2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDepressing Miami Herald front page today-Romney ++ by 5 in FL
HUGE front page story- Romney still ahead in FLA- big graphic- lots of details- very very upsetting way to start the day. Thank goodness for Nate Silver and Princeton and the other polls showing a different story but it is VERY discouraging. Maybe the result will mean more Dems voting today and Tuesday. Going out to make calls or canvas or do something to work off the anxiety.
A new Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll shows Mittt Romney beating President Obama 45-51 percent in Florida.
BY MARC CAPUTO MCAPUTO@MIAMIHERALD.COM
Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.
Romneys strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.
Romneys crossover appeal is fueled by strong support in rural North Florida, a conservative bastion where a relatively high percentage of Democrats often vote Republican in presidential election years.
Im pretty convinced Romneys going to win Florida, said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker, who conducted the 800-likely voter survey from Tuesday through Thursday.
Will it be fivepoints? Maybe. Will it be three points? Possibly, Coker said, of what he expects Romneys margin will be. I dont think its going to be a recount
I dont think were going to have a recount-race here.
Romney is winning handily among men, marginally losing with women voters and has outsized support among non-Hispanic whites. Hes essentially winning on the issues as well: the economy, Medicare, foreign policy and looking out for the middle-class.
snip
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/02/3080246/poll-mitt-romney-maintains-lead.html#storylink=cpy
http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/11/02/3080246/poll-mitt-romney-maintains-lead.html
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)I hate it when 10 people say one thing. And 1 person says another thing. And the 1 outlier gets all of the attention because he is different. And everyone ignores the fact he is also most likely wrong.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)Lightsource777
(78 posts)If there is one poll showing Obama ahead in North Carolina by 6 they would ignore it and laugh it off. It doesn't work both ways with the media. It's not just about ratings. That myth needs to stop.
smorkingapple
(827 posts)bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Romney is six points ahead in Florida
Lightsource777
(78 posts)and admitted to it
LisaL
(44,974 posts)demosincebirth
(12,542 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Their numbers are way off other pollsters.
Inuca
(8,945 posts)has Fl as a tossup with 55% chance of R winning vs. 45% http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/