2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIf Bernie comes up 50 delegates short would supers switch how about 20- how about 10?
Bernie could narrow the pledged delegate lead to less than 100 when its all said and done.
Are supers supposed to ignore such a small delegate lead? Especially when we know most of those pledged delegates Hillary won came from Mississippi Alabama, and Texas.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)Since we're randomly selecting which areas of the country are important
Csainvestor
(388 posts)If a candidate has a tiny lead when its all said and done, supers don't have to follow the leader.
But would people feel cheated if supers switched to someone with fewer delegates, especially if we are talking about a lead of less than 100 delegates.
What threshold would people feel comfortable about. Or should supers follow even if the pledged delegate lead is in the single digits?
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)I personally don't see how you can make a legitimate case for overturning the will of the voters, outside of some extraordinary circumstance.
Think of it this way: what if the same thing we're done to Bernie? His supporters would be ready to burn down the DNC headquarters, and they'd be well within their rights.
WhiteTara
(29,728 posts)this math to work.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)He doesn't need to win 100% of anything for that to happen.
He will probably win almost every single contest that is left. Some wins will be landslides.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)She'll have the majority of pledged delegates. She'll be the winner.
MineralMan
(146,336 posts)In any case, all three suggestions are exceedingly unlikely.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)But he had more PDs (about 100 more, I think). That's why the SDs switched to him
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,716 posts)Let me preface by remarks by heeding or not heeding Nietzsche's admonition, "Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster..." and give you this:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1888617
Csainvestor
(388 posts)i do not think the supers have to follow the leader.
I don't think such a small lead dictates anything, especially since the primary process is so long. Votes in the winter vs votes in the summer what a crazy long process, and there is much more info voters need to digest.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)nomination. Today, HRC has 2217 and needs 166 to cinch nomination
Bernie has 1443 and needs 940
brooklynite
(94,757 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)DrDan
(20,411 posts)and why do you consider votes from some not equal to votes from others? Please explain.