Bernie and CA

[bkkyosemite]

http://bernie4president.net/index.php/en/223-bernie-sanders-projected-to-win-california-with-61-25-gaining-398-delegates

[Metric System]

1. Bernie winning CA by 61-25? Sounds legit.

[RichVRichV]

2. Something is off with their main claim.

The main page says he's projected to win with 61% of the vote, but it clearly shows he has to win with 73% of the vote to get the around 251 delegates they're discussing.


Unless what they're saying is they believe he already has 61% of the vote and need to work to get him to target of 73%. In which case the statement would be accurate (assuming the 61% currently is accurate).

[edgineered]

3. To be clear -

He would need to win by 61% to gain that many delegates; a win of 61/39 would only gain 105. The link's headline is a bit misleading.

eta: even a win by 61 would not net that many, roughly 290

[Codeine]

4. Not quite Timecube levels of delusion,

but not too far off.

[George II]

5. Groovy, man. I guess maybe in Haight-Ashbury after a few mushrooms.

[KingFlorez]

6. Stop before you are carted off

[onehandle]

7. He would have to win 100% to catch up with Hillary... in 2008. nt

[Tarc]

8. This dippy site is citing sourceplanet.net, which is hilariously wrong

http://sourceplanet.net/politics/how-bernie-sanders-is-going-to-win/



That 546 number is pledged + superdelegates, they are applying the 73% number to that, because that was his % in Washington state.

[RichVRichV]

9. Thank you for that. Knew I should have checked the totals first before posting.

With 475 delegates up for grabs, a 73% / 27% split would net him give or take 218 delegates (probably less due to the convoluted rules). Still a sizable pickup, and probably what he needs to have a legitimate shot, but also a very lofty goal to target.


Ultimately it comes down to not only what percentage a state is won by, but which districts are won by how much.