.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
85. You may not and others may not
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:03 PM
Apr 2016

But the majority will.

In a few years they'll be locked into regualr life. They may still pay lip service
but they'll live and work and shop and vote in the mainstream.

Just like every generation of young people have always done.

See most people get busy living and tending their own personal fires.
They don't have the option of staying in a state of perpetual anger for years at a time.

They change as they age and they change radically from college graduation to 30.

They re-prioritize.

Bernie and his revolution aren't even real.
They're just a wish.

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts)
90. You forget the Great Depression.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:46 PM
Apr 2016

It crashed shit enough everyone woke up and got angry and one is coming if we're stupid enough to continue economy policy as it currently stands.
We're already starting to get to that magic percentage point of revolution in society which is like 3.7 or 4.9%, can't remember which but one of those or close to it is the magic number. It's under 5% I can say. That's ALL it takes in society to upset the apple cart.

You mean they'll be wage slaves who are enriching a bunch of rentiers who create nothing, who are complete parasites? We're not creating anything truly as a society, we're running on fumes ffs. Sure I try to buy things made here but I really have to go out of my way to make sure it happens and for some sectors it's damn near impossible.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
92. No I'm not forgetting anything
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:51 PM
Apr 2016

As long as the TV keeps coming on and the newest phones wire you in.
There's not going to be any revolution.

Hell people don't have the attention span for it.
Most of them won't even vote.

Bernies revolution is a wish.
This time next year it won't even be a blip.

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
10. Nice sour grapes, not supported by anything measurable ...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:15 AM
Apr 2016

Unless you hold your eyes, cover your ears and shout, "lah-lah-lah!"

All those persons outside that very small range of denial know better, but thanks for playing.

floppyboo

(2,461 posts)
13. Do you want Clinton to win? You are going to have to start listening. nt
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:21 AM
Apr 2016

Edit - oops - is there a way to change which post you are replying to? I keep messing this up.


MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
15. I'd trying some of that listening myself, if I were you... NOBODY wants her to win!
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:36 AM
Apr 2016

How do I know this? I've been out campaigning and talking to people. I've seen live events. I've called countless people and had face-to-face with Dem's Independents and Republicans.

You know, if your eyes lie to you when you see these huge crowds that show up with a few days notice for Sanders when compared to HRC's events, most of which are closed for high income individuals to donate big money, you'll soon understand that number of people and dollars from average Sanders donors are out-spending HRC... even with all that corporate media forming a wall as big as the one Drumpf wants between us and Mexico.

The great majority of EVERY conversation I've had across the spectrum DO NOT WANT HER.... DO NOT TRUST HER, and they do this not in a flippent way. Many may have wanted her at one time, as I had, but NO ONE BELIEVES SHE IS HONEST.

So, no... I do NOT want Clinton to win, which is not a surprise... The real news, at least to you here is that the majority of the voters going into the general election (after all the caucuses, closed primaries, and voter surpression within each state) DON'T WANT HER, EITHER.

I've BEEN listening, I've BEEN walking... I've BEEN politically active... and I've BEEN getting out the vote to hear this comments as recently in a swing state as this past week.

You're going to have to start listening and taking the blinders off. Crony capitalism won't pull off a win for her, but the people will for Sanders. Don't like my commentary? Then look at the polls that update how Sanders does far better in beating every single Republican. Look at the number of issues Sanders continues to address frankly and honestly.

There's no time like the present for you to start listening.

Maru Kitteh

(28,343 posts)
71. The millions more people who have voted for her, do.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:04 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie lost because not as many people voted for him.

Maru Kitteh

(28,343 posts)
77. Even if the patently unrealistic fantasy of every one of those ballots being for Sanders were
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:59 PM
Apr 2016

entertained, Hillary remains ahead by millions of votes. Of course they would not be though, and it would seem almost child-like to believe that they were.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
32. Let's check back in 3 years or 5 years
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:10 PM
Apr 2016

Sorry but so far this isnt a movement. It's more like a block party.

A movement was the fight for civil rights.
Another movement was the fight for LGBT rights.

Both of those movements took decades and they're still having to fight.

The biggest demographic in the Bernie movement is young voters
but they're not going to stay young.
in 5-10 years most of their issues & priorities will have changed
to jobs, families, mortgages and all that.

