2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary fans, what day is this going to be "over"? I hear it daily yet it is still going on....
Every damn primary vote I hear it.
Yet it is not over!
Carry on!
MFM008
(19,803 posts)Unless Sanders wants a serious roll in setting the agenda at the convention, then its not.
Response to Logical (Original post)
Post removed
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Renew Deal
(81,851 posts)Effectively over.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/27/opinion/the-cult-of-sore-losers.html
Logical
(22,457 posts)Renew Deal
(81,851 posts)Have fun in Rhode Island and Oregon
Logical
(22,457 posts)Renew Deal
(81,851 posts)Have fun in Oregon. That's if the Supers don't put her at 2348 by then. She's only 226 delegates away. Bernie needs another 973.
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)She is winning and has an insurmountable lead in delegates; Bernie simply can not accept his loss. When it became apparent that Hillary had lost in 08, she conceded way before the convention and worked hard to elect Pres. Obama. I have no idea why Bernie is not preparing to do the same...the idea of going to the convention is foolish. He will lose on the first ballot and never be forgiven by Democrats who control what he gets or does not get in the Senate.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)And she has a HUGE delegate lead. She took control on Super Tuesday and never gave it up.
BootinUp
(47,135 posts)If it is when Hillary will claim victory, that will be when her combined pledged and unpledged count reaches 2384. Which will definitely be by early June.
If the question is when will Bernie officially concede, you are asking the wrong people.
RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)They are thinking hard about dropping her and going Bernie.
BootinUp
(47,135 posts)RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)Good for you.
Most supers made up their minds before the 1st vote was cast.
Before Bernie was even in the race many backed H. That's not fair, or democratic or wise. Many of the supers are reconsidering their previous commitments. We should help them see the wisdom in voting for Bernie. That is all.
Renew Deal
(81,851 posts)moriah
(8,311 posts)... and get a majority of pledged delegates by the final primaries, that the Superdelegates will follow the pledged delegates.
Going forward, though, I expect Hillary will be changing her focus, as she already has, to Trump and the GOP. Bernie will likely back off of some of the more personal criticism but stay on message about the things he feels must be part of the platform, which will likely increase his results by itself (everyone loves both a positive campaign and the encouragement that every vote, every voice matters).
BreakfastClub
(765 posts)For one, Hillary has millions of more votes than Bernie. Secondly, she is far ahead in pledged delegates. Third, she is a democrat who has strong ties to the party. Bernie doesn't and wasn't even a democrat until recently. It's a joke to think they would switch to him, considering these facts. They would be fools to do so, and I doubt you'll find many supers who are fools. That is all.
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)about the 08 race, but Obama won. Bernie simply did not get enough people to vote for him.
Renew Deal
(81,851 posts)oasis
(49,365 posts)Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)Good enough for me.
I think Bernie is a whole lot smarter than many here think. I get some here give him no credit, but he has shown, time and again, to be the smartest one running.
Bernie thinks many supers will get smart. Who am I to argue?
COLGATE4
(14,732 posts)doesn't think for himself, but rather relies on hero worship - "if Bernie thinks... it's good enough for me".
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)They will not vote to overturn the will of the voters.
COLGATE4
(14,732 posts)msongs
(67,381 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)needs more votes and more delegates.
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)The raw-vote margin isnt an across-the-board reflection of what has played out. Caucus states dont turn out individual voters as is the case with primary states. This has to do with the individual states, their funding, and their more recent history of turnout numbers from one election cycle to the next. I suggest focusing on the percentage-points margin nationally. I havent looked but I suspect Clinton at 52/53 percent over Sanders at 46/47 percenta percentage-points margin of Clinton +05/+06/+07. (My guess.)
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)moriah
(8,311 posts)Whenever that is.
As for the race, the last time we really had a primary, by now we had far more pledged delegates already voted.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/07/obama-memo-to-superdelegates/?_r=0
That's the letter Obama sent to Superdelegates seven years, 11 months, and 3 or so weeks ago.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/05/clinton_letter_to_superdelegat.html
This was Hillary's letter to them, before the final primaries.
It was over and conceded in June (edit: after the final primaries). So I expect nothing different this time, particularly given we have many more people who have yet to vote than we had this time in 2008.
stone space
(6,498 posts)Except that I'd add the fact that the "popular vote" is simply made up for some states, like Iowa, where no such number even gets released, making any claimed statistic for the "Iowa popular vote" a fabricated number.
Just as the Presidential election in November will be decided by the electoral college, not popular vote, the Democratic nomination is decided by delegates.
If we believed the popular vote was somehow the key measurement, we would have campaigned much more intensively in our home state of Illinois and in all the other populous states, in the pursuit of larger raw vote totals. But it is not the key measurement.
We played by the rules, set by you, the D.N.C. members, and campaigned as hard as we could, in as many places as we could, to acquire delegates. Essentially, the popular vote is not much better as a metric than basing the nominee on which candidate raised more money, has more volunteers, contacted more voters, or is taller.
moriah
(8,311 posts)... of all states, and all dedicated supporters, to take full part in our Primary system.
