Last day for early voting in NC: here's where we stand (numbers added)

[mnhtnbb]

Last edited Sat Nov 3, 2012, 09:17 AM - Edit history (4)

Heading into the last day of early voting--and last chance to register and vote the same day--the Obama campaign
is continuing the excellent ground game to get out the vote--AND--bringing in the high profile surrogates to
campaign in the state. Jill Biden was in Asheville (and Huntersville) yesterday; Bill Clinton is coming to Raleigh tomorrow;
Michelle is coming to Charlotte on Monday.

Yesterday morning there was a margin of 364,676 MORE Dem than Repub votes that had been cast.

The margin of Dem votes over Repubs now stands at 396,087

I will post the latest numbers from the NC Board of Elections when they have been updated.

See Post #11 for the numbers.

Let's turn NC Blue again!

[Anthony McCarthy]

1. Voted early to get out the vote

A number of us voted early so we can spend election day GETTING OUT THE DEMOCRATIC VOTE. If you can get out three voters on election day it's a better use of your time on Tuesday than standing in line.

[Twelve String]

2. I was not giving Obama much of a chance

I was not giving Obama much of a chance in NC, but I have a lot more hope now with those numbers. Living here in Nebraska - the capital of Dumbfuckistan - it's easy to get discouraged.

Actually, Kansas might be the capital. It's a toss-up.

[OmahaBlueDog]

3. Actually, it's Oklahoma

Nebraska has an outside shot of giving the President 1 EV. Also possible; Kerrey may actually manage to hold on to a Senate seat given up for dead, and John Ewing has a puncher's chance against Lee Terry for NE-2.

[Drahthaardogs]

7. As a O(now) Nebraskan, I agree.

However, casting that vote AGAINST Deb Fisher was delicious!

[mnhtnbb]

13. LOL. We lived in NE (Lincoln) for 6 years. I had Bob Kerrey sitting on a barstool in my kitchen

one time when we hosted a cocktail party prior to a Jefferson/Jackson Day dinner. He was quite down to earth.
Ben Nelson was there, too, (not impressed) and they brought JFK's speech writer--Ted Sorensen--with them.

We also met Mike Johanns before he started his political career as Mayor Mikey of Lincoln. Talk about an
unimpressive guy.

When we left Lincoln for Chapel Hill I told hubby the NE state motto should be "Ignorant and Proud of It".

I hope you guys can pull it out for Kerrey.

[octoberlib]

37. Kansas is definitely the capitol

and Brownback is the mayor. I grew up there so I know.

[kansasobama]

4. NC has some work to do today

Hello:

Yes, I see that NC has some work to do today.

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/whos-really-winning-early-voting/264436/


CO and even Iowa has some work to do.

GOTV

[nc4bo]

5. I'd like to tell Miz Molly that even though R '08 #s are higher than '12 , D is still ahead in EV.

In red Harnett County, R early voters were mostly white, gray haired seniors - odds say that these gray hairs are just voting earlier and not new or sporadic voters.

Does Miz Molly have a crystal ball? Does Miz Molly know how many will turn out on 11/06?

My son would not be considered a LV in any poll yet he definitely voted for Obama. How many more voters are just like him?

Yes GOTV NC is key but definitely not as dire as Miz Molly is predicting.

[bluemarkers]

9. yep

4 years ago a kid from Johnston Co asked me what I thought about the Kenya thing. We ended up laughing about it because it's just so silly, but I was saddened he felt there was any validity in it all all. Reflection of family/friends I guess.

[obamanut2012]

30. Right -- and huge amount of new Dem regs here the last month

Especially minority and youth voters.

[kansasobama]

6. Let us play it safe NC

I know. I want her to be wrong.

Most MSM seems to be reflecting what she is saying. Let us prove them wrong.

Do not forget one fact: Republicans will cheat, scare away, spread lies.


That needs to be taken into account.

Some day, we should also learn to overwhelm off-year elections so that we control the Congress and state legislatures properly. This is the reason all these idiots have raised barriers for us. Look at Florida. Their governor is a nut case and they have a veto proof majority.

[bluemarkers]

8. funny how the polls were generally positive for Obama until ...

The Rs had their temper tantrum? I really think (or wouldn't be surprised if) the pollsters have manipulated the data collection methods to avert criticism. ...

[octoberlib]

39. +1

Also, Dem secretaries of state. At least in OH, FL and VA.

[SaveAmerica]

10. Do you read Steven Gheen's reports? Do you have info about Michelle

and when/where she will be in Charlotte?

And I spoke with someone with OFA NC yesterday and their game is fantastic. Plans for election day are very impressive.

[mnhtnbb]

15. It doesn't appear that details of her visit have yet been released.

[SaveAmerica]

17. Thanks!! So far I getting visitor's info from NCDP on FB

I'll keep my eye out there.

[blm]

20. SaveAm - Check Mecklenburg County Dem Party FB page.

.