Remember the same people at the 68 Chicago convention are the ones
who later voted in Reagan 12 years later and 16 years later gave him
a 49 state landslide.

brush

(53,918 posts)
53. I agree with everything but the Chicago convention paragraph
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:14 PM
Apr 2016

The Chicago convention attendees/rioters were and are a part of the dichotomy of the boomer generation.

The other half were the young repugs on college campuses of the time. They were the ones who voted in Reagan.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
56. I broad brushed that a little bit
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:21 PM
Apr 2016

My point was more that when the liberal youth of the late 60s
got to the 80s a lot of their priorities had changed.
Happily some didn't change. They did stay pretty good on womens rights and civil rights
altho I would also say that's because the bedrock of those movements kept up and in fact are still
keeping up that fight.

Blanks

(4,835 posts)
63. You're right...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:34 PM
Apr 2016

Remember Ross Perot? He got 15% of the vote.

Bernie has said he won't run as s third party candidate because it'll help the republicans. He wouldn't draw 15% on the national scene.

That was Perot firing up the Reform party. Nobody talks about that at all (that I've seen) so I'm gonna go with 'Flash in the pan'.

Svafa

(594 posts)
80. These issues started with the Occupy Movement.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 05:21 PM
Apr 2016

Sanders gave them a distinct platform and leader. They are not going away, regardless of what happens in July.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
82. The issues won't go away
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 05:47 PM
Apr 2016

But the movement won't ever draw enough support to do much more than
make some noise every few years.

The occupy movement hasn't been very visible to mainstream Americans in last several years.

Sanders didn't give them a platform so much as he gave them a bullhorn
and after tomorrow his flame will fade at an excellerated rate of speed.

Huge rallies of angry unorganized unfocused people aren't really a movement.

Womens rights
Civil rights
LGBT rights

Those are movements. Those movements have unceasingly pushed that boulder for decades.
They've endured lots of setbacks and remained focused on reaching their goals. One step at a time.

Bernies revolution is a lot of pissed off people who aren't even all pissed off at the same thing.
They want everything right now. Or else.

As Skakespeare would say.

"It's a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing."



Svafa

(594 posts)
83. You really don't believe that the Occupy Movement and Sanders
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 05:51 PM
Apr 2016

have had an impact? They already have had a serious impact on things, and I think this movement is really just getting started. Would we have ever been talking about the power of the 1% and the stranglehold that corporations and monied interests have on our government if not for the Occupy Movement and Sanders candidacy? You are thinking on too short-term a scale. Revolutions take time. But it is happening.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
86. Not much of an impact
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:19 PM
Apr 2016

They're noisy, they're really angry.

But when Bernie goes back to Vermont and the rallies stop
the revolution will peter out.

As i've stated in other posts.
The majority of Team Bernie will get sucked into real life.
Jobs, kids, spouses, house payments, minivans.

It's always been that way.
If you were right it would have changed already.

The number of people in this country who Vote has been and still is abysmal.
The people who care enough to actually vote is a minority of Americans.
Team Bernie is a really small minority within that minority.

BeyondGeography

(39,384 posts)
5. The simplest route to an answer on that for me is money
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:39 AM
Apr 2016

He's not a flash in the pan because he has shown a prodigious ability to raise money. Others will try to follow his example if only for that reason alone. Of course, his authenticity will be difficult to match, as will another source of the funding: the desperation that many of his contributors felt to find an alternative to HRC. But more Berniecrats like Zephyr Teachout (who was one before the term existed) in my home state will be encouraged to follow his example, or, as in her case, continue following their own anti-corruption instincts. Lots more, IMO.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
6. I think the party has moved and is moving left
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:44 AM
Apr 2016

I would expect the next nominee to sound more like Bernie than Hillary

I expect Bernie to remain in the Senate and use his voice to rally support on certian issues and to support certian candidates.

I'm not certian what can legally be done with the campaign money. He could give it away to everyone that worked on his campaign if he wanted to.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
9. yep - another flash in the pan - they come and go
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:06 AM
Apr 2016

agree with above poster - he will be back in the Senate enjoying his independence.

