2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAs of November 2, 8:00PM EDT: (Princeton Election Consortium)
Obama: 319
Romney: 219
Meta-margin: Obama +2.90%
RSS
Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 97%, Bayesian Prediction 99.6%
http://election.princeton.edu/
flamingdem
(39,319 posts)Random Drifts
PS what are those anyway!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)orpupilofnature57
(15,472 posts)ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)O-mentumn!!!!
cilla4progress
(24,760 posts)if we don't re-elect the President who:
-brought unemployment down from 10% to 7.8%
-implemented health care reform
-ended a wasteful war and wound another one down
-brought justice to a single person who brought down 3,000 Americans
-pushed for and passed for the most dramatic fuel economy standtards to date
-ditto equal pay for women
-ditto gays in the military
Need I say more?
boingboinh
(290 posts)the biggest bloodbath of prediction modelling in history. I mean virtually every model out there, even the non-scientific ones such as halloween masks, and the kid vote, and 7-11 cups point to Obama and virtually all of these preidctors have veyr high accuracy rates.
Even the Olympics predictor says its Obama this year.
The next one is the famous Redskins game predictor this Sunday so we shall see.
Marmitist
(64 posts)It will indicate that Willard Rmoney stole the election, period, end of story,