[SaveAmerica]

22. Ok, thanks!

[blm]

26. Check there for updates - they'll let Meck Dems know where to see Michelle.

.

[octoberlib]

40. Here's the link for tickets

https://my.barackobama.com/page/s/see-michelle-obama-in-charlotte

[SaveAmerica]

41. Thank you so much!! Up to my eyeballs with 'stuff'

and haven't been able to check yet. I do appreciate it.

[mnhtnbb]

11. OK here are the updated early voting numbers

2,511,458 votes have been cast

1,195,412 Dem votes have been cast

799,325 Repub votes have been cast


The margin of Dem votes over Repubs now stands at 396,087


Remaining registered Dems (not voted) 1,666,538

Remaining registered Repubs (not voted) 1,248,591


So, Dems lead by almost 400 thousand votes already cast AND have a margin of 417,947 more available voters eligible to still cast a vote!

We can do this, NC! Turn it blue!


These numbers come directly from the NC Board of Elections website.

ftp://www.app.sboe.state.nc.us/enrs/absentee11xx06xx2012_Stats.pdf

[fugop]

16. WOW!!! Love these numbers!

[auburngrad82]

18. All the Dems in my office voted early

We have 14 for Obama, three for Romney, and one unknown.

At least one of the three Romney voters has not voted. She may be all talk and no vote.

I'm a little tired of all the talk about republican voters being more energized than Dems. I think it's bullshit.

[Duval]

19. WE'll be doing our part

today in Chapel Hill, and on election day as well.

[freemay20]

23. HMM

Has anyone taken unaffiliated or Independent numbers into this??? Would be nice to see. I for one, am Unaffiliated after being a straight ticket Republican voter for 28 years prior to 2008. Woke up in 2008, Voted Obama and this year went straight ticket again,,, Democratic ticket that is.

[mnhtnbb]

35. It's very hard to know how unaffiliated will break. Hubby and I are also registered unaffiliated

after getting so pissed at the Dems in 2004 for not standing up to election fraud and the Iraq war shit. We still both vote
a straight Dem party ticket.

We do have lots of active and retired military in NC--which, personally, I think has a lot to do with the high number
of unaffiliated. Hard to know how that will break this year--Jill and Michelle have made helping military families
a priority--Mitt is another multiple deferment from Vietnam guy--his sons have never served, etc. The brass tends
to fall Repub--but I'm not so sure about the enlisted folks.

[JoePhilly]

25. Our house ... 3 early Obama votes in Wake County last week.

[beac]

28. LOVE those numbers!!

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

32. Testing my math skills here...

Assuming the independents break mostly 50-50 (and that's an assumption, and a big one, I know).

It would mean that if 50% of the remaining Democratic voters get to the polls, then 100% of the remaining Republicans would have to turn out.

Am I correct on that? Hey, I majored in English in college.

[mnhtnbb]

36. The odds are in our favor. EXCEPT for the racism issue. Hard to know if DINOS deserted

the party after Obama was elected and became unaffiliated.

Given the numbers, the odds are in our favor.

[geek tragedy]

38. We lose big amongst independents in NC--that's what balances out the huge

registration advantage Democrats have.

If independents broke 50/50 NC would be more like Michigan or Pennsylvania than like Virginia or Florida.

[ProudProgressiveNow]

34. +1000 nt

[Mira]

12. Made a date to take a nervous NC voter to the polls

and help her.
It means standing in line with her for that one vote, and I would do it over
and over
and over.

[mnhtnbb]

14. Good for you! I'm on the Orange County Dems list to drive voters to the polls on Election Day.

Told them I was available all day.

[freemay20]

24. Willing to do same

My fiancee and I have contacted the local Obama office to help get people to the polls. Can not wait to get the call back.. This after voting 28 years as a straight ticket republican prior to 2008. Unaffiliated since but supporter of Obama.

[beac]

27. Way to go, freemay20!

If you don't hear from them today, I'd try calling them or swinging by. It's a crazy busy time for all OFA offices. (You can probably score some free bumper stickers and buttons if you go by in person. )

At my local one in VA, they are asking us to come in and work the phones and also be on-call for rides to the polls.

If you are willing to make calls, do be sure and let the OFA people know that. It's super easy as you aren't doing any 'selling' of Obama, merely calling Dems and asking if they've voted yet (OFA should have records of all early voters, so you'd only be calling election day voters) and if they know where their polling place is and if they need a ride. The energy in a campaign office on election day is amazing and so inspiring.

Thank you SO & fiancee much for being willing to help! So glad to have you on board!

-beac
your neighbor and fellow swing-stater in VA

[Mira]

29. You're making part of my day! Welcome to DU n/t

[Lightsource777]

21. Exceeded or matched 2008?

How do the numbers stack up?

[LisaL]

31. McCain didn't even try to go after early votes.

So it would be pretty hard to exceed or match 2008.

[Cognitive_Resonance]

33. Excellent! Superior organization and hard work are paying off. nt