A "revolution" built on keyboard warriors is not long for the world.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
14. yep...we can happily return to campaigns fully financed by Citizens United money...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:35 AM
Apr 2016

Last edited Mon Apr 25, 2016, 08:05 AM - Edit history (1)

No more of these time consuming small donations!

Study: US is an oligarchy, not a democracy
Multivariate analysis indicates that economic elites and organised groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on US government policy, while average citizens and mass-based interest groups have little or no independent influence.
In English: the wealthy few move policy, while the average American has little power.

http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
18. "Flash in the pan" is what was said...after a flash everything goes dark (money)
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 08:05 AM
Apr 2016

The fact is that Hillary says something vague about a Constitutional amendment knowing full well that it will be decades away if ever. Meanwhile she is using the system as skilfully as any other politician in any party. And now we know that the "down ticket" funding was mainly a scheme to fund her PAC (no coordination there of course!). That is the essence of what Citizens United and our corrupt (but legal!) system is all about.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
39. A revolution built of youthful anger
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:31 PM
Apr 2016

isn't long for this world either.

The anger fades or finds a new target.

Those youths keep aging and in 5 years are so they have the same real life issues as everybody else.
Jobs, kids, bills, families.

As I like to point out, 12 years after the 68 Chicago convention Reagan won in a landslide.

Real movements last decades and don't pack it in when they suffer setbacks
or when they win small instead of large victories.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
59. the shame of it all, imo, is that small victories are not celebrated
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:28 PM
Apr 2016

it took 20 years of small legislative wins to get the SS Act passed in 1935. It was not a large, overnight victory.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
87. Right. Team Bernie wants everything right now.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:34 PM
Apr 2016

They're angry and loud.
But they're also unorganized and unfocused.
Look at the fiasco in NY because they didn't re-register or register as Democrats and so they
couldn't vote in the primary.

Any real successful movemnet took decades and in fact are still fighting to hold on to
they progress they've made.

Team Bernies positions seems to be "We're angry. Give us everything we want and right now or we'll
continue to show our anger by being really loud"

Labor movement took years and is still having to fight same with civil rights, womens rights
LGBT rights.

Those groups organized and stayed focused and took every small victory that they could until the tipping point
was reached and then they started having bigger victories.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
89. what's comical about NY is that they failed in registering, but want to be considered the victim
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 08:43 PM
Apr 2016

they need to get over that thinking and face the realities you point out in your last paragraph.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
16. Good thing that we won't be able to disrupt the powers that be....
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 07:37 AM
Apr 2016


Study: US is an oligarchy, not a democracy
Multivariate analysis indicates that economic elites and organised groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on US government policy, while average citizens and mass-based interest groups have little or no independent influence.
In English: the wealthy few move policy, while the average American has little power.

http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
20. I have no personal opinion so much as a personal wish...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 08:22 AM
Apr 2016

I wish Bernie would start a new democracy "foundation" of some sort, that could raise money and help progressive candidates that wish to run for office.

I do not think he is going to win this election. The system has become so rigged that "independents" are no longer considerate legitimate Americans and are prohibited from voting in a lot of places. Unless you are a Democratic or Republican American, you do not qualify to vote.

Perhaps this should be Bernie's base? I would like to see his message carried on in some manner or other. Bernie is not getting any younger. He must have young people volunteer to carry the torch.

mikehiggins

(5,614 posts)
65. Now, THAT is a good idea...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:36 PM
Apr 2016

Set up a progressive foundation to work for the election of progressive candidates over the long term.

GreatGazoo

(3,937 posts)
19. A more urgent question is what happens to the Democratic party if Hillary is the nominee?
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 08:11 AM
Apr 2016

She is steadily losing voters as the race goes on. Trump will move to the middle and pick up some left-leaning positions. Then what?

If she manages to beat him, how many House and Senate seats will we lose in 2018?

