Nate Silver: Obama 19, Romney 1

[VirginiaTarheel]

Although the fact that Mr. Obama held the lead in so many polls is partly coincidental — there weren’t any polls of North Carolina on Friday, for instance, which is Mr. Romney’s strongest battleground state — they nevertheless represent powerful evidence against the idea that the race is a “tossup.” A tossup race isn’t likely to produce 19 leads for one candidate and one for the other — any more than a fair coin is likely to come up heads 19 times and tails just once in 20 tosses. (The probability of a fair coin doing so is about 1 chance in 50,000.)

http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2012/11/03/nate-silver-obama-led-in-19-battleground-state-polls-today-romney-led-in-one?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[cheezmaka]

1. K&R