Anyone see Alex Witt with the last guess going over the early vote numbers

[bigdarryl]

This guy is claiming that Obama numbers are down from 08 in early voting throughout the country.That's a new one on me because so far every state that has early voting the campaign is saying there beating there 08 numbers.Plus this guy said the rethugs are catching up a little bit if anyone saw this interview he always started out with (Yeah the democrats are ahead in swing states early voting BUT)

[aaaaaa5a]

1. This is not 2008.

Obama is not going to win by 7 percent nationally or 10 million votes. 2008 was like 1984, 1972, 1964 etc. and is a once every 20-30 year election.

Nobody may ever match Obama's early voting lead in 2008 ever again. The word is now out. Even the GOP isn't that stupid to be left that flat footed again.


This election is closer to the 2004 model. And in that respect, the early voting is fine. And the margins, while not what they were in 2008, are more than enough to get us to 270 on Tuesday.

That is the point.


BTW... We are not going to win Indiana this time either. Maybe these uninformed reporters should report that as breaking news.

You can't compare everything to 2008. That's not fair. That was a once in a lifetime event.

Maybe we should always compare the Romney targets to Reagan of 1984. And complain that he is behind because he is not winning MA.

[ejpoeta]

2. from the sounds of it, if all the blue and red states stay such, obama has a far easier path

to the number needed. chuck todd was just playing with that magic wall thing on today show showing the swing states. obama only needs like two or three whereas romney needs a whole bunch of them. I personally don't trust what the MSM is saying about anything anyway. They were talking about how early or late the night might be. well, these states close polling at this time and if romney wins x and y then blah blah blah.

[Onlooker]

3. They should be down

Obama beat McCain 53% to 46%. He's probably not going to beat Romney by the same margin (though at this point Romney might be so unappealing that his base won't be motivated to turn out).