"Awful legacy":

Forty years of Democratic dominance in the U.S. Congress came to a stunning end on November 8, when the Republican Party rode a tidal wave of anti-incumbent sentiment to victory in the midterm elections. The Republicans took control of both houses of Congress for the first time since 1954 as voters delivered a strong rejection of Pres. Bill Clinton and his policies. The Republicans picked up a net gain of 53 seats in the House of Representatives and 7 in the Senate. The last time such carnage had been seen in Congress was in 1958, when Republicans lost 48 House and 13 Senate seats. Moreover, the Republicans won a majority of congressional seats from the South for the first time since the Civil War.



http://www.britannica.com/topic/1994-midterm-Elections-616578

brush

(53,918 posts)
54. "She is steadily losing voters as the race goes on." Your words. What world are you in?
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:19 PM
Apr 2016

She just won a near-landslide in NY and has huge leads in the next two big states, PA and MD, who vote tommorrow.

How can you possibly state such misinformation?

GreatGazoo

(3,937 posts)
60. I'm in the world where we do scientific polls. Aren't you?
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:28 PM
Apr 2016

Last edited Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:51 PM - Edit history (1)

Clinton's Image Among Democrats at New Low (4/14/16)

Clinton's image has undergone ups and downs over the course of the campaign season, just as it has over her entire 25-year career in the national spotlight. Overall, however, April so far has not been kind to the former secretary of state. Her net favorable rating has descended steadily to her current low point -- in the midst of a crucial stage of the primary season, which will help determine whether she'll emerge the clear winner over Bernie Sanders before the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia this July.



Thanks for asking!

ETA Link: http://www.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/190787/clinton-image-among-democrats-new-low.aspx

brush

(53,918 posts)
62. Yeah, yeah. Check in tomorrow.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:32 PM
Apr 2016

You know there are several state primaries tomorrow, right?

Sanders will lose big tomorrow as well.

Let's see how relevant your charts and graphs are then.

GreatGazoo

(3,937 posts)
70. again, these aren't "my graphs and charts" -- they asked thousands of people
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:01 PM
Apr 2016

the same questions as thousands of others periodically. Then they aggregate the data and graph it over time. It is a fascinating process which is done frequently here on the world of planet Earth. People who look for facts seek out such things.


GreatGazoo

(3,937 posts)
76. we are all entitled to our own opinions but not our own facts
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:58 PM
Apr 2016

It may make you uncomfortable to see Hillary's declining poll numbers but that doesn't make them any less real.

As for election results....



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jonathan-greenberg/polldefying-pattern-predi_b_9434118.html

brush

(53,918 posts)
78. Another chart? Do you have the ones showing why Clinton leads in both delegates and votes?
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 05:05 PM
Apr 2016

Election results are what count.

Talk to us tomorrow after Sanders' big losses and tell what your charts predicted.

griffi94

(3,733 posts)
88. Nice try but those aren't about votes
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 06:38 PM
Apr 2016

Those are favorability ratings.

Hillary is leading all candidates in both parties in number of votes.
So people may tell Gallup that they have an unfavorable opinion of her
but they're voting for her anyway.

MineralMan

(146,336 posts)
22. For those who don't know the origins of "flash in the pan,"
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 09:52 AM
Apr 2016

It's an old term from the days of flintlock firearms. The "pan" was a small rimmed shelf next to the barrel, where a small amount of gunpowder was placed. When the flint made a spark as the trigger was pulled, it ignited that powder which, in turn, ignited the powder in the breech of the barrel, through a tiny hole, to fire the weapon.

A "flash in the pan" is a misfire. The powder in the pan ignites, but does not ignite the powder in the breech of the barrel. Instead of firing, there was only a "flash in the pan."



It was a fairly frequent thing, often due a clogged passage into the breech. In any case, a "flash in the pan" made some smoke, but the firearm didn't send a bullet toward the target. It's a pretty apt description of Bernie Sanders' campaign, I think.

I know that you know that, kentuck, but I'm not sure everyone does.

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
25. You're conflating a movement with its most visible leader.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:01 AM
Apr 2016

I see Sanders as an effect, not a cause.

His campaign isn't a cult of personality; he simply recognized a growing hunger for the sort of progress he's long advocated. I suppose it's possible that a Sanders loss could demoralize his supporters in some major way, but the issues on which he is campaigning are only becoming more urgent. It seems much more likely that the movement will continue to grow, exerting more pressure on Establishment figures until we get the change we desperately need.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
38. And this will make people conclude
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:29 PM
Apr 2016

The ballot is not the way. There is a danger in that...but I have accepted it

Live and Learn

(12,769 posts)
26. The movement began before Bernie and will continue to grow no matter what. The 3rd way will end
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:02 AM
Apr 2016

one way or another.

