2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton now leads the polls in the next six democratic primary states
Now that Hillary Clinton is coming off a blowout win over Bernie Sanders in the New York primary which expanded her lead to nearly three million votes, casual observers have wondered how near or far away she is from sealing the deal on the democratic nomination. After all, Sanders did win a string of small states in a row in late March and early April. Those didnt meaningfully cut into Clintons lead, but the recent see-saw has been enough to cause some to ask what will happen in the next several states. As it turns out, Hillary has leads in at least the next six of them.
Most observers are aware that Pennsylvania is the next big dot on the primary calendar on April 26th. The final average of polls says that Hillary Clinton is ahead by fifteen points in the state. Thus far in this democratic primary race, the closed primary format used in Pennsylvania has resulted in accurate polling data. But four other states also vote on April 26th.
Maryland has been leaning toward Clinton for some time, and the final average of polls has her winning the state by twenty-two points. There was no polling in the smaller state of Connecticut for some time, but now two late arriving polls have pegged it as an average 7.5 point lead for Hillary.
Delaware had been a black hole for 2016 polling, but one poll finally chimed in last week and projected a seven point win for Hillary. Rhode Islands only available data had been a two month old poll that said Hillary was ahead by nine points, but that same poll was finally updated today and it turns out Hillary is still ahead by nine points. That means shes leading in all five of this Tuesdays states.
Read more: http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/hillary-clinton-now-leads-the-polls-in-the-next-six-states/24576/
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)auntpurl
(4,311 posts)And I think Connecticut will be close. PA, MD, and DE should be solid wins for Hillary.
Either way, she is going to considerably increase her delegate lead and it may be the death knell for Bernie's campaign tomorrow.
If he wants to stay in til California so everyone gets to vote, that's fine. But he might realise he has no realistic path to the nomination and do the more noble thing by dropping out earlier and allowing Hillary to conserve her resources, energy, and money for the GE and beating Trump (the REAL enemy here).