Even if the math looks bad. I sincerely hope that turnout from Bernie supporters in these final primaries is NOT suppressed. Every Democrat candidate's message does mean something. Even Hillary's in 2008, that experience was an important attribute -- Obama listened to the voters who expressed that by voting Hillary, and chose an awesome VP as a result.
The Democratic Party will listen to the voices of those in the states yet to vote. Even if turnout for Bernie doesn't change the delegate math enough to give Bernie a lead in pledged delegates or make him the first Jewish President in history, it will show the Party how many support Bernie's message. And that's a great reason to get out and vote.
I know, however, that both our candidates care enough about our country to not let the White House fall into Republican hands. No matter what people say on an anonymous forum, no matter what a very few overzealous supporters do that both our candidates would never advocate.... they, at least, will act graciously towards each other no matter what the outcome is, and work together to keep the White House Blue.
And that does make me happy.
oldandhappy
(6,719 posts)SheilaT
(23,156 posts)she graciously conceded long before the convention in 2008.
Wait, do I have that wrong?
BlueStateLib
(937 posts)RandySF
(58,655 posts)There may even be others who think the 2008 Olympics are not over. I can't control what anyone thinks, but the math speaks for itself. Yes, there are primaries to be held and votes to be cast, but then nomination is already decided.
Squinch
(50,932 posts)is no way forward...? Well, there's a word for that, too.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)air in a sea of conservativism.
moriah
(8,311 posts)... to overcome her campaign debt in 2008.
The Primary isn't over yet, and Bernie hss the right to campaign in the ststes left, and raise money for those campaign activities. And being such a strong advocate of campaign finance reform, if there is a surplus rather than a debt for him, I have faith he will follow the law and ensure it is put to keeping GOP candidates out of office.
I am a Hillary supporter, but I must be fair here.
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)done to pay off her millions in debt. What's the word for that? She was Sec of State and they were fundraising to pay off her campaign debts. She and Bill have about 100 million, but they took donations for that debt....I have a word for that.
Squinch
(50,932 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)its ended when hillary attains the nomination on the first vote at the convention
moriah
(8,311 posts)... if Bernie concedes for the sake of keeping the GOP out.
I have never had real problems with Bernie, only some of his more overzealous supporters. I believe he is a man of integrity and would do nothing to jeopardize a Democratic win in November. Letting everyone vote and continuing to advocate for the issues he has such passion for will not jeopardize that, particularly this year.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Doesn't mean it isn't over. He is just desperate. Because someone continues with something doesn't meant the end result hasn't been determined.
DrDan
(20,411 posts)(what a low gesture - not even showing up to thank workers as they are being fired)
randome
(34,845 posts)...Snowden will be welcomed home as a hero and Assange will release the banking files and Rove will be frogmarched to prison and...
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Everything is a satellite to some other thing.[/center][/font][hr]
COLGATE4
(14,732 posts)however, probably isn't going to get much sleep).
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)that we need Bernie to stay in through California...yeah I know...I want it over too. The reason is California has a unique primary system where all candidates regardless of party are put on the same ballot ...you could have six republicans or Democrats running...you could have any combination of greens,libertarians, and God knows who on the same ballot. The two top winners compete in the general. Here is the kicker...they can be of the same party...thus two Republicans could run for a US Senate seat. And the fear is if many more GOP types show up to vote for Trump...California will decide the nomination...it could lead to a huge win for them down ballot if the Democratic primary is not ongoing. God know we don't want that. This may be why party leaders and Clinton are not pushing for Bernie to drop out...whereas in 08, it was over for both parties before California and Clinton was pressured to drop out.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)pinebox
(5,761 posts)Bwahahahahahah!
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)You guys should throw a "Didn't Lose as Badly as Expected!" party.
vintx
(1,748 posts)who assumed she was a shoo-in work for it and at least, for a time, act like she wasn't for conservative policies* " party.
*TPP, fracking, limits on abortion, for-profit insurance only, private prisons, regime change, cluster bombs, etc etc etc etc
COLGATE4
(14,732 posts)Because there are no 'winners', only 'participants'.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)and other African-American civil rights leaders in the run-up to S.C.. It was a shameless pander, seen for what it was by everyone, and he has gotten smashed in the A-A vote ever since.
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)dishonest fashion. John Lewis is perfectly capable of speaking for himself, Tarc. He does not need Tarc to speak for him:
Posts hidden by Jury: 8
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=profile&uid=126519&sub=trans
vintx
(1,748 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)Jim Clyburn and other elder statesmen of the civil rights here. Sanders countered with a...d-list rapper. That set the ball rolling for loss after loss after loss for Sanders, on the strength of the PoC vote going against him.
Speaing of transparency, you're only 1 shy there, so...
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)OK, buddy.
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
Stuckinthebush
(10,842 posts)It was over then. It is really over now. All over but the Bernie concession
Response to Logical (Original post)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
OhZone
(3,212 posts)Feb 20th.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)thanks to the DNC it was over before it even started.
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)Its been over for awhile
Logical
(22,457 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)You're right-maybe what you're hearing are voices in your head