LuvLoogie

(7,040 posts)
28. Bernie is Bernie. It's up to The Revolution whether or not
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:17 AM
Apr 2016

It will join in Democratic Solidarity for the long run. Whether Bernie remains a Democrat is up in the air. Warren is a Democrat. That's were The Revolution started.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
37. Wrong. The revolution started in Berkely in 2009
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:27 PM
Apr 2016

And the streets of occupy.

Jesus this lack of self awareness should be stunning, but is not anymore

LuvLoogie

(7,040 posts)
46. The Revolution capitalized, Nadine, is the anybody but Hillary left.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:54 PM
Apr 2016

The unaffiliated, uncommitted, all-or-nothing Left. Occupy was a protest. There is no committed slate of nuts and bolts operatives.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
49. You are thinking so narrowly it is actually adorable
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:56 PM
Apr 2016

Truly adorable. Continue to discount this. It will be best. Thst way you can pretend to be surprised. You should read Kennedy's inaugural. It currently applies to the United States.

Myself. This will be fun, like a root canal, but will be fun.

brush

(53,918 posts)
57. Pls explain. The occupy movement started in New York in 2011. What's your Berkeley reference . . .
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:24 PM
Apr 2016

in 2009 about?

And btw, Berkeley is spelled with two "e"s.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
61. Students revolted over high fees and took to the streets
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:30 PM
Apr 2016

that an Occupy are markers of where we are

OWS was independent of Berkeley... which had a lot to do with the full set of protests in both the UC and State systems... they are part organically of other student protests.

Some of the OWS folks are veterans of those earlier protests.

We are building towards something not unprecedented, just that not in most basic textbooks.

And it is a good question on how "peaceful" this will remain over the next decade or two,. But as long as the MC and working classes continue to be studiously ignored the pressure will build... and we have been here before.

The added bonus is climate change right now, which is unprecedented.

But as of now, after HRC got endorsed by Charles Koch, as much as she will refuse it, the process is complete. Enjoy your business friendly, chamber of commerce conservative party. I was at least hoping the fiction would go on for another cycle.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
36. If people do not believe elections are the way to effect change
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:26 PM
Apr 2016

Why the hell should they vote? This is the exact conclusion people are reaching.

There are two problems with that.

1.- If peaceful revolutions, that is what elections are, are not allowed, what is your other choice? Careful, people have less and less to lose

2.- The government loses legitimacy.

But you keep chuckling about this ok

brooklynite

(94,757 posts)
31. Bernie is an Independent, not a Party person...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:56 AM
Apr 2016

Nothing in his background suggests he wants to create a formal third Party.

bigtree

(86,006 posts)
33. he mostly cares about getting elected
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:14 PM
Apr 2016

...to continue his 'revolution' he'll need to accomplish what he could not in this campaign; to generate support among his peers to actually transform his agenda from agitation to action.

He'll also need to learn to work with President Clinton as a leader and not as an adversary.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
34. Nope, he is just one more marker
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:20 PM
Apr 2016

The elites are not listening. But Bernie (and trump) are just one more signpost thst has been ongoing now for years. They just get more intense every time. And if the peaceful change is not allowed, people have less and less to lose.

For those idiots who don't remember history, or better yet never learned it, 1776 was the last step of a multigenerational process. That is the American example. There are others around the world.

So no, it is not a flash in the pan. It might be however, the point people conclude elections are so corrupt that effective change will not come through the ballot. (And that goes for both parties.)

uponit7771

(90,367 posts)
41. Sanders message surrounding economic security only works with people who have just that
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:36 PM
Apr 2016

... it doesn't work with the poor cause they're already economically insecure.

We'll see if Sanders revolution isn't just a dogmatic bunch of talk, it matters what he does after the election if he's not the nom

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
42. My dear this is not about Sanders
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:40 PM
Apr 2016

But you will learn...sooner or later.

And conservadems who stopped this change peacefully will learn as well. Climate change will accelerate the process, and this is not an American phenomena, but rather global.

History will get rather bumpy over the next decades.

