Election Forecast Summaries: 11/2 (evening)

[Chichiri]

God I love being a Democrat tonight.

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

[font color="blue"]
Election Projection: O 290 (unch)

University of Illinois U-C: O 300.4 (+0.4); p(RE)=99.6% (unch)

Electoral-vote.com: O 281, R 215, T 42 (unch)

Huffington Post: O 281, R 191, T 66 (O+22, R+0, T-22)

TPM/PollTracker: O 285, R 220, T 33 (O+0, R+29, T-29)

FiveThirtyEight: O 304.8 (+1.4); p(RE)=82.7% (+1.8%)

Princeton: O 319 (unch); p(RE)=97%, 99.6% (+0, +0.1%)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=87.05% (unch)[/font]
[font color="red"]
...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,516!

[Chichiri]

1. As always, if this series is helpful to you, please K&R!

[Logical]

2. As always! I love it! K&R

[smitra]

3. k & r. n/t

[Zambero]

4. But Dick Morris says....

Oh I almost forgot, Dick Morris is Dick Morris!