And do enjoy the new party of business and Wall Street, the Democrats

uponit7771

(90,367 posts)
43. It is about Sanders seeing he's the one blaming the poor already for not voting for him...
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:45 PM
Apr 2016

... if its not about Sanders then it'll last way past the general into a congress that'll get some progressive shit done.

Right now I hear and see a bunch of CamPlaingers (not my word) ... people who complaign a lot and do very little in the way of getting people elected in to office.


Sanders voted for the CFMA, legisilation that had a far greater effect on the 08 crash than Steagal could have seeing GS didn't affect pre crash IBs.

I don't see Sanders keeping Wall Street influence out of his leadership seeing he's voted for its influence in the past

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
45. The lack of vision is entertaining as hell
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:52 PM
Apr 2016

But do enjoy being a member of a conservative business friendly party. That is the Democratic Party. Conservadems won. Enjoy your victory. History will move on, and people will continue to demand change. Kennedy comes to mind. Those who prevent peaceful revolutions, ensure the violent kind. This started well before this cycle or Sanders.

So do enjoy. You are now part of a Conservative party. Proof in the pudding. When the Koch brothers like your standard bearer, the realignment is complete, even if she "rejects" it, this will take a little time, but people will, notice the completeness of the process. Don't worry the FDR former Dems" will be replaced by the chamber of commerce types.

So enjoy your new party.

Myself I will chuckle. The abject failure of the political system to respond to the middle class is what oligarchies are. Well, oligarchies do come to an end sooner or later.

Oh and your lack of understanding of basic social science data is rather conservative in nature as well.

0rganism

(23,974 posts)
40. if he continues building within the Democratic party, he'll be very influential indeed
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:34 PM
Apr 2016

he's already had a significant impact, even assuming he doesn't get the nomination.

the economic policies of the new centrist Democratic party are very much in play; it'll be decided by resolution to the tension between SBS's populism and the vagrant banksters from the Republican party who will be looking for a place in the new Democratic party. SBS can be hugely influential to the way things proceed, but he'll need to do it within the new Democratic party.

if he goes off on his own and tries to energize the Greens or the Socialist Workers Party, he'll only marginalize his own positions. the currents of the mainstream will be too strong for a small party to flourish, as the racist holdouts in the party formerly known as Republican are about to discover.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
44. Read into tje 1824 paradigm shift
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:45 PM
Apr 2016

We did have a single party for a while and it was not good for the country. Though some positives did come out.

0rganism

(23,974 posts)
66. single-party dominance won't last forever, but as you say, some good will come of it
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 01:49 PM
Apr 2016

especially for social policy. women, ethnic, religious, racial, and sexual minorities, all are positioned to see significant benefits.

eventually, a strong rival will emerge, but it will take at least a decade.

 

lumberjack_jeff

(33,224 posts)
47. I've been a supporter for 20 years.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:55 PM
Apr 2016

The fact that he's gotten this far suggests that there are a great many more of us than I had ever dreamed.

What does the future hold for Bernie? I think the bigger point is what it holds for his supporters.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
48. Revolution is a campaign theme. Like Hope and Change.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:56 PM
Apr 2016

It is simply a theme to sell to certain groups. Just like most all campaign themes.

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
67. Every four to eight years, there seems to new way to fund raise.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 02:18 PM
Apr 2016

Obama did it with the Internet, with discussion groups like DU and others, and raised record amounts of money.

Bernie has done it with Facebook. He is all over the somewhat-new media. He also has raised record amounts of money. He actually out-raised Hillary the last two months.

What will it be the next time around?

 

Unicorn

(424 posts)
73. He has too much substance and a consistent history to back it up to be a flash in the pan.
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 04:22 PM
Apr 2016

Yes, he is building a movement. He needs to direct us millions following him to the next party and not the Democratic Party if he doesn't get the Nom. If he says go Democrat and support Hillary he will get a thanks but no thanks from the enlightened masses who follow him.

gollygee

(22,336 posts)
91. I think he is the leading edge of the next wave of politics
Mon Apr 25, 2016, 10:50 PM
Apr 2016

Millenials are very progressive, and Bernie is the first of what I think will become normal. We'll see more and more very progressive candidates, and they'll do better and better as time goes on.

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